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While the formulation of most data assimilation schemes assumes an unbiased observation model error, in real applications, model error with nontrivial biases is unavoidable. A practical example is the error in the radiative transfer model…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-17 John Harlim , Tyrus Berry

Microclimate models are essential for linking climate to ecological processes, yet most physically based frameworks estimate temperature independently for each spatial unit and rely on simplified representations of lateral heat exchange. As…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Idan Sulami , Alon Itzkovitch , Michael R. Kearney , Moni Shahar , Ofir Levy

Forecasting multivariate time series data, such as prediction of electricity consumption, solar power production, and polyphonic piano pieces, has numerous valuable applications. However, complex and non-linear interdependencies between…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-20 Shun-Yao Shih , Fan-Keng Sun , Hung-yi Lee

An in-season early crop yield forecast before harvest can benefit the farmers to improve the production and enable various agencies to devise plans accordingly. We introduce a reliable and inexpensive method to predict crop yields from…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-11-04 Sagarika Sharma , Sujit Rai , Narayanan C. Krishnan

This study introduces a framework for quality control of measured weather data, including anomaly detection, and infilling missing values. Weather data is a fundamental input to building performance simulations, in which anomalous values…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-20 Maryam MeshkinKiya , Riccardo Paolini

Seasonal forecasting remains challenging due to the inherent chaotic nature of atmospheric dynamics. This paper introduces DeepSeasons, a novel deep learning approach designed to enhance the accuracy and reliability of seasonal forecasts.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-16 A. Navarra , G. G. Navarra

Accurate water consumption forecasting is a crucial tool for water utilities and policymakers, as it helps ensure a reliable supply, optimize operations, and support infrastructure planning. Urban Water Distribution Networks (WDNs) are…

Marine heatwaves (MHWs), an extreme climate phenomenon, pose significant challenges to marine ecosystems and industries, with their frequency and intensity increasing due to climate change. This study introduces an integrated deep learning…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-12-09 Ding Ning , Varvara Vetrova , Yun Sing Koh , Karin R. Bryan

Machine learning is increasingly used in government programs to identify and support the most vulnerable individuals, prioritizing assistance for those at greatest risk over optimizing aggregate outcomes. This paper examines the welfare…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-07-14 Unai Fischer-Abaigar , Christoph Kern , Juan Carlos Perdomo

Running high-resolution physical models is computationally expensive and essential for many disciplines. Agriculture, transportation, and energy are sectors that depend on high-resolution weather models, which typically consume many hours…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-08-17 Eduardo R. Rodrigues , Igor Oliveira , Renato L. F. Cunha , Marco A. S. Netto

We introduce a simple yet effective early fusion method for crop yield prediction that handles multiple input modalities with different temporal and spatial resolutions. We use high-resolution crop yield maps as ground truth data to train…

Modeling large dependent datasets in modern time series analysis is a crucial research area. One effective approach to handle such datasets is to transform the observations into density functions and apply statistical methods for further…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-23 Yinzhi Wang , Yingqiu Zhu , Ben-Chang Shia , Lei Qin

Multivariate time series forecasting is widely used in various fields. Reasonable prediction results can assist people in planning and decision-making, generate benefits and avoid risks. Normally, there are two characteristics of time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-23 Yifu Zhou , Ziheng Duan , Haoyan Xu , Jie Feng , Anni Ren , Yueyang Wang , Xiaoqian Wang

Optical satellite image time series are extensively used in many Earth observation applications, including agriculture, climate monitoring, and land surface analysis. However, clouds and swath edges result in irregular sampling along the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-07 Véronique Defonte , Dawa Derksen , Alexandre Constantin , Bastien Nespoulous

Precipitation nowcasting, which predicts rainfall up to a few hours ahead, is a critical tool for vulnerable communities in the Global South frequently exposed to intense, rapidly developing storms. Timely forecasts provide a crucial window…

There is a wealth of data on air pollution within several users' reach, including modelled concentrations and depositions as well as observations from air quality stations. However, data integration to perceive spatial and temporal trends…

Several energy management applications rely on accurate photovoltaic generation forecasts. Common metrics like mean absolute error or root-mean-square error, omit error-distribution details needed for stochastic optimization. In addition,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-05 Philipp Danner , Hermann de Meer

Data assimilation is a central problem in many geophysical applications, such as weather forecasting. It aims to estimate the state of a potentially large system, such as the atmosphere, from sparse observations, supplemented by prior…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-24 Matthieu Blanke , Ronan Fablet , Marc Lelarge

Data intensive applications often involve the analysis of large datasets that require large amounts of compute and storage resources. While dedicated compute and/or storage farms offer good task/data throughput, they suffer low resource…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2008-08-27 Ioan Raicu , Yong Zhao , Ian Foster , Alex Szalay

We assess empirical models in climate econometrics using modern statistical learning techniques. Existing approaches are prone to outliers, ignore sample dependencies, and lack principled model selection. To address these issues, we…

Applications · Statistics 2025-05-26 Christof Schötz , Jan Hassel , Christian Otto