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In this paper we refine the procedure proposed by Lin et al. (2015) to estimate the density at a given quantile based on a resampling method. The approach consists on generating multiple samples of the zero-mean Gaussian variable from which…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-04 Beatriz Farah , Aurélien Latouche , Olivier Bouaziz

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used to simulate survey responses, but synthetic data can be misaligned with the human population, leading to unreliable inference. We develop a general framework that converts LLM-simulated…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-21 Chengpiao Huang , Yuhang Wu , Kaizheng Wang

In this paper, we consider a statistical problem of learning a linear model from noisy samples. Existing work has focused on approximating the least squares solution by using leverage-based scores as an importance sampling distribution.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-02-11 Siheng Chen , Rohan Varma , Aarti Singh , Jelena Kovačević

We study the probabilistic sampling of a random variable, in which the variable is sampled only if it falls outside a given set, which is called the silence set. This helps us to understand optimal event-based sampling for the special case…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-17 Maben Rabi , Junfeng Wu , Vyoma Singh , Karl Henrik Johansson

In this paper, we consider asymptotics of the optimal value and the optimal solutions of parametric minimax estimation problems. Specifically, we consider estimators of the optimal value and the optimal solutions in a sample minimax problem…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-16 Mika Meitz , Alexander Shapiro

We study a model of opinion formation where the collective decision of group is said to happen if the fraction of agents having the most common opinion exceeds a threshold value, a \textit{critical mass}. We find that there exists a unique,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-05-18 Zhi-Xi Wu , Petter Holme

A priori bound for the parameter to be estimated is incorporated into confidence intervals within frequentistic approach in a straightforward and optimal fashion, ensuring the best resolution of non-boundary values as well as robustness for…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2011-04-06 Fyodor V. Tkachov

Interval estimation of the probability of success in a Binomial model is considered. Zieli\'nski (2018) showed that the confidence interval which uses information about non-homogeneity of the sample is better than the classical one. In the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-28 Stanisław Jaworski , Wojciech Zieliński

The paper considers so-called adaptive estimations of regression, distribution density and spectral density of a Gaussian stationary sequence, asymptotically optimal in order at a growing number of observation on any regular subspace…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Eugene Ostrovsky , Leonid Sirota

Importance sampling approximates expectations with respect to a target measure by using samples from a proposal measure. The performance of the method over large classes of test functions depends heavily on the closeness between both…

Computation · Statistics 2016-09-01 Daniel Sanz-Alonso

Confidence sets play a fundamental role in statistical inference. In this paper, we consider confidence intervals for high dimensional linear regression with random design. We first establish the convergence rates of the minimax expected…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-30 T. Tony Cai , Zijian Guo

The progressive censoring scheme has received considerable amount of attention in the last fifteen years. During the last few years joint progressive censoring scheme has gained some popularity. Recently, the authors Mondal and Kundu ("A…

Applications · Statistics 2018-01-03 Shuvashree Mondal , Debasis Kundu

We propose a novel conditional quantile prediction method based on complete subset averaging (CSA) for quantile regressions. All models under consideration are potentially misspecified and the dimension of regressors goes to infinity as the…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-08-11 Ji Hyung Lee , Youngki Shin

Tolerance limits have received considerable attention in the statistical literature, with applications reaching far beyond their initial role in quality control. The well-known formula of Scheff\'e and Tukey (1944) establishes a simple,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-20 James H. McVittie , Martin Lysy , Masoud Asgharian

The effective sample size (ESS) measures the informational value of a probability distribution in terms of an equivalent number of study participants. The ESS plays a crucial role in estimating the Expected Value of Sample Information…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-31 Linke Li , Hawre Jalal , Anna Heath

Within the model of social dynamics determined by collective decisions in a stochastic environment (the ViSE model), we consider the case of a homogeneous society consisting of classically rational economic agents. We obtain analytical…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-09-22 Vitaly Malyshev

We use the exact finite sample likelihood and statistical decision theory to answer questions of ``why?'' and ``what should you have done?'' using data from randomized experiments and a utility function that prioritizes safety over…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-07-26 Neil Christy , A. E. Kowalski

This paper studies closed-loop chance constrained control problems with disturbance feedback (equivalently state feedback) where state and input vectors must remain in a prescribed polytopic safe region with a predefined confidence level.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-01-16 Hossein Sartipizadeh , Behçet Açikmeşe

Consider the problem of finding a population or a probability distribution amongst many with the largest mean when these means are unknown but population samples can be simulated or otherwise generated. Typically, by selecting largest…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-11 Peter Glynn , Sandeep Juneja

The sample average approximation (SAA) approach is applied to risk-neutral optimization problems governed by semilinear elliptic partial differential equations with random inputs. After constructing a compact set that contains the SAA…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-02-28 Johannes Milz , Michael Ulbrich