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Wildfire forecasting has been one of the most critical tasks that humanities want to thrive. It plays a vital role in protecting human life. Wildfire prediction, on the other hand, is difficult because of its stochastic and chaotic…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-12-01 Thai-Nam Hoang , Sang Truong , Chris Schmidt

Wildfire forecasting is of paramount importance for disaster risk reduction and environmental sustainability. We approach daily fire danger prediction as a machine learning task, using historical Earth observation data from the last decade…

This paper presents a novel approach in wildfire prediction through the integration of multisource spatiotemporal data, including satellite data, and the application of deep learning techniques. Specifically, we utilize an ensemble model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-07 Ayoub Jadouli , Chaker El Amrani

Predicting wildfire spread is critical for land management and disaster preparedness. To this end, we present `Next Day Wildfire Spread,' a curated, large-scale, multivariate data set of historical wildfires aggregating nearly a decade of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-10-05 Fantine Huot , R. Lily Hu , Nita Goyal , Tharun Sankar , Matthias Ihme , Yi-Fan Chen

Wildfires have significantly increased in the United States (U.S.), making certain areas harder to live in. This motivates us to jointly analyze active fires and population changes in the U.S. from July 2020 to June 2021. The available data…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-19 Shijie Zhou , Jonathan R. Bradley

Smoke segmentation is essential to precisely localize wildfire so that it can be extinguished in an early phase. Although deep neural networks have achieved promising results on image segmentation tasks, they are prone to be overconfident…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-03-03 Siyuan Yan , Jing Zhang , Nick Barnes

This paper presents a mathematical approach to model the effects of phenomena with random nature such as turbulence and fire-spotting into the existing wildfire simulators. The formulation proposes that the propagation of the fire-front is…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-04-08 Inderpreet Kaur , Andrea Mentrelli , Frédéric Bosseur , Jean-Baptiste Filippi , Gianni Pagnini

With the increased size and frequency of wildfire eventsworldwide, accurate real-time prediction of evolving wildfirefronts is a crucial component of firefighting efforts and for-est management practices. We propose a wildfire…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-09-10 Maxfield E. Green , Karl Kaiser , Nat Shenton

Modelling wildfire occurrences is important for disaster management including prevention, detection and suppression of large catastrophic events. We present a spatial Poisson hurdle model for exploring geographical variation of monthly…

Applications · Statistics 2020-07-02 Justin A. Kasin , Ioannis Papastathopoulos

Forest fire spreading is a complex phenomenon characterized by a stochastic behavior. Nowadays, the enormous quantity of georeferenced data and the availability of powerful techniques for their analysis can provide a very careful picture of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-09-06 Roberto Beneduci , Giovanni Mascali

Urbanization of an area is known to increase the temperature of the surrounding area. This phenomenon -- a so-called urban heat island (UHI) -- occurs at a local level over a period of time and has lasting impacts for historical data…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-30 Candace Berrett , Brianne Gurney , David Arthur , Todd Moon , Gus P. Williams

Climate change is intensifying wildfire risks globally, making reliable forecasting critical for adaptation strategies. While machine learning shows promise for wildfire prediction from Earth observation data, current approaches lack…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Aditya Chakravarty

Forecasting bushfire spread is an important element in fire prevention and response efforts. Empirical observations of bushfire spread can be used to estimate fire response under certain conditions. These observations form rate-of-spread…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-24 Andrew Bolt , Joel Janek Dabrowski , Carolyn Huston , Petra Kuhnert

Fine particulate matter, PM$_{2.5}$, has been documented to have adverse health effects and wildland fires are a major contributor to PM$_{2.5}$ air pollution in the US. Forecasters use numerical models to predict PM$_{2.5}$ concentrations…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-30 Suman Majumder , Yawen Guan , Brian J. Reich , Susan O'Neill , Ana G. Rappold

Motivated by the Extreme Value Analysis 2021 (EVA 2021) data challenge we propose a method based on statistics and machine learning for the spatial prediction of extreme wildfire frequencies and sizes. This method is tailored to handle…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-04 Daniela Cisneros , Yan Gong , Rishikesh Yadav , Arnab Hazra , Raphael Huser

Wildfires pose significant threats to ecosystems and communities, yet accurately modeling fire spread remains challenging, particularly in regions where environmental and fuel data are scarce or unavailable. This study introduces an…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2025-12-12 Hengameh R. Dehkordi

During dry and windy seasons, environmental conditions significantly increase the risk of wildfires, exposing power grids to disruptions caused by transmission line failures. Wildfire propagation exacerbates grid vulnerability, potentially…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-21 Juan-Alberto Estrada-Garcia , Ruiwei Jiang , Alexandre Moreira

In recent years, the increasing threat of devastating wildfires has underscored the need for effective prescribed fire management. Process-based computer simulations have traditionally been employed to plan prescribed fires for wildfire…

Due to climate change and human activity, wildfires are expected to become more frequent and extreme worldwide, causing economic and ecological disasters. The deployment of preventive measures and operational forecasts can be aided by…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-28 Thomas Opitz , Florent Bonneu , Edith Gabriel

Due to recent climate changes, we have seen more frequent and severe wildfires in the United States. Predicting wildfires is critical for natural disaster prevention and mitigation. Advances in technologies in data processing and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-22 Hyung-Jin Yoon , Petros Voulgaris