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Electricity forecasting has been a recurring research topic, as it is key to finding the right balance between production and consumption. While most papers are focused on the national or regional scale, few are interested in the household…

For effective integration of building operations into the evolving demand response programs of the power grid, real-time decisions concerning the use of building appliances for grid services must excel on multiple criteria, ranging from the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-23 Milan Jain , Soumya Kundu , Arnab Bhattacharya , Sen Huang , Vikas Chandan , Nikitha Radhakrishnan , Veronica Adetola , Draguna Vrabie

We consider the problem of power demand forecasting in residential micro-grids. Several approaches using ARMA models, support vector machines, and recurrent neural networks that perform one-step ahead predictions have been proposed in the…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2017-06-30 Riccardo Bonetto , Michele Rossi

Efficient load forecasting is needed to ensure better observability in the distribution networks, whereas such forecasting is made possible by an increasing number of smart meter installations. Because distribution networks include a large…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-04 Miha Grabner , Yi Wang , Qingsong Wen , Boštjan Blažič , Vitomir Štruc

The increasing use of renewable energy sources with variable output, such as solar photovoltaic and wind power generation, calls for Smart Grids that effectively manage flexible loads and energy storage. The ability to forecast consumption…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-04-02 Andreas Veit , Christoph Goebel , Rohit Tidke , Christoph Doblander , Hans-Arno Jacobsen

The transition from traditional power grids to smart grids, significant increase in the use of renewable energy sources, and soaring electricity prices has triggered a digital transformation of the energy infrastructure that enables new,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-30 Carolina Fortuna , Gregor Cerar , Blaz Bertalanic , Andrej Campa , Mihael Mohorcic

Load forecasting is essential for the efficient, reliable, and cost-effective management of power systems. Load forecasting performance can be improved by learning the similarities among multiple entities (e.g., regions, buildings).…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-07 Onintze Zaballa , Verónica Álvarez , Santiago Mazuelas

The large scale deployment of Advanced Metering Infrastructure among residential energy customers has served as a boon for energy systems research relying on granular consumption data. Residential Demand Response aims to utilize the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-07-05 Datong Zhou , Maximilian Balandat , Claire Tomlin

This paper describes a method for defining representative load profiles for domestic electricity users in the UK. It considers bottom up and clustering methods and then details the research plans for implementing and improving existing…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2013-07-05 Ian Dent , Uwe Aickelin , Tom Rodden

Despite various efforts, decarbonizing the heating sector remains a significant challenge. To tackle it by smart planning, the availability of highly resolved heating demand data is key. Several existing models provide heating demand only…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-12 Simon Malacek , José Portela , Yannick Marcus Werner , Sonja Wogrin

In this paper, the modeling of building end-use energy profile is comprehensively investigated. Top-down and Bottom-up approaches are discussed with a focus on the latter for better integration with occupant information. Compared to the…

Applications · Statistics 2016-11-17 Zhaoyi Kang , Ming Jin , Costas J. Spanos

Short-term forecasting of residential electricity demand is an important task for utilities. Yet, many small and medium-sized utilities still use simple forecasting approaches such as Synthesized Load Profiles, which treat residential…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-03-10 Daniel R. Bayer , Felix Haag , Marco Pruckner , Konstantin Hopf

Demand-Response (DR) programs, whereby users of an electricity network are encouraged by economic incentives to rearrange their consumption in order to reduce production costs, are envisioned to be a key feature of the smart grid paradigm.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-12-15 Alberto Benegiamo , Patrick Loiseau , Giovanni Neglia

Accurate household electrical energy demand prediction is essential for effectively managing sustainable Energy Communities. Integrated with the Energy Management System, these communities aim to optimise operational costs. However, most…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-02 Ehtisham Asghar , Martin Hill , Ibrahim Sengor , Conor Lynch , Phan Quang An

This paper addresses the use of smart-home sensor streams for continuous prediction of energy loads of individual households which participate as an agent in local markets. We introduces a new device level energy consumption dataset…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-16 Christoph Doblander , Martin Strohbach , Holger Ziekow , Hans-Arno Jacobsen

Load shapes derived from smart meter data are frequently employed to analyze daily energy consumption patterns, particularly in the context of applications like Demand Response (DR). Nevertheless, one of the most important challenges to…

The growing complexity of the power grid, driven by increasing share of distributed energy resources and by massive deployment of intelligent internet-connected devices, requires new modelling tools for planning and operation. Physics-based…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-26 Francesco Fusco

With the growth of smart building applications, occupancy information in residential buildings is becoming more and more significant. In the context of the smart buildings' paradigm, this kind of information is required for a wide range of…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-26 Sangkeum Lee , Sarvar Hussain Nengroo , Hojun Jin , Yoonmee Doh , Chungho Lee , Taewook Heo , Dongsoo Har

Most electricity systems worldwide are deploying advanced metering infrastructures to collect relevant operational data. In particular, smart meters allow tracking electricity load consumption at a very disaggregated level and at high…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-09 Andrés M. Alonso , F. Javier Nogales , Carlos Ruiz

Demand response services at the distribution level are emerging as enabling strategies for improving grid reliability in the presence of intermittent renewable generation and grid congestion. For residential loads, space heating and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-22 Erhan Can Ozcan , Emiliano Dall'Anese , Ioannis Ch. Paschalidis