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Stochastic models for chemical reaction networks have become very popular in recent years. For such models, the estimation of parameter sensitivities is an important and challenging problem. Sensitivity values help in analyzing the network,…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-08 Ankit Gupta , Mustafa Khammash

In many sequential decision-making problems we may want to manage risk by minimizing some measure of variability in rewards in addition to maximizing a standard criterion. Variance related risk measures are among the most common…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-03-19 Prashanth L. A. , Mohammad Ghavamzadeh

Stochastic discriminative EM (sdEM) is an online-EM-type algorithm for discriminative training of probabilistic generative models belonging to the exponential family. In this work, we introduce and justify this algorithm as a stochastic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-04-05 Andres R. Masegosa

We propose a probabilistic formulation that enables sequential detection of multiple change points in a network setting. We present a class of sequential detection rules for certain functionals of change points (minimum among a subset), and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-09 Arash Ali Amini , XuanLong Nguyen

We develop a probabilistic machine learning method, which formulates a class of stochastic neural networks by a stochastic optimal control problem. An efficient stochastic gradient descent algorithm is introduced under the stochastic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-06 Richard Archibald , Feng Bao , Yanzhao Cao , He Zhang

Stochastic fluctuations of molecule numbers are ubiquitous in biological systems. Important examples include gene expression and enzymatic processes in living cells. Such systems are typically modelled as chemical reaction networks whose…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2017-01-13 David Schnoerr , Guido Sanguinetti , Ramon Grima

Estimating parameters of a diffusion process given continuous-time observations of the process via maximum likelihood approaches or, online, via stochastic gradient descent or Kalman filter formulations constitutes a well-established…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-17 Jan Albrecht , Sebastian Reich

In this work, we investigate stochastic quasi-Newton methods for minimizing a finite sum of cost functions over a decentralized network. In Part I, we develop a general algorithmic framework that incorporates stochastic quasi-Newton…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-22 Jiaojiao Zhang , Huikang Liu , Anthony Man-Cho So , Qing Ling

We present a numerical method to compute the survival function and the moments of the exit time for a piecewise-deterministic Markov process (PDMP). Our approach is based on the quantization of an underlying discrete-time Markov chain…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-31 Adrien Brandejsky , Benoîte de Saporta , François Dufour

In this paper, we propose a data-driven method to discover multiscale chemical reactions governed by the law of mass action. First, we use a single matrix to represent the stoichiometric coefficients for both the reactants and products in a…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2021-11-24 Juntao Huang , Yizhou Zhou , Wen-An Yong

We propose a numerical technique for parameter inference in Markov models of biological processes. Based on time-series data of a process we estimate the kinetic rate constants by maximizing the likelihood of the data. The computation of…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2011-02-15 Aleksandr Andreychenko , Linar Mikeev , David Spieler , Verena Wolf

In neural networks with binary activations and or binary weights the training by gradient descent is complicated as the model has piecewise constant response. We consider stochastic binary networks, obtained by adding noises in front of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-05 Alexander Shekhovtsov , Viktor Yanush , Boris Flach

We prove a sample path Large Deviation Principle (LDP) for a class of jump processes whose rates are not uniformly Lipschitz continuous in phase space. Building on it we further establish the corresponding Wentzell-Freidlin (W-F) (infinite…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-24 Andrea Agazzi , Amir Dembo , Jean-Pierre Eckmann

In this paper we describe an algorithm for estimating the provenance of hacks on websites. That is, given properties of sites and the temporal occurrence of attacks, we are able to attribute individual attacks to joint causes and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-16 Ziqi Liu , Alexander J. Smola , Kyle Soska , Yu-Xiang Wang , Qinghua Zheng , Jun Zhou

Chemical reaction networks describe interactions between biochemical species. Once an underlying reaction network is given for a biochemical system, the system dynamics can be modelled with various mathematical frameworks such as continuous…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-22 German Enciso , Radek Erban , Jinsu Kim

An analytical formula for the occurence probability of Markovian stochastic paths with repeatedly visited and/or equal departure rates is derived. This formula is essential for an efficient investigation of the trajectories belonging to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Dirk Helbing , Rolf Molini

We consider Markov Decision Problems defined over continuous state and action spaces, where an autonomous agent seeks to learn a map from its states to actions so as to maximize its long-term discounted accumulation of rewards. We address…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-04-23 Alec Koppel , Ekaterina Tolstaya , Ethan Stump , Alejandro Ribeiro

Safe path planning is a crucial component in autonomous robotics. The many approaches to find a collision free path can be categorically divided into trajectory optimisers and sampling-based methods. When planning using occupancy maps, the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2017-03-02 Gilad Francis , Lionel Ott , Fabio Ramos

Within a density matrix approach for nuclear many--body system, it is derived non--Markovian Langevin equations of motion for nuclear collective parameters, where memory effects are defined by memory time. The developed stochastic approach…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2021-11-24 V. M. Kolomietz , S. V. Radionov

Variational inference algorithms have proven successful for Bayesian analysis in large data settings, with recent advances using stochastic variational inference (SVI). However, such methods have largely been studied in independent or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-11-07 Nicholas J. Foti , Jason Xu , Dillon Laird , Emily B. Fox