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State-of-the-art AI models largely lack an understanding of the cause-effect relationship that governs human understanding of the real world. Consequently, these models do not generalize to unseen data, often produce unfair results, and are…

The robustness of signal temporal logic not only assesses whether a signal adheres to a specification but also provides a measure of how much a formula is fulfilled or violated. The calculation of robustness is based on evaluating the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-03-13 Yuanfei Lin , Haoxuan Li , Matthias Althoff

There is currently a renewed interest in the Bayesian predictive approach to statistics. This paper offers a review on foundational concepts and focuses on predictive modeling, which by directly reasoning on prediction, bypasses inferential…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-22 Sandra Fortini , Sonia Petrone

Explaining predictions of black-box neural networks is crucial when applied to decision-critical tasks. Thus, attribution maps are commonly used to identify important image regions, despite prior work showing that humans prefer explanations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-20 Tom Nuno Wolf , Fabian Bongratz , Anne-Marie Rickmann , Sebastian Pölsterl , Christian Wachinger

We analyze state-of-the-art deep learning models for three tasks: question answering on (1) images, (2) tables, and (3) passages of text. Using the notion of \emph{attribution} (word importance), we find that these deep networks often…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2018-05-16 Pramod Kaushik Mudrakarta , Ankur Taly , Mukund Sundararajan , Kedar Dhamdhere

Predictive algorithms inform consequential decisions in settings with selective labels: outcomes are observed only for units selected by past decision makers. This creates an identification problem under unobserved confounding -- when…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-07 Ashesh Rambachan , Amanda Coston , Edward Kennedy

Conformal prediction is a popular, modern technique for providing valid predictive inference for arbitrary machine learning models. Its validity relies on the assumptions of exchangeability of the data, and symmetry of the given model…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-20 Rina Foygel Barber , Emmanuel J. Candes , Aaditya Ramdas , Ryan J. Tibshirani

The rise of human-information systems, cybernetic systems, and increasingly autonomous systems requires the application of epistemic frameworks to machines and human-machine teams. This chapter discusses higher-order design principles to…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2021-10-26 Susannah Kate Devitt

Code language models are increasingly adopted for both understanding and generative tasks. Despite their success, these models frequently produce overconfident incorrect predictions and underconfident correct predictions, undermining their…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Ravishka Rathnasuriya , Wei Yang

When a language model sees a document contradicting its training knowledge, it must choose: follow the document or trust itself. Prior work proved this choice depends on how well-known the fact is. We ask: does the model's chain-of-thought…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Pruthvinath Jeripity Venkata

Predicting the outcome of liquid droplet collisions is an extensively studied phenomenon but the current physics based models for predicting the outcomes are poor (accuracy $\approx 43\%$). The key weakness of these models is their limited…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-04 Arpit Agarwal

Temporal logic rules are often used in control and robotics to provide structured, human-interpretable descriptions of trajectory data. These rules have numerous applications including safety validation using formal methods, constraining…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-29 Emi Soroka , Rohan Sinha , Sanjay Lall

With the wide adoption of machine learning techniques, requirements have evolved beyond sheer high performance, often requiring models to be trustworthy. A common approach to increase the trustworthiness of such systems is to allow them to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-16 Andrea Pugnana , Carlos Mougan , Dan Saattrup Nielsen

Prediction credibility measures, in the form of confidence intervals or probability distributions, are fundamental in statistics and machine learning to characterize model robustness, detect out-of-distribution samples (outliers), and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-26 Luiz F. O. Chamon , Santiago Paternain , Alejandro Ribeiro

There is increasing regulatory interest in whether machine learning algorithms deployed in consequential domains (e.g. in criminal justice) treat different demographic groups "fairly." However, there are several proposed notions of…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-02-19 Christopher Jung , Sampath Kannan , Changhwa Lee , Mallesh M. Pai , Aaron Roth , Rakesh Vohra

Criminal Court View Generation (CVG) is a critical task in Legal Artificial Intelligence (Legal AI), involving the generation of court view based on case facts. In this work, we systematically explore the capabilities of lightweight…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Zhitian Hou , Tianyong Hao , Nanli Zeng , Zhixiong Chao , Kun Zeng

A fundamental challenge in causal inference with observational data is correct specification of a causal model. When there is model uncertainty, analysts may seek to use estimates from multiple candidate models that rely on distinct, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-03 Rohit Bhattacharya , Ina Ocelli , Ted Westling

Understanding and predicting highway lane-change maneuvers is essential for driving modeling and its automation. The development of data-based lane-changing decision-making algorithms is nowadays in full expansion. We compare empirically in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-08 Basma Khelfa , Ibrahima Ba , Antoine Tordeux

A digital forensic investigation aims to collect and analyse the evidence necessary to demonstrate a potential hypothesis of a digital crime. Despite the availability of several digital forensics tools, investigators still approach each…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2014-02-06 Liliana Pasquale. Yijun Yu , Luca Cavallaro , Mazeiar Salehie , Thein Than Tun , Bashar Nuseibeh

Autonomous and semi-autonomous systems are using deep learning models to improve decision-making. However, deep classifiers can be overly confident in their incorrect predictions, a major issue especially in safety-critical domains. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-05 Murat Sensoy , Lance M. Kaplan , Simon Julier , Maryam Saleki , Federico Cerutti