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We investigate the properties of a sequential Monte Carlo method where the particle weight that appears in the algorithm is estimated by a positive, unbiased estimator. We present broadly-applicable convergence results, including a central…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-26 Paul B. Rohrbach , Robert L. Jack

We study the optimal rectangular-discrepancy approximation of permutons by finite permutations. We transfer bounds from discrepancy theory to this more restricted setup. Moreover, we show that superlinear approximation can occur only for…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2026-05-05 Balázs Maga

In this paper, we consider approximating expansions for the distribution of integer valued random variables, in circumstances in which convergence in law cannot be expected. The setting is one in which the simplest approximation to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-12-11 A. D. Barbour , E. Kowalski , A. Nikeghbali

In this paper we obtain a Bernstein type inequality for the sum of self-adjoint centered and geometrically absolutely regular random matrices with bounded largest eigenvalue. This inequality can be viewed as an extension to the matrix…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-19 Marwa Banna , Florence Merlevède , Pierre Youssef

Using Malliavin operators together with an interpolation technique inspired by Arratia, Goldstein and Gordon (1989), we prove a new inequality on the Poisson space, allowing one to measure the distance between the laws of a general random…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-05 Solesne Bourguin , Giovanni Peccati

Assuming a $q$-variant of the prime $k$-tuple conjecture uniformly, we compute mixed moments of the number of primes in disjoint short intervals and progressions, respectively. This involves estimating the mean of singular series along…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-26 Sun-Kai Leung

Strong embeddings, that is, couplings between a partial sum process of a sequence of random variables and a Brownian motion, have found numerous applications in probability and statistics. We extend Chatterjee's novel use of Stein's method…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-15 Chinmoy Bhattacharjee , Larry Goldstein

Compound Poisson distributions have been employed by many authors to fit experimental data, typically via the method of moments or maximum likelihood estimation. We propose a new technique and apply it to several sets of published data. It…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-01 S. R. Mane

In this work we design a general method for proving moment inequalities for polynomials of independent random variables. Our method works for a wide range of random variables including Gaussian, Boolean, exponential, Poisson and many…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-06-11 Warren Schudy , Maxim Sviridenko

This paper derives new bounds on the difference of the entropies of two discrete random variables in terms of the local and total variation distances between their probability mass functions. The derivation of the bounds relies on maximal…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Igal Sason

We present new Poisson process approximation results for stabilizing functionals of Poisson and binomial point processes. These functionals are allowed to have an unbounded range of interaction and encompass many examples in stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-28 Omer Bobrowski , Matthias Schulte , D. Yogeshwaran

This article is concerned with an extension of univariate Chebyshev polynomials of the first kind to the multivariate setting, where one chases best approximants to specific monomials by polynomials of lower degree relative to the uniform…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-10-29 Mareike Dressler , Simon Foucart , Mioara Joldes , Etienne de Klerk , Jean Bernard Lasserre , Yuan Xu

We establish a general Berry-Esseen type bound which gives optimal bounds in many situations under suitable moment assumptions. By combining the general bound with Palm theory, we deduce a new error bound for assessing the accuracy of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-01 Louis H. Y. Chen , Adrian Röllin , Aihua Xia

In this paper, we consider an extension of the Poisson random measure for the formulation of continuous-time reinforcement learning, such that both the frequency and the width of the jumps depend on the path. Starting from a general point…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-04 Konatsu Miyamoto

On any denumerable product of probability spaces, we construct a Malliavin gradient and then a divergence and a number operator. This yields a Dirichlet structure which can be shown to approach the usual structures for Poisson and Brownian…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-30 Laurent Decreusefond , Hélène Halconruy

We study the persistence probability for processes with stationary increments. Our results apply to a number of examples: sums of stationary correlated random variables whose scaling limit is fractional Brownian motion, random walks in…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-01 Frank Aurzada , Nadine Guillotin-Plantard , Françoise Pène

Given a reference random variable, we study the solution of its Stein equation and obtain universal bounds on its first and second derivatives. We then extend the analysis of Nourdin and Peccati by bounding the Fortet-Mourier and…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-13 Richard Eden , Juan Víquez

In this paper, we develop a general approach for probabilistic estimation and optimization. An explicit formula and a computational approach are established for controlling the reliability of probabilistic estimation based on a mixed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-12-06 Xinjia Chen

It is shown that at least 50% of the probability mass of a sum of independent Rademacher random variables is within one standard deviation from its mean. This lower bound is sharp, it is much better than for instance the bound that can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-22 Martien C. A. van Zuijlen

Let $Y=X_1+\cdots+X_N$ be a sum of a random number of exchangeable random variables, where the random variable $N$ is independent of the $X_j$, and the $X_j$ are from the generalized multinomial model introduced by Tallis (1962). This…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-08 Fraser Daly