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Collecting operationally realistic data to inform machine learning models can be costly. Before collecting new data, it is helpful to understand where a model is deficient. For example, object detectors trained on images of rare objects may…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-24 Anna R. Flowers , Christopher T. Franck , Robert B. Gramacy , Justin A. Krometis

A learning-based safety filter is developed for discrete-time linear time-invariant systems with unknown models subject to Gaussian noises with unknown covariance. Safety is characterized using polytopic constraints on the states and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-09 Farhad Farokhi , Alex S. Leong , Mohammad Zamani , Iman Shames

In functional data analysis, replicate observations of a smooth functional process and its derivatives offer a unique opportunity to flexibly estimate continuous-time ordinary differential equation models. Ramsay (1996) first proposed to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-27 Edward Gunning , Giles Hooker

We provide efficient algorithms for the problem of distribution learning from high-dimensional Gaussian data where in each sample, some of the variable values are missing. We suppose that the variables are missing not at random (MNAR). The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-29 Arnab Bhattacharyya , Constantinos Daskalakis , Themis Gouleakis , Yuhao Wang

Most research designing novel predictive models, or employing existing ones, assumes that training and testing data are independent and identically distributed. In practice, the data encountered at serving time often deviate from the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-30 Hanyu Duan , Yi Yang , Ahmed Abbasi , Kar Yan Tam

In computational reinforcement learning, a growing body of work seeks to express an agent's model of the world through predictions about future sensations. In this manuscript we focus on predictions expressed as General Value Functions:…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-23 Alex Kearney , Anna Koop , Johannes Günther , Patrick M. Pilarski

We introduce an adaptive method with formal quality guarantees for weak supervision in a non-stationary setting. Our goal is to infer the unknown labels of a sequence of data by using weak supervision sources that provide independent noisy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-05 Alessio Mazzetto , Reza Esfandiarpoor , Akash Singirikonda , Eli Upfal , Stephen H. Bach

Gaussian Process (GP) models are a powerful tool in probabilistic machine learning with a solid theoretical foundation. Thanks to current advances, modeling complex data with GPs is becoming increasingly feasible, which makes them an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Sarem Seitz

Hyper-differential sensitivity analysis with respect to model discrepancy was recently developed to enable uncertainty quantification for optimization problems. The approach consists of two primary steps: (i) Bayesian calibration of the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-09 Joseph Hart , Bart van Bloemen Waanders , Jixian Li , Timbwaoga A. J. Ouermi , Chris R. Johnson

This manuscript offers the perspective of experimentalists on a number of modern data-driven techniques: model predictive control relying on Gaussian processes, adaptive data-driven control based on behavioral theory, and deep reinforcement…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-01 Loris Di Natale , Yingzhao Lian , Emilio T. Maddalena , Jicheng Shi , Colin N. Jones

The data distribution commonly evolves over time leading to problems such as concept drift that often decrease classifier performance. Current techniques are not adequate for this problem because they either require detailed knowledge of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-13 Johannes Schneider

Machine learning models deployed on medical imaging tasks must be equipped with out-of-distribution detection capabilities in order to avoid erroneous predictions. It is unsure whether out-of-distribution detection models reliant on deep…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-06-28 Sebastian G. Popescu , David J. Sharp , James H. Cole , Konstantinos Kamnitsas , Ben Glocker

We consider the problem of active learning for global sensitivity analysis of expensive black-box functions. Our aim is to efficiently learn the importance of different input variables, e.g., in vehicle safety experimentation, we study the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Syrine Belakaria , Benjamin Letham , Janardhan Rao Doppa , Barbara Engelhardt , Stefano Ermon , Eytan Bakshy

A common challenge in the natural sciences is to disentangle distinct, unknown sources from observations. Examples of this source separation task include deblending galaxies in a crowded field, distinguishing the activity of individual…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-08 Sebastian Wagner-Carena , Aizhan Akhmetzhanova , Sydney Erickson

This paper proposes a safe data-driven control framework for nonlinear systems with partially known dynamics. The method ensures stability and constraint satisfaction during online learning, assuming only a stabilizable linear approximation…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-12 Stefano Tonini , Soroush Rastegarpour , Hamid Reza Feyzmahdavian , Nicola Bastianello , Karl Henrik Johansson

Hidden variable graphical models can sometimes imply constraints on the observable distribution that are more complex than simple conditional independence relations. These observable constraints can falsify assumptions of the model that…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Michael C. Sachs , Erin E. Gabriel , Robin J. Evans , Arvid Sjölander

Gaussian processes are a powerful framework for quantifying uncertainty and for sequential decision-making but are limited by the requirement of solving linear systems. In general, this has a cubic cost in dataset size and is sensitive to…

We address the problem of continual learning in multi-task Gaussian process (GP) models for handling sequential input-output observations. Our approach extends the existing prior-posterior recursion of online Bayesian inference, i.e.\ past…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-04 Pablo Moreno-Muñoz , Antonio Artés-Rodríguez , Mauricio A. Álvarez

Within the past two decades, Gaussian process regression has been increasingly used for modeling dynamical systems due to some beneficial properties such as the bias variance trade-off and the strong connection to Bayesian mathematics. As…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-02-11 Thomas Beckers

In unsupervised domain adaptation, it is widely known that the target domain error can be provably reduced by having a shared input representation that makes the source and target domains indistinguishable from each other. Very recently it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-26 Minyoung Kim , Pritish Sahu , Behnam Gholami , Vladimir Pavlovic