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Probabilistic Time Series Forecasting (PTSF) plays a crucial role in decision-making across various fields, including economics, energy, and transportation. Most existing methods excell at short-term forecasting, while overlooking the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-29 Xingjian Wu , Xiangfei Qiu , Hongfan Gao , Jilin Hu , Bin Yang , Chenjuan Guo

Predicting customers' long-term revenue from sparse and irregular transaction data is central to marketing resource allocation in non-contractual settings, yet existing approaches face a trade-off. Traditional probabilistic customer base…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-27 Jeffrey Näf , Riana Valera Mbelson , Markus Meierer

Longitudinal datasets measured repeatedly over time from individual subjects, arise in many biomedical, psychological, social, and other studies. A common approach to analyse high-dimensional data that contains missing values is to learn a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-21 Siddharth Ramchandran , Gleb Tikhonov , Kalle Kujanpää , Miika Koskinen , Harri Lähdesmäki

In the following short article we adapt a new and popular machine learning model for inference on medical data sets. Our method is based on the Variational AutoEncoder (VAE) framework that we adapt to survival analysis on small data sets…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-06 Cédric Beaulac , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal , David Hodgson

Popular (ensemble) Kalman filter data assimilation (DA) approaches assume that the errors in both the a priori estimate of the state and those in the observations are Gaussian. For constrained variables, e.g. sea ice concentration or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-19 Ivo Pasmans , Yumeng Chen , Tobias Sebastian Finn , Marc Bocquet , Alberto Carrassi

This paper presents a data-aided channel estimator that reduces the channel estimation error of the conventional linear minimum-mean-squared-error (LMMSE) method for multiple-input multiple-output communication systems. The basic idea is to…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-24 Yo-Seb Jeon , Jun Li , Nima Tavangaran , H. Vincent Poor

Machine Learning (ML) has become the new contrivance in almost every field. This makes them a target of fraudsters by various adversary attacks, thereby hindering the performance of ML models. Evasion and Data-Poison-based attacks are well…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-28 Pavan Venkata Sainadh Reddy , Yelleti Vivek , Gopi Pranay , Vadlamani Ravi

This thesis is a proof of concept for the potential of Variational Auto-Encoder (VAE) on representation learning of real-world Knowledge Graphs (KG). Inspired by successful approaches to the generation of molecular graphs, we evaluate the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-25 Florian Wolf

In the contrastive analysis (CA) setting, machine learning practitioners are specifically interested in discovering patterns that are enriched in a target dataset as compared to a background dataset generated from sources of variation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-23 Ethan Weinberger , Nicasia Beebe-Wang , Su-In Lee

For anticipating critical transitions in complex dynamical systems, the recent approach of parameter-driven reservoir computing requires explicit knowledge of the bifurcation parameter. We articulate a framework combining a variational…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-01-06 Shirin Panahi , Ling-Wei Kong , Bryan Glaz , Mulugeta Haile , Ying-Cheng Lai

This study presents a comparative evaluation of a Variational Autoencoder (VAE) enhanced with Minimum Description Length (MDL) regularization against a Standard Autoencoder for reconstructing high-dimensional gynecological data. The MDL-VAE…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-26 Paula Santos

In recent years Variation Autoencoders have become one of the most popular unsupervised learning of complicated distributions.Variational Autoencoder (VAE) provides more efficient reconstructive performance over a traditional autoencoder.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-12 Gautam Ramachandra

Variational Auto-Encoders (VAEs) have been widely applied for learning compact, low-dimensional latent representations of high-dimensional data. When the correlation structure among data points is available, previous work proposed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-20 Da Tang , Dawen Liang , Nicholas Ruozzi , Tony Jebara

Self-supervised disentangled representation learning is a critical task in sequence modeling. The learnt representations contribute to better model interpretability as well as the data generation, and improve the sample efficiency for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-26 Junwen Bai , Weiran Wang , Carla Gomes

In this thesis, we develop methods to enhance the interpretability of recent representation learning techniques in natural language processing (NLP) while accounting for the unavailability of annotated data. We choose to leverage…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-05-05 Ghazi Felhi

Real-world time series exhibit temporally structured uncertainty: volatility clusters in turbulent regimes, dissipates in stable periods, and shifts abruptly around structural breaks. Yet many probabilistic forecasting methods estimate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Yijun Wang , Qiyuan Zhuang , Xiu-Shen Wei

It has been shown that deep learning models can under certain circumstances outperform traditional statistical methods at forecasting. Furthermore, various techniques have been developed for quantifying the forecast uncertainty (prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-08 Thabang Mathonsi , Terence L. van Zyl

Deep learning (DL)-based methods have demonstrated remarkable achievements in addressing orthogonal frequency division multiplexing (OFDM) channel estimation challenges. However, existing DL-based methods mainly rely on separate real and…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-28 Ephrem Fola , Yang Luo , Chunbo Luo

In this paper, we present an unsupervised probabilistic model and associated estimation algorithm for multi-object tracking (MOT) based on a dynamical variational autoencoder (DVAE), called DVAE-UMOT. The DVAE is a latent-variable deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-22 Xiaoyu Lin , Laurent Girin , Xavier Alameda-Pineda

Deep generative neural networks, such as Variational AutoEncoders (VAEs), offer an opportunity to better understand and control language models from the perspective of sentence-level latent spaces. To combine the controllability of VAE…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-12-21 Yingji Zhang , Danilo S. Carvalho , Ian Pratt-Hartmann , André Freitas
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