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Machine learning models are essential tools in various domains, but their performance can degrade over time due to changes in data distribution or other factors. On one hand, detecting and addressing such degradations is crucial for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-28 Florian Heinrichs

In standardized educational testing, test items are reused in multiple test administrations. To ensure the validity of test scores, the psychometric properties of items should remain unchanged over time. In this paper, we consider the…

Applications · Statistics 2021-10-26 Yunxiao Chen , Yi-Hsuan Lee , Xiaoou Li

This paper studies identification and inference in transformation models with endogenous censoring. Many kinds of duration models, such as the accelerated failure time model, proportional hazard model, and mixed proportional hazard model,…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-07-05 Shosei Sakaguchi

This paper investigates the quickest change detection of quantum states in a universal setting: specifically, where the post-change quantum state is not known a priori. We establish the asymptotic optimality of a two-stage approach in terms…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-04-21 Arick Grootveld , Haodong Yang , Nandan Sriranga , Biao Chen , Venkata Gandikota , Jason Pollack

Motivated by a condition monitoring application arising from subsea engineering we derive a novel, scalable approach to detecting anomalous mean structure in a subset of correlated multivariate time series. Given the need to analyse such…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-02 Martin Tveten , Idris A. Eckley , Paul Fearnhead

Many real-life dynamical systems change abruptly followed by almost stationary periods. In this paper, we consider streams of data with such abrupt behavior and investigate the problem of tracking their statistical properties in an online…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-16 Hugo Lewi Hammer , Anis Yazidi

Ultrasonic metal welding (UMW) is widely used in industrial applications but is sensitive to tool wear, surface contamination, and material variability, which can lead to unexpected process faults and unsatisfactory weld quality.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-16 Ahmadreza Eslaminia , Kuan-Chieh Lu , Klara Nahrstedt , Chenhui Shao

The problem of quickest detection of a change in the mean of a sequence of independent observations is studied. The pre-change distribution is assumed to be stationary, while the post-change distributions are allowed to be non-stationary.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-08-26 Yuchen Liang , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

We address the sequential change-point detection problem for the Gaussian model where baseline distribution is Gaussian with variance \sigma^2 and mean \mu such that \sigma^2=a\mu, where a>0 is a known constant; the change is in \mu from…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-06 Aleksey S. Polunchenko , Alexander G. Tartakovsky , Nitis Mukhopadhyay

Robust change-point detection for large-scale data streams has many real-world applications in industrial quality control, signal detection, biosurveillance. Unfortunately, it is highly non-trivial to develop efficient schemes due to three…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-18 Ruizhi Zhang , Yajun Mei , Jianjun Shi

The problem of detecting changes in the statistical properties of a stochastic system and time series arises in various branches of science and engineering. It has a wide spectrum of important applications ranging from machine monitoring to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-19 Venugopal V. Veeravalli , Taposh Banerjee

Change point detection is a crucial aspect of analyzing time series data, as the presence of a change point indicates an abrupt and significant change in the process generating the data. While many algorithms for the problem of change point…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-23 Mario Krause

We study the problem of monitoring machine learning models under gradual distribution shifts, where circumstances change slowly over time, often leading to unnoticed yet significant declines in accuracy. To address this, we propose…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-13 Alexander Koebler , Thomas Decker , Ingo Thon , Volker Tresp , Florian Buettner

The notion of concept drift refers to the phenomenon that the data generating distribution changes over time; as a consequence machine learning models may become inaccurate and need adjustment. In this paper we consider the problem of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-16 Fabian Hinder , André Artelt , Valerie Vaquet , Barbara Hammer

The problem of behaviour prediction for linear parameter-varying systems is considered in the interval framework. It is assumed that the system is subject to uncertain inputs and the vector of scheduling parameters is unmeasurable, but all…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-08-13 Edouard Leurent , Denis Efimov , Tarek Raïssi , Wilfrid Perruquetti

Several techniques for multivariate time series anomaly detection have been proposed recently, but a systematic comparison on a common set of datasets and metrics is lacking. This paper presents a systematic and comprehensive evaluation of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-24 Astha Garg , Wenyu Zhang , Jules Samaran , Savitha Ramasamy , Chuan-Sheng Foo

In cyber-physical systems, malicious and resourceful attackers could penetrate the system through cyber means and cause significant physical damage. Consequently, detection of such attacks becomes integral towards making these systems…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2017-02-10 Amin Ghafouri , Waseem Abbas , Aron Laszka , Yevgeniy Vorobeychik , Xenofon Koutsoukos

We generalize the classic change-point problem to a "change-set" framework: a spatial Poisson process changes its intensity on an unobservable random set. Optimal detection of the set is defined by maximizing the expected value of a gain…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-09-30 B. Gail Ivanoff , Ely Merzbach

We investigate the online detection of changepoints in the distribution of a sequence of observations using degenerate U-statistic-type processes. We study weighted versions of: an ordinary, CUSUM-type scheme, a Page-CUSUM-type scheme, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-28 Cooper Boniece , Lajos Horvath , Lorenzo Trapani

We study online changepoint detection in the context of a linear regression model. We propose a class of heavily weighted statistics based on the CUSUM process of the regression residuals, which are specifically designed to ensure timely…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-08 Fabrizio Ghezzi , Eduardo Rossi , Lorenzo Trapani