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Undetected anomalies in time series can trigger catastrophic failures in safety-critical systems, such as chemical plant explosions or power grid outages. Although many detection methods have been proposed, their performance remains unclear…

Modern information systems generate large volumes of data with anomalies that occur at unknown points in time and have to be detected quickly and reliably with low false alarm rates. The paper develops a general theory of quickest…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-16 Alexander G Tartakovsky , Valentin Spivak

By informing the onset of the degradation process, health status evaluation serves as a significant preliminary step for reliable remaining useful life (RUL) estimation of complex equipment. This paper proposes a novel temporal dynamics…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-10 Anushiya Arunan , Yan Qin , Xiaoli Li , Chau Yuen

Changes, planned or unexpected, are common during the execution of real-life processes. Detecting these changes is a must for optimizing the performance of organizations running such processes. Most of the algorithms present in the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Victor Gallego-Fontenla , Juan C. Vidal , Manuel Lama

The paper investigates the problems of quickest change detection in Markov models and hidden Markov models (HMMs). Sequential observations are taken from a (hidden) Markov model. At some unknown time, an event occurs in the system and…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-09 Qi Zhang , Zhongchang Sun , Luis C. Herrera , Shaofeng Zou

This paper deals with the problem of formulating an adaptive Model Predictive Control strategy for constrained uncertain systems. We consider a linear system, in presence of bounded time varying additive uncertainty. The uncertainty is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-13 Monimoy Bujarbaruah , Xiaojing Zhang , Marko Tanaskovic , Francesco Borrelli

The problem of sequential anomaly detection is considered, where multiple data sources are monitored in real time and the goal is to identify the "anomalous" ones among them, when it is not possible to sample all sources at all times. A…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-23 Aristomenis Tsopelakos , Georgios Fellouris

We study sequential change-point detection for spatio-temporal point processes, where actionable detection requires not only identifying when a distributional change occurs but also localizing where it manifests in space. While classical…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-05 Wenbin Zhou , Liyan Xie , Shixiang Zhu

Most studies in real time change-point detection either focus on the linear model or use the CUSUM method under classical assumptions on model errors. This paper considers the sequential change-point detection in a nonlinear quantile model.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-03 Gabriela Ciuperca

We consider the sequential change-point detection problem of detecting changes that are characterized by a subspace structure. Such changes are frequent in high-dimensional streaming data altering the form of the corresponding covariance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-29 Liyan Xie , George V. Moustakides , Yao Xie

Non-stationary environments are challenging for reinforcement learning algorithms. If the state transition and/or reward functions change based on latent factors, the agent is effectively tasked with optimizing a behavior that maximizes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-21 Lucas N. Alegre , Ana L. C. Bazzan , Bruno C. da Silva

Detecting change-points in data is challenging because of the range of possible types of change and types of behaviour of data when there is no change. Statistically efficient methods for detecting a change will depend on both of these…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-29 Jie Li , Paul Fearnhead , Piotr Fryzlewicz , Tengyao Wang

This paper proposes a new minimum description length procedure to detect multiple changepoints in time series data when some times are a priori thought more likely to be changepoints. This scenario arises with temperature time series…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-14 Yingbo Li , Robert Lund , Anuradha Hewaarachchi

The problem of quickest detection of dynamic events in networks is studied. At some unknown time, an event occurs, and a number of nodes in the network are affected by the event, in that they undergo a change in the statistics of their…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-07-18 Shaofeng Zou , Venugopal V. Veeravalli , Jian Li , Don Towsley

Deep generative models for anomaly detection in multivariate time-series are typically trained by maximizing data likelihood. However, likelihood in observation space measures marginal density rather than conformity to structured temporal…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-13 David Baumgartner , Eliezer de Souza da Silva , Iñigo Urteaga

This work considers the problem of quickest detection of signals in a coupled system of $N$ sensors, which receive continuous sequential observations from the environment. It is assumed that the signals, which are modeled by general It\^{o}…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-03-11 Hongzhong Zhang , Olympia Hadjiliadis , Tobias Schäfer , H. Vincent Poor

In the classical quickest change detection problem, an observer performs a single experiment to monitor a stochastic process. The goal in the classical problem is to detect a change in the statistical properties of the process, with the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-08 Patrick Vincent N. Lubenia , Taposh Banerjee

There is a lack of methodological results for continuous time change detection due to the challenges of noninformative prior specification and efficient posterior inference in this setting. Most methodologies to date assume data are…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-28 Dan Cunha , Mark Friedl , Luis Carvalho

Change point detection plays a fundamental role in many real-world applications, where the goal is to analyze and monitor the behaviour of a data stream. In this paper, we study change detection in binary streams. To this end, we use a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-24 Nikolaj Tatti

In many applications, it is often of practical and scientific interest to detect anomaly events in a streaming sequence of high-dimensional or non-Euclidean observations. We study a non-parametric framework that utilizes nearest neighbor…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-25 Lynna Chu , Hao Chen
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