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We consider the adaptive test for the parameter change in discretely observed ergodic diffusion processes based on the cusum test. Using two test statistics based on the two quasi-log likelihood functions of the diffusion parameter and the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-30 Yozo Tonaki , Yusuke Kaino , Masayuki Uchida

We study Bayes procedures for the problem of nonparametric drift estimation for one-dimensional, ergodic diffusion models from discrete-time, low-frequency data. We give conditions for posterior consistency and verify these conditions for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-01 Frank van der Meulen , Harry van Zanten

We study the problem of estimating the coefficients of a diffusion (X_t,t\geq 0); the estimation is based on discrete data X_{n\Delta},n=0,1,...,N. The sampling frequency \Delta^{-1} is constant, and asymptotics are taken as the number N of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Emmanuel Gobet , Marc Hoffmann , Markus Reiss

We study the estimation of time-homogeneous drift functions in multivariate stochastic differential equations with known diffusion coefficient, from multiple trajectories observed at high frequency over a fixed time horizon. We formulate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-23 Marcos Tapia Costa , Nikolas Kantas , George Deligiannidis

A scheme is developed for estimating state-dependent drift and diffusion coefficients in a stochastic differential equation from time-series data. The scheme does not require to specify parametric forms for the drift and diffusion…

Biological Physics · Physics 2012-09-28 Jun Ohkubo

This paper deals with nonparametric estimators of the drift function $b$ computed from independent continuous observations, on a compact time interval, of the solution of a stochastic differential equation driven by the fractional Brownian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-16 Fabienne Comte , Nicolas Marie

This paper investigates a financial market where returns depend on an unobservable Gaussian drift process. While the observation of returns yields information about the underlying drift, we also incorporate discrete-time expert opinions as…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-04 Jörn Sass , Dorothee Westphal , Ralf Wunderlich

The nonequilibrium Fokker-Planck dynamics with a non-conservative drift field, in dimension $N\geq 2$, can be related with the non-Hermitian quantum mechanics in a real scalar potential $V$ and in a purely imaginary vector potential -$iA$…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-05-31 P. Garbaczewski , M. Żaba

The non-thermal nature of self-propelling colloids offers new insights into non-equilibrium physics. The central mathematical model to describe their trajectories is active Brownian motion, where a particle moves with a constant speed,…

Drift diffusion models (DDMs) have found widespread use in computational neuroscience and other fields. They model evidence accumulation in simple decision tasks as a stochastic process drifting towards a decision barrier. In models where…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-12 Sicheng Liu , Alexander Fengler , Michael J. Frank , Matthew T. Harrison

A system manager dynamically controls a diffusion process Z that lives in a finite interval [0,b]. Control takes the form of a negative drift rate \theta that is chosen from a fixed set A of available values. The controlled process evolves…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Bar Ata , J. M. Harrison , L. A. Shepp

A truncated sequential procedure is constructed for estimating the drift coefficient at a given state point based on discrete data of ergodic diffusion process. A nonasymptotic upper bound is obtained for a pointwise absolute error risk.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-21 L. I. Galtchouk , S. M. Pergamenshchikov

Fractional Brownian motion, a Gaussian non-Markovian self-similar process with stationary long-correlated increments, has been identified to give rise to the anomalous diffusion behavior in a great variety of physical systems. The…

We introduce a location statistic for distributions on non-linear geometric spaces, the diffusion mean, serving as an extension and an alternative to the Fr\'echet mean. The diffusion mean arises as the generalization of Gaussian maximum…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-06 Benjamin Eltzner , Pernille Hansen , Stephan F. Huckemann , Stefan Sommer

Let $\{b_H(t),t\in\mathbb{R}\}$ be the fractional Brownian motion with parameter $0<H<1$. When $1/2<H$, we consider diffusion equations of the type \[X(t)=c+\int_0^t\sigma\bigl(X(u)\bigr)\mathrm {d}b_H(u)+\int _0^t\mu\bigl(X(u)\bigr)\mathrm…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Corinne Berzin , José R. León

We study the long-time dynamics of the nonlinear processes modeled by diffusion-transport partial differential equations in non-divergence form with drifts. The solutions are subject to some inhomogeneous Dirichlet boundary condition.…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-02-11 Luan Hoang , Akif Ibragimov

We consider an $N$-particle system of noncolliding Brownian motion starting from $x_1 \leq x_2 \leq ... \leq x_N$ with drift coefficients $\nu_j, 1 \leq j \leq N$ satisfying $\nu_1 \leq \nu_2 \leq ... \leq \nu_N$. When all of the initial…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-10 Makoto Katori

We consider the minor process of (Hermitian) matrix diffusions with constant diagonal drifts. At any given time, this process is determinantal and we provide an explicit expression for its correlation kernel. This is a measure on the…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2014-04-24 Patrik L. Ferrari , René Frings

Nonstationary high-dimensional time series are increasingly encountered in biomedical research as measurement technologies advance. Owing to the homeostatic nature of physiological systems, such datasets are often located on, or can be well…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-24 Jacob McErlean , Hau-Tieng Wu

For a one dimensional diffusion process $X=\{X(t) ; 0\leq t \leq T \}$, we suppose that $X(t)$ is hidden if it is below some fixed and known threshold $\tau$, but otherwise it is visible. This means a partially hidden diffusion process. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-09 Stefano Iacus , Masayuki Uchida , Nakahiro Yoshida