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Robots rely on motion planning to navigate safely and efficiently while performing various tasks. In this paper, we investigate motion planning through Bayesian inference, where motion plans are inferred based on planning objectives and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-06-02 Ali Vaziri , Iman Askari , Huazhen Fang

Filtering in spatially-extended dynamical systems is a challenging problem with significant practical applications such as numerical weather prediction. Particle filters allow asymptotically consistent inference but require infeasibly large…

Computation · Statistics 2019-06-04 Matthew M. Graham , Alexandre H. Thiery

This work proposes ensemble Kalman randomized maximum likelihood estimation, a new derivative-free method for performing randomized maximum likelihood estimation, which is a method that can be used to generate approximate samples from…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-07-08 Pavlos Stavrinides , Elizabeth Qian

Lagrangian data assimilation exploits the trajectories of moving tracers as observations to recover the underlying flow field. One major challenge in Lagrangian data assimilation is the intrinsic nonlinearity that impedes using exact…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-06-14 Nan Chen , Shubin Fu

In this paper, we present a new ensemble-based filter method by reconstructing the analysis step of the particle filter through a transport map, which directly transports prior particles to posterior particles. The transport map is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-14 Dengfei Zeng , Lijian Jiang

We propose two new Bayesian smoothing methods for general state-space models with unknown parameters. The first approach is based on the particle learning and smoothing algorithm, but with an adjustment in the backward resampling weights.…

Computation · Statistics 2016-04-20 Biao Yang , Jonathan R. Stroud , Gabriel Huerta

We propose analytical mean square error (MSE) expressions for the Kalman filter (KF) and the Kalman smoother (KS) for benchmark studies, where the true system dynamics are unknown or unavailable to the estimator. In such cases, as in…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-18 Batin Kurt , Umut Orguner

Recently, a novel method for developing filtering algorithms, based on the parallel concatenation of Bayesian filters and called turbo filtering, has been proposed. In this manuscript we show how the same conceptual approach can be…

Computation · Statistics 2019-02-18 Giorgio M. Vitetta , Pasquale Di Viesti , Emilio Sirignano

We derive a novel, provably robust, and closed-form Bayesian update rule for online filtering in state-space models in the presence of outliers and misspecified measurement models. Our method combines generalised Bayesian inference with…

We consider filtering in high-dimensional non-Gaussian state-space models with intractable transition kernels, nonlinear and possibly chaotic dynamics, and sparse observations in space and time. We propose a novel filtering methodology that…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-07 Alessio Spantini , Ricardo Baptista , Youssef Marzouk

In this paper we propose a (non-linear) smoothing algorithm for group-affine observation systems, a recently introduced class of estimation problems on Lie groups that bear a particular structure. As most non-linear smoothing methods, the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2018-08-07 Paul Chauchat , Axel Barrau , Silvère Bonnabel

This paper provides a unified perspective of iterative ensemble Kalman methods, a family of derivative-free algorithms for parameter reconstruction and other related tasks. We identify, compare and develop three subfamilies of ensemble…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-10-27 Neil K. Chada , Yuming Chen , Daniel Sanz-Alonso

In this paper, we introduce the notion of generalized $\epsilon$-stationarity for a class of nonconvex and nonsmooth composite minimization problems on compact Riemannian submanifold embedded in Euclidean space. To find a generalized…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-10-31 Zheng Peng , Weihe Wu , Jiang Hu , Kangkang Deng

The Adaptive Smoothing Method (ASM) is a data-driven approach for traffic state estimation. It interpolates unobserved traffic quantities by smoothing measurements along spatio-temporal directions defined by characteristic traffic wave…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-12-14 Chuhan Yang , Bilal Thonnam Thodi , Saif Eddin Jabari

Koopman spectral analysis plays a crucial role in understanding and modeling nonlinear dynamical systems as it reveals key system behaviors and long-term dynamics. However, the presence of measurement noise poses a significant challenge to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-15 Zhexuan Zeng , Jun Zhou , Yasen Wang , Zuowei Ping

Recently, a novel method for developing filtering algorithms, based on the interconnection of two Bayesian filters and called double Bayesian filtering, has been proposed. In this manuscript we show that the same conceptual approach can be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-23 Pasquale Di Viesti , Giorgio M. Vitetta , Emilio Sirignano

We present an adaptive smoother for linear state-space models with unknown process and measurement noise covariances. The proposed method utilizes the variational Bayes technique to perform approximate inference. The resulting smoother is…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2023-07-19 Tohid Ardeshiri , Emre Özkan , Umut Orguner , Fredrik Gustafsson

We address the problem of observation noise misspecification in Bayesian filtering of dynamical systems via recent advances in generalised Bayesian inference. Mis-match in tail decay between the true data generating process and an assumed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-27 Hans Reimann , Sebastian Reich

We address the problem of autonomous tracking and state estimation for marine vessels, autonomous vehicles, and other dynamic signals under a (structured) sparsity assumption. The aim is to improve the tracking and estimation accuracy with…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-01 Rui Gao , Simo Särkkä , Rubén Claveria-Vega , Simon Godsill

Ensemble randomized maximum likelihood (EnRML) is an iterative (stochastic) ensemble smoother, used for large and nonlinear inverse problems, such as history matching and data assimilation. Its current formulation is overly complicated and…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-09-12 Patrick N. Raanes , Geir Evensen , Andreas S. Stordal