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We study the problem of unbiased estimation of expectations with respect to (w.r.t.) $\pi$ a given, general probability measure on $(\mathbb{R}^d,\mathcal{B}(\mathbb{R}^d))$ that is absolutely continuous with respect to a standard Gaussian…

Computation · Statistics 2022-10-26 Hamza Ruzayqat , Alexandros Beskos , Dan Crisan , Ajay Jasra , Nikolas Kantas

In this note we present some examples of diffusions in random environment whose asymptotic behavior is rather surprising. We construct a family of diffusions that are small perturbations of Brownian motion with non-vanishing expected local…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-12-12 Ivan del Tenno

We construct the least-square estimator for the unknown drift parameter in the multifractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck model and establish its strong consistency in the non-ergodic case. The proofs are based on the asymptotic bounds with…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-19 Marco Dozzi , Yuriy Kozachenko , Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko

We present a new adaptive algorithm for learning discrete distributions under distribution drift. In this setting, we observe a sequence of independent samples from a discrete distribution that is changing over time, and the goal is to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-11 Alessio Mazzetto

We focus on the problem estimating a monotone trend function under additive and dependent noise. New point-wise confidence interval estimators under both short- and long-range dependent errors are introduced and studied. These intervals are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-23 Pramita Bagchi , Moulinath Banerjee , Stilian Stoev

Space dependent diffusion of micrometer sized particles has been directly observed using digital video microscopy. The particles were trapped between two nearly parallel walls making their confinement position dependent. Consequently, not…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 P. Lancon , G. Batrouni , L. Lobry , N. Ostrowsky

Anomalous diffusion is frequently described by scaled Brownian motion (SBM), a Gaussian process with a power-law time dependent diffusion coefficient. Its mean squared displacement is $\langle x^2(t)\rangle\simeq\mathscr{K}(t)t$ with…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-12-24 J. -H. Jeon , A. V. Chechkin , R. Metzler

We propose here a testing methodology based on the autocovariance, detrended moving average, and time-averaged mean-squared displacement statistics for tempered fractional Brownian motions (TFBMs) which are related to the notions of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-14 Katarzyna Macioszek , Farzad Sabzikar , Krzysztof Burnecki

We present a general framework for Bayesian estimation of incompletely observed multivariate diffusion processes. Observations are assumed to be discrete in time, noisy and incomplete. We assume the drift and diffusion coefficient depend on…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-04 Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer

Consider a massive (inert) particle impinged from above by N Brownian particles that are instantaneously reflected upon collision with the inert particle. The velocity of the inert particle increases due to the influence of an external…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-28 Sayan Banerjee , Amarjit Budhiraja , Benjamin Estevez

In this paper, we investigate a deep learning method for predicting path-dependent processes based on discretely observed historical information. This method is implemented by considering the prediction as a nonparametric regression and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-20 Xudong Zheng , Yuecai Han

Let (B^{(1)}_t ;B^{(2)}_t ;B^{(3)}_t + \mu t) be a three-dimensional Brownian motion with drift \mu, starting at the origin. Then X_t = ||(B^{(1)}_t ;B^{(2)}_t ;B^{(3)}_t +\mu t)||, its distance from the starting point, is a diffusion with…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-15 Andrzej Pyć , Grzegorz Serafin , Tomasz Żak

Anisotropic diffusion processes emerge in various fields such as transport in biological tissue and diffusion in liquid crystals. In such systems, the motion is described by a diffusion tensor. For a proper characterization of processes…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-11-14 Mario Heidernätsch , Michael Bauer , Günter Radons

This paper considers a portfolio optimization problem in which asset prices are represented by SDEs driven by Brownian motion and a Poisson random measure, with drifts that are functions of an auxiliary diffusion factor process. The…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-11-16 Mark Davis , Sebastien Lleo

Consider a diffusion process X, solution of a time-homogeneous stochastic differential equation. We assume that the diffusion process X is observed at discrete times, at high frequency, which means that the time step tends toward zero. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-23 Eddy Michel Ella Mintsa

In this work, we consider a one-dimensional It{\^o} diffusion process X t with possibly nonlinear drift and diffusion coefficients. We show that, when the diffusion coefficient is known, the drift coefficient is uniquely determined by an…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2017-09-13 Michel Cristofol , Lionel Roques

Consider the motion of a Brownian particle in two or more dimensions, whose coordinate processes are standard Brownian motions with zero drift initially, and then at some random/unobservable time, one of the coordinate processes gets a…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-30 Philip A. Ernst , Goran Peskir

We study the first-passage time, the distribution of the maximum, and the absorption probability of fractional Brownian motion of Hurst parameter $H$ with both a linear and a non-linear drift. The latter appears naturally when applying…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-08-12 Maxence Arutkin , Benjamin Walter , Kay Joerg Wiese

We have recently shown that in non-equilibrium spin systems at criticality the limit $\Xin$ of the fluctuation-dissipation ratio X(t,tw) for t >> tw >> 1 can be measured using observables such as magnetization or energy [Phys. Rev.\ E {\bf…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Peter Mayer , Ludovic Berthier , Juan P. Garrahan , Peter Sollich

This paper studies a problem of Bayesian parameter estimation for a sequence of scaled counting processes whose weak limit is a Brownian motion with an unknown drift. The main result of the paper is that the limit of the posterior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Asaf Cohen
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