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Fully describing the entire data set is essential in multivariate risk assessment, since moderate levels of one variable can influence another, potentially leading it to be extreme. Additionally, modelling both non-extreme and extreme…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-11 Lídia M. André , Jonathan A. Tawn

Copulas are now frequently used to construct or estimate multivariate distributions because of their ability to take into account the multivariate dependence of the different variables while separately specifying marginal distributions.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-02 Mohamad A. Khaled , Robert Kohn

Stochastic volatility processes with heavy-tailed innovations are a well-known model for financial time series. In these models, the extremes of the log returns are mainly driven by the extremes of the i.i.d. innovation sequence which leads…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-25 Anja Janssen , Holger Drees

The concept of intermediate tail dependence is useful if one wants to quantify the degree of positive dependence in the tails when there is no strong evidence of presence of the usual tail dependence. We first review existing studies on…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-12-05 Lei Hua , Harry Joe

The present contribution derives an explicit expression for (a version of) every uni- and multi-variate conditional distribution (i.e., Markov kernel) of Archimedean copulas and uses this representation to generalize a recently established…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-07 Thimo Maria Kasper

This paper introduces a new class of Cox models for dependent bivariate data. The impact of the covariate on the dependence of the variables is captured through the modification of their copula. Various classes of well known copulas are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-07-26 Mohamed Achibi , Michel Broniatowski

Classical models for multivariate or spatial extremes are mainly based upon the asymptotically justified max-stable or generalized Pareto processes. These models are suitable when asymptotic dependence is present, i.e., the joint tail…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-13 Zhongwei Zhang , Raphaël Huser , Thomas Opitz , Jennifer L. Wadsworth

For multivariate distributions in the domain of attraction of a max-stable distribution, the tail copula and the stable tail dependence function are equivalent ways to capture the dependence in the upper tail. The empirical versions of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-09 John H. J. Einmahl , Johan Segers

The class of index-mixed copulas is introduced and its properties are investigated. Index-mixed copulas are constructed from given base copulas and a random index vector, and show a rather remarkable degree of analytical tractability. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-10 Klaus Herrmann , Marius Hofert , Nahid Sadr

We propose a new generative modeling technique for learning multidimensional cumulative distribution functions (CDFs) in the form of copulas. Specifically, we consider certain classes of copulas known as Archimedean and hierarchical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-30 Yuting Ng , Ali Hasan , Khalil Elkhalil , Vahid Tarokh

In many areas of interest, modern risk assessment requires estimation of the extremal behaviour of sums of random variables. We derive the first order upper-tail behaviour of the weighted sum of bivariate random variables under weak…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-17 Jordan Richards , Jonathan A. Tawn

Being the limits of copulas of componentwise maxima in independent random samples, extreme-value copulas can be considered to provide appropriate models for the dependence structure between rare events. Extreme-value copulas not only arise…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-12-07 Gordon Gudendorf , Johan Segers

To disentangle the complex non-stationary dependence structure of precipitation extremes over the entire contiguous U.S., we propose a flexible local approach based on factor copula models. Our sub-asymptotic spatial modeling framework…

Applications · Statistics 2019-03-26 Daniela Castro-Camilo , Raphaël Huser

It is well-known that the expected scaled maximum of non-negative random variables with unit mean defines a stable tail dependence function associated with some extreme-value copula. In the special case when these random variables are…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-30 Jan-Frederik Mai

Tail dependence refers to clustering of extreme events. In the context of financial risk management, the clustering of high-severity risks has a devastating effect on the well-being of firms and is thus of pivotal importance in risk…

Applications · Statistics 2016-07-19 Edward Furman , Alexey Kuznetsov , Jianxi Su , Ricardas Zitikis

A notion of tail dependence based on operator regular variation is introduced for copulas, and the standard tail dependence used in the copula literature is included as a special case. The non-standard tail dependence with marginal power…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-11 Haijun Li

We propose a novel probabilistic model to facilitate the learning of multivariate tail dependence of multiple financial assets. Our method allows one to construct from known random vectors, e.g., standard normal, sophisticated joint…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-14 Xing Yan , Qi Wu , Wen Zhang

Tail dependence plays an essential role in the characterization of joint extreme events in multivariate data. However, most standard tail dependence parameters assume continuous margins. This note presents a form of tail dependence suitable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-04 Victory Idowu

A new class of bivariate distributions is introduced that extends the Generalized Marshall-Olkin distributions of Li and Pellerey (2011). Their dependence structure is studied through the analysis of the copula functions that they induce.…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-13 Sabrina Mulinacci

Identifying groups of variables that may be large simultaneously amounts to finding out which joint tail dependence coefficients of a multivariate distribution are positive. The asymptotic distribution of a vector of nonparametric,…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-28 Maël Chiapino , Anne Sabourin , Johan Segers