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Multi-class event streams arise in numerous real-world applications, where uncovering structured, interpretable inter-event relationships, together with accurate prediction, remains a central challenge. Existing neural point process models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Zhitong Xu , Qiwei Yuan , Yinghao Chen , Shandian Zhe , Bin Shen

In this work, we identify open research opportunities in applying Neural Temporal Point Process (NTPP) models to industry scale customer behavior data by carefully reproducing NTPP models published up to date on known literature benchmarks…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-19 Dominykas Šeputis , Jevgenij Gamper , Remigijus Paulavičius

We introduce a new version of dynamic time warping for samples of observed event times that are modeled as time-warped intensity processes. Our approach is devel- oped within a framework where for each experimental unit or subject in a…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-11-07 Ana Arribas-Gil , Hans-Georg Müller

Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) comprise a powerful generative approach for modeling sequential data and time-series in general. However, the commonly employed assumption of the dependence of the current time frame to a single or multiple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-13 Konstantinos P. Panousis , Sotirios Chatzis , Sergios Theodoridis

In this paper we propose a data intensive approach for inferring sentence-internal temporal relations. Temporal inference is relevant for practical NLP applications which either extract or synthesize temporal information (e.g.,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2011-10-10 M. Lapata , A. Lascarides

Modern data acquisition routinely produce massive amounts of event sequence data in various domains, such as social media, healthcare, and financial markets. These data often exhibit complicated short-term and long-term temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-23 Simiao Zuo , Haoming Jiang , Zichong Li , Tuo Zhao , Hongyuan Zha

Any human activity can be represented as a temporal sequence of actions performed to achieve a certain goal. Unlike machine-made time series, these action sequences are highly disparate as the time taken to finish a similar action might…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-08-29 Vinayak Gupta , Srikanta Bedathur

The large volumes of data generated by human activities such as online purchases, health records, spatial mobility etc. are stored as a sequence of events over a continuous time. Learning deep learning methods over such sequences is a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-16 Vinayak Gupta

Temporal point processes (TPPs) provide a natural mathematical framework for modeling heartbeats due to capturing underlying physiological inductive biases. In this work, we apply density-based neural TPPs to model heartbeat dynamics from…

Tissues and Organs · Quantitative Biology 2025-12-01 Sandya Subramanian , Bharath Ramsundar

A possibly time-dependent transition intensity matrix or generator $(Q(t))$ characterizes the law of a Markov jump process (MP). For a time homogeneous MP, the transition probability matrix (TPM) can be expressed as a matrix exponential of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-23 Dario Gasbarra , Sangita Kulathinal , Etienne Sebag

We propose Markov two-components processes (M2CP) as a probabilistic model of asynchronous systems based on the trace semantics for concurrency. Considering an asynchronous system distributed over two sites, we introduce concepts and tools…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-07-01 Samy Abbes

We present a sequential model for temporal relation classification between intra-sentence events. The key observation is that the overall syntactic structure and compositional meanings of the multi-word context between events are important…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2017-07-25 Prafulla Kumar Choubey , Ruihong Huang

Modeling dynamic temporal dependencies is a critical challenge in time series pre-training, which evolve due to distribution shifts and multi-scale patterns. This temporal variability severely impairs the generalization of pre-trained…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-19 Yuemin Wu , Zhongze Wu , Xiu Su , Feng Yang , Hongyan Xu , Xi Lin , Wenti Huang , Shan You , Chang Xu

Inspired from modern out-of-equilibrium statistical physics models, a matrix product based framework permits the formal definition of random vectors (and random time series) whose desired joint distributions are a priori prescribed. Its key…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-03-21 Florian Angeletti , Eric Bertin , Patrice Abry

Effectively modeling non-stationary dynamics in probabilistic multivariate time series(MTS) forecasting requires balancing expressiveness with robustness. Existing parametric approaches benefit from strong inductive biases but lack…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-25 Jinglin Li , Jun Tan , QI Fang , Ning Gui

Neural network-based Marked Temporal Point Process (MTPP) models have been widely adopted to model event sequences in high-stakes applications, raising concerns about the trustworthiness of outputs from these models. This study focuses on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-19 Sishun Liu , Ke Deng , Xiuzhen Zhang , Yan Wang

Understanding temporal and causal relations between events is a fundamental natural language understanding task. Because a cause must be before its effect in time, temporal and causal relations are closely related and one relation even…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-06-13 Qiang Ning , Zhili Feng , Hao Wu , Dan Roth

Finding interdependency relations between (possibly multivariate) time series provides valuable knowledge about the processes that generate the signals. Information theory sets a natural framework for non-parametric measures of several…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-02-09 German Gomez-Herrero , Wei Wu , Kalle Rutanen , Miguel C. Soriano , Gordon Pipa , Raul Vicente

Previous approaches to modelling interval-censored data have often relied on assumptions of homogeneity in the sense that the censoring mechanism, the underlying distribution of occurrence times, or both, are assumed to be time-invariant.…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-01 M. N. M. van Lieshout , R. L. Markwitz

Extreme environmental events frequently exhibit spatial and temporal dependence. These data are often modeled using max stable processes (MSPs). MSPs are computationally prohibitive to fit for as few as a dozen observations, with supposed…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-02 Emily C. Hector , Brian J. Reich
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