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Many environmental processes exhibit weakening spatial dependence as events become more extreme. Well-known limiting models, such as max-stable or generalized Pareto processes, cannot capture this, which can lead to a preference for models…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-06 Raphaël G. Huser , Jennifer L. Wadsworth

Normal copula with a correlation coefficient between $-1$ and $1$ is tail independent and so it severely underestimates extreme probabilities. By letting the correlation coefficient in a normal copula depend on the sample size, H\"usler and…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-04 Xin Liao , Liang Peng , Zuoxiang Peng , Yanting Zheng

Following our previous work on copula-based nonsymmetric bivariate dependence measures, we propose a new set of conditions on nonsymmetric multivariate dependence measures which characterize both independence and complete dependence of one…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-04 Hui Li

This paper establishes asymptotic results for the maximum likelihood and restricted maximum likelihood (REML) estimators of the parameters in the nested error regression model for clustered data when both of the number of independent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-25 Ziyang Lyu , A. H. Welsh

We tackle the modeling of threshold exceedances in asymptotically independent stochastic processes by constructions based on Laplace random fields. These are defined as Gaussian random fields scaled with a stochastic variable following an…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-03-09 Thomas Opitz

In this article, a copula-based method for mixed regression models is proposed, where the conditional distribution of the response variable, given covariates, is modelled by a parametric family of continuous or discrete distributions, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-13 Pavel Krupskii , Bouchra R Nasri , Bruno N Remillard

Extreme values geostatistics make it possible to model the asymptotic behaviors of random phenomena which depends on space or time parameters. In this paper, we propose new models of the extremal coefficient within a spatial stationary…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-05 Ouoba Fabrice , Diakarya Barro , Hay Yoba Talkibing

We consider a stationary random field indexed by an increasing sequence of subsets of $\mathbb{Z}^d$ obeying a very broad geometrical assumption on how the sequence expands. Under certain mixing and local conditions, we show how the tail…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-19 Anders Rønn-Nielsen , Mads Stehr

We show that the set of $d$-variate symmetric stable tail dependence functions, uniquely associated with exchangeable $d$-dimensional extreme-value copulas, is a simplex and determine its extremal boundary. The subset of elements which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-11 Jan-Frederik Mai , Matthias Scherer

This paper considers the efficient estimation of copula-based semiparametric strictly stationary Markov models. These models are characterized by nonparametric invariant (one-dimensional marginal) distributions and parametric bivariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-20 Xiaohong Chen , Wei Biao Wu , Yanping Yi

The majority of finite mixture models suffer from not allowing asymmetric tail dependencies within components and not capturing non-elliptical clusters in clustering applications. Since vine copulas are very flexible in capturing these…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-09 Özge Sahin , Claudia Czado

We propose a new copula model that can be used with replicated spatial data. Unlike the multivariate normal copula, the proposed copula is based on the assumption that a common factor exists and affects the joint dependence of all…

Applications · Statistics 2016-12-08 Pavel Krupskii , Raphael Huser , Marc G. Genton

Copula models have become popular in different applications, including modeling shocks, in view of their ability to describe better the dependence concepts in stochastic systems. The class of maxmin copulas was recently introduced by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-12 Tomaž Košir , Matjaž Omladič

Several collective risk models have recently been proposed by relaxing the widely used but controversial assumption of independence between claim frequency and severity. Approaches include the bivariate copula model, random effect model,…

Applications · Statistics 2019-06-11 Rosy Oh , Jae Youn Ahn , Woojoo Lee

We introduce a Markov product structure for multivariate tail dependence functions, building upon the well-known Markov product for copulas. We investigate algebraic and monotonicity properties of this new product as well as its role in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-21 Karl Friedrich Siburg , Christopher Strothmann

We develop a novel characterization of extremal dependence between two cortical regions of the brain when its signals display extremely large amplitudes. We show that connectivity in the tails of the distribution reveals unique features of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-09 Mara Sherlin Talento , Jordan Richards , Raphael Huser , Hernando Ombao

Products between phase-type distributed random variables and any independent, positive and continuous random variable are studied. Their asymptotic properties are established, and an expectation-maximization algorithm for their effective…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-25 Hansjoerg Albrecher , Martin Bladt , Mogens Bladt , Jorge Yslas

Modelling multivariate extreme events is essential when extrapolating beyond the range of observed data. Parametric models that are suitable for real-world extremes must be flexible -- particularly in their ability to capture asymmetric…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-05 Pavel Krupskii , Boris Béranger

The skew-normal and related families are flexible and asymmetric parametric models suitable for modelling a diverse range of systems. We show that the multivariate maximum of a high-dimensional extended skew-normal random sample has…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-02 Boris Beranger , Simone A. Padoan , Yangfan Xu , Scott A. Sisson

The classical tail dependence coefficient (TDC) may fail to capture non-exchangeable features of tail dependence due to its restrictive focus on the diagonal of the underlying copula. To address this limitation, the framework of path-based…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-08 Takaaki Koike , Marius Hofert , Haruki Tsunekawa
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