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Risk prediction models are widely used to guide real-world decision-making in areas such as healthcare and economics, and they also play a key role in estimating nuisance parameters in semiparametric inference. The super learner is a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-05 Anders Munch , Thomas A. Gerds

Reliability inference based on parametric distributions is an important problem in electrical and mechanical engineering. Most existing methods rely on approximations or bootstrap procedures, which may not perform satisfactorily when data…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-15 Bowen Liu , Malwane M. A. Ananda , Sam Weerahandi

Adaptive experimentation enables efficient estimation of causal effects, but existing methods are not designed for survival data with censoring, where event times are only partially observed (e.g., overall survival in cancer trials but with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Yuxin Wang , Dennis Frauen , Jonas Schweisthal , Maresa Schröder , Emil Javurek , Stefan Feuerriegel

The conditional survival function of a time-to-event outcome subject to censoring and truncation is a common target of estimation in survival analysis. This parameter may be of scientific interest and also often appears as a nuisance in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-20 Charles J. Wolock , Peter B. Gilbert , Noah Simon , Marco Carone

We consider linear transformation models applied to right censored survival data with a change-point based on a covariate threshold. We establish consistency and weak convergence of the nonparametric maximum lieklihood estimators. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Michael R. Kosorok , Rui Song

For right censored survival data, it is well known that the mean survival time can be consistently estimated when the support of the censoring time contains the support of the survival time. In practice, however, this condition can be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-08-01 Ying Ding , Bin Nan

The study of survival data often requires taking proper care of the censoring mechanism that prohibits complete observation of the data. Under right censoring, only the first occurring event is observed: either the event of interest, or a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-25 Myrthe D'Haen , Ingrid Van Keilegom , Anneleen Verhasselt

The modeling of time-to-event data, also known as survival analysis, requires specialized methods that can deal with censoring and truncation, time-varying features and effects, and that extend to settings with multiple competing events.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-20 Andreas Bender , David Rügamer , Fabian Scheipl , Bernd Bischl

Dropout is common in clinical studies, with up to half of patients leaving early due to side effects or other reasons. When dropout is informative (i.e., dependent on survival time), it introduces censoring bias, because of which treatment…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Yuxin Wang , Dennis Frauen , Jonas Schweisthal , Maresa Schröder , Stefan Feuerriegel

Survival analysis is a hotspot in statistical research for modeling time-to-event information with data censorship handling, which has been widely used in many applications such as clinical research, information system and other fields with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-14 Kan Ren , Jiarui Qin , Lei Zheng , Zhengyu Yang , Weinan Zhang , Lin Qiu , Yong Yu

Maximum approximate Bernstein likelihood estimates of the baseline density function and the regression coefficients in the proportional hazard regression models based on interval-censored event time data are proposed. This results in not…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-25 Zhong Guan

We propose a deep generative approach to nonparametric estimation of conditional survival and hazard functions with right-censored data. The key idea of the proposed method is to first learn a conditional generator for the joint conditional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-20 Xingyu Zhou , Wen Su , Changyu Liu , Yuling Jiao , Xingqiu Zhao , Jian Huang

Survival analysis is a statistical technique used to estimate the time until an event occurs. Although it is applied across a wide range of fields, adjusting for reporting delays under practical constraints remains a significant challenge…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-27 Yuta Shikuri , Hironori Fujisawa

Existing conformal prediction methods for time-to-event outcomes leverage only baseline covariates, producing prediction intervals that are insufficiently informative to facilitate decision making. We propose History-Aware Prediction Sets…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-08 Yuyao Wang , Alexander W. Levis , Shu Yang , Larry Han

Under adaptive progressive Type-II censoring schemes, order restricted inference based on competing risks data is discussed in this article. The latent failure lifetimes for the competing causes are assumed to follow Weibull distributions,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-10 Ayon Ganguly , Debanjan Mitra , Debasis Kundu

Previous deep learning approaches for survival analysis have primarily relied on ranking losses to improve discrimination performance, which often comes at the expense of calibration performance. To address such an issue, we propose a novel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-22 Dongjoon Lee , Hyeryn Park , Changhee Lee

Conformal prediction (CP) offers distribution-free marginal coverage guarantees under an exchangeability assumption, but these guarantees can fail if the data distribution shifts. We analyze the use of pseudo-calibration as a tool to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-17 Farbod Siahkali , Ashwin Verma , Vijay Gupta

Conventional survival metrics, such as Harrell's concordance index (CI) and the Brier Score, rely on the independent censoring assumption for valid inference with right-censored data. However, in the presence of so-called dependent…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-20 Christian Marius Lillelund , Shi-ang Qi , Russell Greiner

Analysis of random censored life-time data along with some related stochastic covariables is of great importance in many applied sciences like medical research, population studies and planning etc. The parametric estimation technique…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-09 Abhik Ghosh , Ayanendranath Basu

When dealing with right-censored data, where some outcomes are missing due to a limited observation period, survival analysis -- known as time-to-event analysis -- focuses on predicting the time until an event of interest occurs. Multiple…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-23 Julie Alberge , Vincent Maladière , Olivier Grisel , Judith Abécassis , Gaël Varoquaux