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In this paper, we study optimization methods consisting of iteratively minimizing surrogates of an objective function. By proposing several algorithmic variants and simple convergence analyses, we make two main contributions. First, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-05-15 Julien Mairal

Approximate Bayesian inference based on Laplace approximation and quadrature methods have become increasingly popular for their efficiency at fitting latent Gaussian models (LGM), which encompass popular models such as Bayesian generalized…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-20 Dayi Li , Ziang Zhang

The computational models for geophysical flows are computationally very expensive to employ in multi-query tasks such as data assimilation, uncertainty quantification, and hence surrogate models sought to alleviate the computational burden…

Computational Physics · Physics 2022-01-10 Suraj Pawar , Omer San , Gary G. Yen

We establish a formal connection between the decades-old surrogate outcome model in biostatistics and economics and the emerging field of prediction-powered inference (PPI). The connection treats predictions from pre-trained models,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-17 Wenlong Ji , Lihua Lei , Tijana Zrnic

Improving predictive understanding of Earth system variability and change requires data-model integration. Efficient data-model integration for complex models requires surrogate modeling to reduce model evaluation time. However, building a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-17 Dan Lu , Daniel Ricciuto

Solving optimization problems with unknown parameters often requires learning a predictive model to predict the values of the unknown parameters and then solving the problem using these values. Recent work has shown that including the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-23 Kai Wang , Bryan Wilder , Andrew Perrault , Milind Tambe

Decision support systems often rely on solving complex optimization problems that may require to estimate uncertain parameters beforehand. Recent studies have shown how using traditionally trained estimators for this task can lead to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-19 Gaetano Signorelli , Michele Lombardi

Genetic algorithms are modeled after the biological evolutionary processes that use natural selection to select the best species to survive. They are heuristics based and low cost to compute. Genetic algorithms use selection, crossover, and…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2020-05-28 Mee Seong Im , Venkat R. Dasari

We provide a unifying approximate dynamic programming framework that applies to a broad variety of problems involving sequential estimation. We consider first the construction of surrogate cost functions for the purposes of optimization,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-01-02 Dimitri Bertsekas

There is now significant historical data available on decision making in organizations, consisting of the decision problem, what decisions were made, and how desirable the outcomes were. Using this data, it is possible to learn a surrogate…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2020-04-23 Olivier Francon , Santiago Gonzalez , Babak Hodjat , Elliot Meyerson , Risto Miikkulainen , Xin Qiu , Hormoz Shahrzad

Explicitly accounting for uncertainties is paramount to the safety of engineering structures. Optimization which is often carried out at the early stage of the structural design offers an ideal framework for this task. When the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-14 M. Moustapha , A. Galimshina , G. Habert , B. Sudret

A key requirement for the current generation of artificial decision-makers is that they should adapt well to changes in unexpected situations. This paper addresses the situation in which an AI for aerial dog fighting, with tunable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-12-14 Brett W. Israelsen , Nisar Ahmed , Kenneth Center , Roderick Green , Winston Bennett

Numerical solutions of partial differential equations (PDEs) require expensive simulations, limiting their application in design optimization, model-based control, and large-scale inverse problems. Surrogate modeling techniques seek to…

Computational Physics · Physics 2022-05-18 James Duvall , Karthik Duraisamy , Shaowu Pan

Expensive optimization problems (EOPs) are black-box tasks with costly objective evaluations and no gradient access, making the evaluation budget the key bottleneck. Surrogate-assisted evolutionary algorithms (SAEAs) reduce evaluations via…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2026-05-06 Ye Lu , Bingdong Li , Aimin Zhou , Hao Hao

The optimization of industrial processes remains a critical challenge, particularly when no mathematical formulation of objective functions or constraints is available. This study addresses this issue by proposing a surrogate-based,…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-07-16 Eider Garate-Perez , Kerman López de Calle-Etxabe , Susana Ferreiro

Very expensive problems are very common in practical system that one fitness evaluation costs several hours or even days. Surrogate assisted evolutionary algorithms (SAEAs) have been widely used to solve this crucial problem in the past…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2019-10-28 Hao Tong , Changwu Huang , Jialin Liu , Xin Yao

Explainable AI is a crucial component for edge services, as it ensures reliable decision making based on complex AI models. Surrogate models are a prominent approach of XAI where human-interpretable models, such as a linear regression…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Foivos Charalampakos , Thomas Tsouparopoulos , Iordanis Koutsopoulos

Recent works in learning-integrated optimization have shown promise in settings where the optimization problem is only partially observed or where general-purpose optimizers perform poorly without expert tuning. By learning an optimizer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-06 Arman Zharmagambetov , Brandon Amos , Aaron Ferber , Taoan Huang , Bistra Dilkina , Yuandong Tian

Mixed-integer optimization is at the core of many online decision-making systems that demand frequent updates of decisions in real time. However, due to their combinatorial nature, mixed-integer linear programs (MILPs) can be difficult to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Shivi Dixit , Rishabh Gupta , Qi Zhang

Surrogate models are often used as computationally efficient approximations to complex simulation models, enabling tasks such as solving inverse problems, sensitivity analysis, and probabilistic forward predictions, which would otherwise be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-13 Philipp Reiser , Paul-Christian Bürkner , Anneli Guthke