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This paper introduces the Sequential Monte Carlo Transformer, an original approach that naturally captures the observations distribution in a transformer architecture. The keys, queries, values and attention vectors of the network are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-16 Alice Martin , Charles Ollion , Florian Strub , Sylvain Le Corff , Olivier Pietquin

Multimodal distributions of some physics based model parameters are often encountered in engineering due to different situations such as a change in some environmental conditions, and the presence of some types of damage and nonlinearity.…

Computation · Statistics 2022-10-19 Felipe Igea , Alice Cicirello

Linear programming is widely used for decision-making in science, engineering, and operations research, yet in many modern applications the coefficients entering the constraints and objective are not known exactly and must be learned from…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2026-03-09 Debashis Chatterjee

The number of resident space objects is rising at an alarming rate. Mega-constellations and breakup events are proliferating in most orbital regimes, and safe navigation is becoming increasingly problematic. It is important to be able to…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-04-11 Yannick Sztamfater Garcia , Joaquin Miguez , Manuel Sanjurjo-Rivo

This paper introduces a class of Monte Carlo algorithms which are based upon the simulation of a Markov process whose quasi-stationary distribution coincides with a distribution of interest. This differs fundamentally from, say, current…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-14 Murray Pollock , Paul Fearnhead , Adam M. Johansen , Gareth O. Roberts

Bilinear dynamical systems are ubiquitous in many different domains and they can also be used to approximate more general control-affine systems. This motivates the problem of learning bilinear systems from a single trajectory of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-31 Yahya Sattar , Samet Oymak , Necmiye Ozay

As with any task, the process of building machine learning models can benefit from prior experience. Meta-learning for classifier selection leverages knowledge about the characteristics of different datasets and/or the past performance of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-26 Sebastian Maldonado , Carla Vairetti , Ignacio Figueroa

Hamiltonian systems with multiple timescales arise in molecular dynamics, classical mechanics, and theoretical physics. Long-time numerical integration of such systems requires resolving fast dynamics with very small time steps, which…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-30 Rui Fang , Richard Tsai

In this paper, we investigate when system identification is statistically easy or hard, in the finite sample regime. Statistically easy to learn linear system classes have sample complexity that is polynomial with the system dimension. Most…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-05 Anastasios Tsiamis , George J. Pappas

As the size of engineered systems grows, problems in reliability theory can become computationally challenging, often due to the combinatorial growth in the cut sets. In this paper we demonstrate how Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) - a…

Computation · Statistics 2017-03-14 Louis J. M. Aslett , Tigran Nagapetyan , Sebastian J. Vollmer

We develop a simulation-based method for the online updating of Gaussian process regression and classification models. Our method exploits sequential Monte Carlo to produce a fast sequential design algorithm for these models relative to the…

Computation · Statistics 2010-07-07 Robert B. Gramacy , Nicholas G. Polson

Machine learning and deep learning have revolutionized computational physics, particularly the simulation of complex systems. Equivariance is essential for simulating physical systems because it imposes a strong inductive bias on the…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2024-11-13 Yuki Nagai , Akio Tomiya

Nonlinear non-Gaussian state-space models arise in numerous applications in statistics and signal processing. In this context, one of the most successful and popular approximation techniques is the Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) algorithm,…

Computation · Statistics 2016-04-20 Francois Septier , Gareth W. Peters

Modern training and inference pipelines in statistical learning and deep learning repeatedly invoke linear-system solves as inner loops, yet high-accuracy deterministic solvers can be prohibitively expensive when solves must be repeated…

Computation · Statistics 2026-02-06 Sarah Polson , Vadim Sokolov

Bayesian model selection provides a powerful framework for objectively comparing models directly from observed data, without reference to ground truth data. However, Bayesian model selection requires the computation of the marginal…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-17 Xiaohao Cai , Jason D. McEwen , Marcelo Pereyra

The identification of electrical, mechanical, and biological systems using data can benefit greatly from prior knowledge extracted from physical modeling. Parametric continuous-time identification methods can naturally incorporate this…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-07 Rodrigo A. González , Cristian R. Rojas , Siqi Pan , James S. Welsh

Applications that require substantial computational resources today cannot avoid the use of heavily parallel machines. Embracing the opportunities of parallel computing and especially the possibilities provided by a new generation of…

Computational Physics · Physics 2017-09-14 Martin Weigel

Learning causal relationships between variables is a well-studied problem in statistics, with many important applications in science. However, modeling real-world systems remain challenging, as most existing algorithms assume that the…

We propose a sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) method to efficiently and accurately compute cut-Bayesian posterior quantities of interest, variations of standard Bayesian approaches constructed primarily to account for model misspecification. We…

Computation · Statistics 2024-11-13 Joseph Mathews , Giri Gopalan , James Gattiker , Sean Smith , Devin Francom

We introduce a new approach for amortizing inference in directed graphical models by learning heuristic approximations to stochastic inverses, designed specifically for use as proposal distributions in sequential Monte Carlo methods. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-09 Brooks Paige , Frank Wood
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