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The Data Assimilation (DA) community has been developing various diagnostics to understand the importance of the observing system in accurately forecasting the weather. They usually rely on the ability to compute the derivatives of the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-11-03 Patrick Laloyaux , Mihai Alexe , Eulalie Boucher , Peter Lean , Ewan Pinnington , Simon Lang , Tobias Necker , Anthony McNally

In this study, we explore data assimilation for the Stochastic Camassa-Holm equation through the application of the particle filtering framework. Specifically, our approach integrates adaptive tempering, jittering, and nudging techniques to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-02-13 Colin John Cotter , Dan Crisan , Maneesh Kumar Singh

Four-dimensional variational data assimilation (4D-Var) on a seasonal-to-interdecadal time scale under the existence of unstable modes can be viewed as an optimization problem of synchronized, coupled chaotic systems. The problem is tackled…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-11-17 Nozomi Sugiura , Shuhei Masuda , Yosuke Fujii , Masafumi Kamachi , Yoichi Ishikawa , Toshiyuki Awaji

Data assimilation (DA) methods use priors arising from differential equations to robustly interpolate and extrapolate data. Popular techniques such as ensemble methods that handle high-dimensional, nonlinear PDE priors focus mostly on state…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-05 Rafael Anderka , Marc Peter Deisenroth , So Takao

Data augmentation, by the introduction of auxiliary variables, has become an ubiquitous technique to improve convergence properties, simplify the implementation or reduce the computational time of inference methods such as Markov chain…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-30 Maxime Vono , Nicolas Dobigeon , Pierre Chainais

Starting from limited measurements of a turbulent flow, data assimilation (DA) attempts to estimate all the spatio-temporal scales of motion. Success is dependent on whether the system is observable from the measurements, or how much of the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-02-16 Andrew Cleary , Qi Wang , Tamer A. Zaki

Data assimilation (DA), as an indispensable component within contemporary Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) systems, plays a crucial role in generating the analysis that significantly impacts forecast performance. Nevertheless, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Xiaoze Xu , Xiuyu Sun , Wei Han , Xiaohui Zhong , Lei Chen , Hao Li

This article develops a novel data assimilation methodology, addressing challenges that are common in real-world settings, such as severe sparsity of observations, lack of reliable models, and non-stationarity of the system dynamics. These…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-11-05 David J. Abers , George Hripcsak , Lena Mamykina , Melike Sirlanci , Esteban G. Tabak

Relevant comprehension of flood hazards has emerged as a crucial necessity, especially as the severity and the occurrence of flood events intensify with climate changes. Flood simulation and forecast capability have been greatly improved…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-18 Thanh Huy Nguyen , Anthéa Delmotte , Christophe Fatras , Peter Kettig , Andrea Piacentini , Sophie Ricci

Symbolic data analysis (SDA) is an emerging area of statistics concerned with understanding and modelling data that takes distributional form (i.e. symbols), such as random lists, intervals and histograms. It was developed under the premise…

Computation · Statistics 2020-04-09 Boris Beranger , Huan Lin , Scott A. Sisson

A goal of data assimilation is to infer stochastic dynamical behaviors with available observations. We consider transition phenomena between metastable states for a stochastic system with (non-Gaussian) $\alpha-$stable L\'evy noise. With…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-06-29 Ting Gao , Jinqiao Duan , Xingye Kan

Anomaly detection aims to identify observations that deviate from the typical pattern of data. Anomalous observations may correspond to financial fraud, health risks, or incorrectly measured data in practice. We show detecting anomalies in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-05-26 Matthew Davidow , David S. Matteson

Data assimilation combines (imperfect) knowledge of a flow's physical laws with (noisy, time-lagged, and otherwise imperfect) observations to produce a more accurate prediction of flow statistics. Assimilation by nudging (from 1964), while…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-07-31 Aytekin Çıbık , Rui Fang , William Layton , Farjana Siddiqua

Symbolic Data Analysis (SDA) is a relatively new field of statistics that extends conventional data analysis by taking into account intrinsic data variability and structure. Unlike conventional data analysis, in SDA the features…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-27 M. Rosário Oliveira , Margarida Azeitona , António Pacheco , Rui Valadas

Agent-based models are a powerful tool for studying the behaviour of complex systems that can be described in terms of multiple, interacting ``agents''. However, because of their inherently discrete and often highly non-linear nature, it is…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2019-10-22 Daniel Tang

Test-time adaptation (TTA) allows a model to be adapted to an unseen domain without accessing the source data. Due to the nature of practical environments, TTA has a limited amount of data for adaptation. Recent TTA methods further restrict…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-10-21 Younggeol Cho , Youngrae Kim , Junho Yoon , Seunghoon Hong , Dongman Lee

We propose a novel statistical method for testing the results of anomaly detection (AD) under domain adaptation (DA), which we call CAD-DA -- controllable AD under DA. The distinct advantage of the CAD-DA lies in its ability to control the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-24 Vo Nguyen Le Duy , Hsuan-Tien Lin , Ichiro Takeuchi

Understanding the decisions of deep learning (DL) models is essential for the acceptance of DL to risk-sensitive applications. Although methods, like class activation maps (CAMs), give a glimpse into the black box, they do miss some crucial…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-10-23 Yanli Li , Tahereh Hassanzadeh , Denis P. Shamonin , Monique Reijnierse , Annette H. M. van der Helm-van Mil , Berend C. Stoel

Complex systems, from the human brain to the global economy, are made of multiple elements that interact in such ways that the behaviour of the `whole' often seems to be more than what is readily explainable in terms of the `sum of the…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-28 Pedro A. M. Mediano , Fernando E. Rosas , Andrea I Luppi , Robin L. Carhart-Harris , Daniel Bor , Anil K. Seth , Adam B. Barrett

As high-dimensional and high-frequency data are being collected on a large scale, the development of new statistical models is being pushed forward. Functional data analysis provides the required statistical methods to deal with large-scale…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-08 Israel Martínez-Hernández , Marc G. Genton
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