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Related papers: On Medians of (Randomized) Pairwise Means

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Machine learning approaches commonly rely on the assumption of independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) data. In reality, however, this assumption is almost always violated due to distribution shifts between environments. Although…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-18 Ronan Perry , Julius von Kügelgen , Bernhard Schölkopf

This paper presents mathematical results in support of the methodology of the probabilistic learning on manifolds (PLoM) recently introduced by the authors, which has been used with success for analyzing complex engineering systems. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-02 Christian Soize , Roger Ghanem

Machine learning algorithms with empirical risk minimization usually suffer from poor generalization performance due to the greedy exploitation of correlations among the training data, which are not stable under distributional shifts.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-18 Jiashuo Liu , Zheyuan Hu , Peng Cui , Bo Li , Zheyan Shen

We introduce a new method for estimating the mean of an outcome variable within groups when researchers only observe the average of the outcome and group indicators across a set of aggregation units, such as geographical areas. Existing…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-01 Cory McCartan , Shiro Kuriwaki

This paper considers the quantification of the prediction performance in Gaussian process regression. The standard approach is to base the prediction error bars on the theoretical predictive variance, which is a lower bound on the mean…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-03-16 Johan Wågberg , Dave Zachariah , Thomas B. Schön , Petre Stoica

Probabilistic forecasting models for joint distributions of targets in irregular time series with missing values are a heavily under-researched area in machine learning, with, to the best of our knowledge, only two Models have been…

As predictive algorithms grow in popularity, using the same dataset to both train and test a new model has become routine across research, policy, and industry. Sample-splitting attains valid inference on model properties by using separate…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-27 Bruno Fava

In this paper, we provide a multiscale perspective on the problem of maximum marginal likelihood estimation. We consider and analyse a diffusion-based maximum marginal likelihood estimation scheme using ideas from multiscale dynamics. Our…

Computation · Statistics 2024-06-11 O. Deniz Akyildiz , Michela Ottobre , Iain Souttar

Mean-payoff games are important quantitative models for open reactive systems. They have been widely studied as games of full observation. In this paper we investigate the algorithmic properties of several sub-classes of mean-payoff games…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2017-10-10 Paul Hunter , Arno Pauly , Guillermo A. Pérez , Jean-François Raskin

Standard meta-learning for representation learning aims to find a common representation to be shared across multiple tasks. The effectiveness of these methods is often limited when the nuances of the tasks' distribution cannot be captured…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-31 Giulia Denevi , Massimiliano Pontil , Carlo Ciliberto

This paper has two main goals: (a) establish several statistical properties---consistency, asymptotic distributions, and convergence rates---of stationary solutions and values of a class of coupled nonconvex and nonsmoothempirical risk…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-08 Zhengling Qi , Ying Cui , Yufeng Liu , Jong-Shi Pang

Given p independent normal populations, we consider the problem of estimating the mean of those populations, that based on the observed data, give the strongest signals. We explicitly condition on the ranking of the sample means, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-28 Claudio Fuentes , Vik Gopal

This paper studies transfer learning for estimating the mean of random functions based on discretely sampled data, where, in addition to observations from the target distribution, auxiliary samples from similar but distinct source…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-29 T. Tony Cai , Dongwoo Kim , Hongming Pu

Uniform deviation bounds limit the difference between a model's expected loss and its loss on an empirical sample uniformly for all models in a learning problem. As such, they are a critical component to empirical risk minimization. In this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-02-28 Olivier Bachem , Mario Lucic , S. Hamed Hassani , Andreas Krause

Stochastic optimization has found wide applications in minimizing objective functions in machine learning, which motivates a lot of theoretical studies to understand its practical success. Most of existing studies focus on the convergence…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-07-19 Yunwen Lei

This paper studies competitions with rank-based reward among a large number of teams. Within each sizable team, we consider a mean-field contribution game in which each team member contributes to the jump intensity of a common Poisson…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-05-18 Xiang Yu , Yuchong Zhang , Zhou Zhou

Machine learning models (e.g., speech recognizers) are usually trained to minimize average loss, which results in representation disparity---minority groups (e.g., non-native speakers) contribute less to the training objective and thus tend…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-01 Tatsunori B. Hashimoto , Megha Srivastava , Hongseok Namkoong , Percy Liang

We study a natural extension of classical empirical risk minimization, where the hypothesis space is a random subspace of a given space. In particular, we consider possibly data dependent subspaces spanned by a random subset of the data,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-12-09 Andrea Della Vecchia , Ernesto De Vito , Lorenzo Rosasco

Unsupervised pretraining, which learns a useful representation using a large amount of unlabeled data to facilitate the learning of downstream tasks, is a critical component of modern large-scale machine learning systems. Despite its…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-06 Jiawei Ge , Shange Tang , Jianqing Fan , Chi Jin

This paper introduces a novel distributed optimization technique for networked systems, which removes the dependency on specific parameter choices, notably the learning rate. Traditional parameter selection strategies in distributed…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-23 Rodrigo Aldana-López , Alessandro Macchelli , Giuseppe Notarstefano , Rosario Aragüés , Carlos Sagüés