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In the framework of physical reservoir computing (RC), machine learning algorithms designed for digital computers are executed using analog computer-like nonlinear physical systems that can provide energy-efficient computational power for…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-04-27 Ivan S. Maksymov , Andrey Pototsky , Sergey A. Suslov

We propose a Machine Learning approach for optimal macroeconomic density forecasting in a high-dimensional setting where the underlying model exhibits a known group structure. Our approach is general enough to encompass specific forecasting…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-18 Matteo Mogliani , Anna Simoni

Reservoir computing provides an alternative to recurrent neural networks by overcoming the common problems of backpropagation through time and by training only a simple readout layer. The emerging field of quantum computing offers a new…

Modeling the dynamics of the formation and evolution of protostellar disks as well as the history of stellar mass accretion typically involve the numerical solution of complex systems of coupled differential equations. The resulting mass…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-04-18 Gianfranco Bino , Shantanu Basu , Ramit Dey , Sayantan Auddy , Lyle Muller , Eduard I. Vorobyov

An Echo State Network (ESN) is a type of single-layer recurrent neural network with randomly-chosen internal weights and a trainable output layer. We prove under mild conditions that a sufficiently large Echo State Network can approximate…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-06-28 Allen G. Hart , Kevin R. Olding , A. M. G. Cox , Olga Isupova , J. H. P. Dawes

Modern design, control, and optimization often requires simulation of highly nonlinear models, leading to prohibitive computational costs. These costs can be amortized by evaluating a cheap surrogate of the full model. Here we present a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-25 Ranjan Anantharaman , Yingbo Ma , Shashi Gowda , Chris Laughman , Viral Shah , Alan Edelman , Chris Rackauckas

An iterated multistep forecasting scheme based on recurrent neural networks (RNN) is proposed for the time series generated by causal chains with infinite memory. This forecasting strategy contains, as a particular case, the iterative…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-03-21 Lyudmila Grigoryeva , James Louw , Juan-Pablo Ortega

Forecasting stock and cryptocurrency prices is challenging due to high volatility and non-stationarity, influenced by factors like economic changes and market sentiment. Previous research shows that Echo State Networks (ESNs) can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-08 Mansi Sharma , Enrico Sartor , Marc Cavazza , Helmut Prendinger

The vast majority of the neural network literature focuses on predicting point values for a given set of response variables, conditioned on a feature vector. In many cases we need to model the full joint conditional distribution over the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-09 Wesley Tansey , Karl Pichotta , James G. Scott

Time-series forecasting is one of the most active research topics in artificial intelligence. Applications in real-world time series should consider two factors for achieving reliable predictions: modeling dynamic dependencies among…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-28 Gabriel Spadon , Shenda Hong , Bruno Brandoli , Stan Matwin , Jose F. Rodrigues-Jr , Jimeng Sun

Diffusion models have emerged as a powerful method in various applications. However, their application to Short-Term Electricity Load Forecasting (STELF) -- a typical scenario in energy systems -- remains largely unexplored. Considering the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Qi Dong , Rubing Huang , Ling Zhou , Dave Towey , Jinyu Tian , Jianzhou Wang

With a growing data privacy concern, federated learning has emerged as a promising framework to train machine learning models without sharing locally distributed data. In federated learning, local model training by multiple clients and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-17 Keigo Nogami , Hiroto Tamura , Gouhei Tanaka

Distribution system state estimation (DSSE) plays a crucial role in the real-time monitoring, control, and operation of distribution networks. Besides intensive computational requirements, conventional DSSE methods need high-quality…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-08-05 Renyou Xie , Xin Yin , Chaojie Li , Guo Chen , Nian Liu , Bo Zhao , Zhaoyang Dong

We present an adaptive reservoir computing framework for the CTF-4-Science Lorenz benchmark, which evaluates machine learning models across twelve distinct tasks spanning five qualitatively different scenarios: baseline forecasting, noisy…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Shadmehr Zaregarizi , Khashayar Yavari

Data augmentation improves the convergence of iterative algorithms, such as the EM algorithm and Gibbs sampler by introducing carefully designed latent variables. In this article, we first propose a data augmentation scheme for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-06 Linda S. L. Tan

Deep neural networks have amply demonstrated their prowess but estimating the reliability of their predictions remains challenging. Deep Ensembles are widely considered as being one of the best methods for generating uncertainty estimates…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-28 Nikita Durasov , Timur Bagautdinov , Pierre Baque , Pascal Fua

With the advent of Big Data, nowadays in many applications databases containing large quantities of similar time series are available. Forecasting time series in these domains with traditional univariate forecasting procedures leaves great…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-13 Kasun Bandara , Christoph Bergmeir , Slawek Smyl

Deep learning has seen a rapid adoption in a variety of wireless communications applications, including at the physical layer. While it has delivered impressive performance in tasks such as channel equalization and receive processing/symbol…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-28 Shashank Jere , Karim Said , Lizhong Zheng , Lingjia Liu

Regional rainfall forecasting is an important issue in hydrology and meteorology. This paper aims to design an integrated tool by applying various machine learning algorithms, especially the state-of-the-art deep learning algorithms…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-30 Ning Yu , Timothy Haskins

The performance of automatic speech recognition (ASR) has improved tremendously due to the application of deep neural networks (DNNs). Despite this progress, building a new ASR system remains a challenging task, requiring various resources,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2015-10-20 Yajie Miao , Mohammad Gowayyed , Florian Metze
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