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Variational data assimilation estimates the dynamical system states by minimizing a cost function that fits the numerical models with the observational data. Although four-dimensional variational assimilation (4D-Var) is widely used, it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-16 Yiming Yang , Xiaoyuan Cheng , Daniel Giles , Sibo Cheng , Yi He , Xiao Xue , Boli Chen , Yukun Hu

Four-dimensional variational data assimilation (4DVAR) is a cornerstone of numerical weather prediction, but its cost function is difficult to optimize and computationally intensive. We propose a neural field-based reformulation in which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-29 Jaemin Oh

Standard methods of data assimilation assume prior knowledge of a model that describes the system dynamics and an observation function that maps the model state to a predicted output. An accurate mapping from model state to observation…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-05-22 Franz Hamilton , Tyrus Berry , Timothy Sauer

The reconstruction of the dynamics of an observed physical system as a surrogate model has been brought to the fore by recent advances in machine learning. To deal with partial and noisy observations in that endeavor, machine learning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-06 Marc Bocquet , Alban Farchi , Quentin Malartic

Learning the dynamics of robots from data can help achieve more accurate tracking controllers, or aid their navigation algorithms. However, when the actual dynamics of the robots change due to external conditions, on-line adaptation of…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-03-14 Bilal Wehbe , Marc Hildebrandt , Frank Kirchner

Reliable long-horizon prediction remains a challenge for data-driven CFD surrogates, because offline-trained models accumulate autoregressive errors and lose accuracy when operating conditions change. This work develops a divergence-aware…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-05-26 Xiangrui Zou , Zhuoqun Zhao , Guillermo Barragán , Soledad Le Clainche

Pushing is a useful robotic capability for positioning and reorienting objects. The ability to accurately predict the effect of pushes can enable efficient trajectory planning and complicated object manipulation. Physical prediction models…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-10-21 Huidong Gao , Yi Ouyang , Masayoshi Tomizuka

Numerical simulation for climate modeling resolving all important scales is a computationally taxing process. Therefore, to circumvent this issue a low resolution simulation is performed, which is subsequently corrected for bias using…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-02-08 Aniruddha Bora , Khemraj Shukla , Shixuan Zhang , Bryce Harrop , Ruby Leung , George Em Karniadakis

Errors in the representation of clouds in convection-permitting numerical weather prediction models can be introduced by different sources. These can be the forcing and boundary conditions, the representation of orography, the accuracy of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-03-14 Stefanie Legler , Tijana Janjic

The use of model order reduction techniques in combination with ensemble-based methods for estimating the state of systems described by nonlinear partial differential equations has been of great interest in recent years in the data…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-12-18 Francesco A. B. Silva , Cecilia Pagliantini , Karen Veroy

Emulator embedded neural networks, which are a type of physics informed neural network, leverage multi-fidelity data sources for efficient design exploration of aerospace engineering systems. Multiple realizations of the neural network…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-14 Atticus Beachy , Harok Bae , Jose Camberos , Ramana Grandhi

Artificial intelligence and deep learning are currently reshaping numerical simulation frameworks by introducing new modeling capabilities. These frameworks are extensively investigated in the context of model correction and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-20 Said Ouala , Bertrand Chapron , Fabrice Collard , Lucile Gaultier , Ronan Fablet

A hybrid data assimilation algorithm is developed for complex dynamical systems with partial observations. The method starts with applying a spectral decomposition to the entire spatiotemporal fields, followed by creating a machine learning…

Computational Physics · Physics 2022-12-27 Changhong Mou , Leslie M. Smith , Nan Chen

Four-dimensional variational data assimilation (4D-Var) on a seasonal-to-interdecadal time scale under the existence of unstable modes can be viewed as an optimization problem of synchronized, coupled chaotic systems. The problem is tackled…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-11-17 Nozomi Sugiura , Shuhei Masuda , Yosuke Fujii , Masafumi Kamachi , Yoichi Ishikawa , Toshiyuki Awaji

We present an operations-ready multi-model ensemble weather forecasting system which uses hybrid data-driven weather prediction models coupled with the European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) ocean model to predict global…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-03-26 Jonathan A. Weyn , Divya Kumar , Jeremy Berman , Najeeb Kazmi , Sylwester Klocek , Pete Luferenko , Kit Thambiratnam

This paper addresses variational data assimilation from a learning point of view. Data assimilation aims to reconstruct the time evolution of some state given a series of observations, possibly noisy and irregularly-sampled. Using automatic…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-11-10 Ronan Fablet , Bertrand Chapron , Lucas. Drumetz , Etienne Memin , Olivier Pannekoucke , Francois Rousseau

A novel method, based on the combination of data assimilation and machine learning is introduced. The new hybrid approach is designed for a two-fold scope: (i) emulating hidden, possibly chaotic, dynamics and (ii) predicting their future…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-27 Julien Brajard , Alberto Carassi , Marc Bocquet , Laurent Bertino

The performance of ensemble-based data assimilation techniques that estimate the state of a dynamical system from partial observations depends crucially on the prescribed uncertainty of the model dynamics and of the observations. These are…

Computation · Statistics 2021-02-24 Tadeo Javier Cocucci , Manuel Pulido , Magdalena Lucini , Pierre Tandeo

Coarse resolution, imperfect parameterizations, and uncertain initial states and forcings limit Earth-system model (ESM) predictions. Traditional bias correction via data assimilation improves constrained simulations but offers limited…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-04 Aniruddha Bora , Shixuan Zhang , Khemraj Shukla , Bryce Harrop , George Em. Karniadakis , L. Ruby Leung

Variational data assimilation and machine-learning based super-resolution are two alternative approaches to state estimation in turbulent flows. The former is an optimisation problem featuring a time series of coarse observations, the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-10-21 Markus Weyrauch , Moritz Linkmann , Jacob Page