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Related papers: Forecasting Hierarchical Time Series

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Forecasting can estimate the statement of events according to the historical data and it is considerably important in many disciplines. At present, time series models have been utilized to solve forecasting problems in various domains. In…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-03-10 S. Chen , X. Lan , Y. Hu , Q. Liu , Y. Deng

Multivariate time series alignment is critical for ensuring coherent analysis across variables, but missing values and timestamp inconsistencies make this task highly challenging. Existing approaches often rely on prior imputation, which…

Databases · Computer Science 2025-12-23 Ding Jia , Jingyu Zhu , Yu Sun , Aoqian Zhang , Shaoxu Song , Haiwei Zhang , Xiaojie Yuan

The proposed method in this paper is designed to address the problem of time series forecasting. Although some exquisitely designed models achieve excellent prediction performances, how to extract more useful information and make accurate…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-02-01 Yuanpeng He

Many businesses and industries nowadays rely on large quantities of time series data making time series forecasting an important research area. Global forecasting models that are trained across sets of time series have shown a huge…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-25 Rakshitha Godahewa , Christoph Bergmeir , Geoffrey I. Webb , Rob J. Hyndman , Pablo Montero-Manso

This study concerns problems of time-series forecasting under the weakest of assumptions. Related results are surveyed and are points of departure for the developments here, some of which are new and others are new derivations of previous…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-17 L. Gyorfi , G. Morvai , S. Yakowitz

While we are usually focused on forecasting future values of time series, it is often valuable to additionally predict their entire probability distributions, e.g. to evaluate risk, Monte Carlo simulations. On example of time series of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-24 Jarek Duda

Time series data can be subject to changes in the underlying process that generates them and, because of these changes, models built on old samples can become obsolete or perform poorly. In this work, we present a way to incorporate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-27 Jesus Antonanzas , Marta Arias , Albert Bifet

In this research the technology of complex Markov chains is applied to predict financial time series. The main distinction of complex or high-order Markov Chains and simple first-order ones is the existing of aftereffect or memory. The…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-11-23 Vladimir Soloviev , Vladimir Saptsin , Dmitry Chabanenko

Time series forecasting presents unique challenges that limit the effectiveness of traditional machine learning algorithms. To address these limitations, various approaches have incorporated linear constraints into learning algorithms, such…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-18 Nathan Doumèche , Francis Bach , Éloi Bedek , Gérard Biau , Claire Boyer , Yannig Goude

There is nowadays a constant flux of data being generated and collected in all types of real world systems. These data sets are often indexed by time, space or both requiring appropriate approaches to analyze the data. In univariate…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-10-20 Vanessa Freitas Silva , Maria Eduarda Silva , Pedro Ribeiro , Fernando Silva

Deciding the best future execution time is a critical task in many business activities while evolving time series forecasting, and optimal timing strategy provides such a solution, which is driven by observed data. This solution has plenty…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-10-10 Chen Pan , Fan Zhou , Xuanwei Hu , Xinxin Zhu , Wenxin Ning , Zi Zhuang , Siqiao Xue , James Zhang , Yunhua Hu

Time series interpretation aims to provide an explanation of what is observed in terms of its underlying processes. The present work is based on the assumption that the common classification-based approaches to time series interpretation…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-12-09 Tomás Teijeiro , Paulo Félix

Energy systems modeling frequently relies on time series data, whether observed or forecast. This is particularly the case, for example, in capacity planning models that use hourly production and load data forecast to occur over the coming…

Computation · Statistics 2025-02-13 Kelly Wang , Steven O. Kimbrough

Initially designed for independent datas, low-rank matrix completion was successfully applied in many domains to the reconstruction of partially observed high-dimensional time series. However, there is a lack of theory to support the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-05 Pierre Alquier , Nicolas Marie , Amélie Rosier

Several applications in time series forecasting require predicting multiple steps ahead. Despite the vast amount of literature in the topic, both classical and recent deep learning based approaches have mostly focused on minimising…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-15 Ignacio Hounie , Javier Porras-Valenzuela , Alejandro Ribeiro

Time series forecasting presents significant challenges in real-world applications across various domains. Building upon the decomposition of the time series, we enhance the architecture of machine learning models for better multivariate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Sanjeev Panta , Xu Yuan , Li Chen , Nian-Feng Tzeng

The purpose of this paper is to give an overview of the time series forecasting problem based on similarity of trajectories. Various methodologies are introduced and studied, and detailed discussions on hyperparameter optimization, outlier…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-20 İlker Arslan , Can Hakan Dağıdır , Ümit Işlak

A highly comparative, feature-based approach to time series classification is introduced that uses an extensive database of algorithms to extract thousands of interpretable features from time series. These features are derived from across…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-10 Ben D. Fulcher , Nick S. Jones

Time series analysis finds wide applications in fields such as weather forecasting, anomaly detection, and behavior recognition. Previous methods attempted to model temporal variations directly using 1D time series. However, this has been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-08 Qiang Wu , Gechang Yao , Zhixi Feng , Shuyuan Yang

Real-world time series often exhibit complex interdependencies that cannot be captured in isolation. Global models that model past data from multiple related time series globally while producing series-specific forecasts locally are now…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-14 Abishek Sriramulu , Christoph Bergmeir , Slawek Smyl
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