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Parkinson's disease (PD) is a chronic and complex neurodegenerative disorder influenced by genetic, clinical, and lifestyle factors. Predicting this disease early is challenging because it depends on traditional diagnostic methods that face…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Md Mezbahul Islam , John Michael Templeton , Masrur Sobhan , Christian Poellabauer , Ananda Mohan Mondal

We consider exchangeable Markov multi-state survival processes -- temporal processes taking values over a state-space$\mathcal{S}$ with at least one absorbing failure state $\flat \in \mathcal{S}$ that satisfy natural invariance properties…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-26 Walter Dempsey

We study reinforcement learning for the optimal control of Branching Markov Decision Processes (BMDPs), a natural extension of (multitype) Branching Markov Chains (BMCs). The state of a (discrete-time) BMCs is a collection of entities of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-15 Ernst Moritz Hahn , Mateo Perez , Sven Schewe , Fabio Somenzi , Ashutosh Trivedi , Dominik Wojtczak

Designing efficient and rigorous numerical methods for sequential decision-making under uncertainty is a difficult problem that arises in many applications frameworks. In this paper we focus on the numerical solution of a subclass of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-07 Alice Cleynen , Benoîte de Saporta

Background. Alzheimer's disease and related dementia (ADRD) are characterized by multiple and progressive anatomo clinical changes. Yet, modeling changes over disease course from cohort data is challenging as the usual timescales are…

Control applications often feature tasks with similar, but not identical, dynamics. We introduce the Hidden Parameter Markov Decision Process (HiP-MDP), a framework that parametrizes a family of related dynamical systems with a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-08-19 Finale Doshi-Velez , George Konidaris

Stochastic processes on complex networks, where each node is in one of several compartments, and neighboring nodes interact with each other, can be used to describe a variety of real-world spreading phenomena. However, computational…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-06-28 Gerrit Großmann , Luca Bortolussi

Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) comprise a powerful generative approach for modeling sequential data and time-series in general. However, the commonly employed assumption of the dependence of the current time frame to a single or multiple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-13 Konstantinos P. Panousis , Sotirios Chatzis , Sergios Theodoridis

Markov branching systems form a fundamental class of stochastic models that are extensively applied in biology, physics, finance, and other domains. These systems are distinguished by their continuous-time evolution and inherent branching…

This paper deals with control of partially observable discrete-time stochastic systems. It introduces and studies Markov Decision Processes with Incomplete Information and with semi-uniform Feller transition probabilities. The important…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-08-30 Eugene A. Feinberg , Pavlo O. Kasyanov , Michael Z. Zgurovsky

In many contexts such as queuing theory, spatial statistics, geostatistics and meteorology, data are observed at irregular spatial positions. One model of this situation involves considering the observation points as generated by a Poisson…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-08-07 Tucker McElroy , Dimitris N. Politis

Multi-stage disease histories derived from longitudinal data are becoming increasingly available as registry data and biobanks expand. Multi-state models are suitable to investigate transitions between different disease stages in presence…

Panel data, also known as longitudinal data, consist of a collection of time series. Each time series, which could itself be multivariate, comprises a sequence of measurements taken on a distinct unit. Mechanistic modeling involves writing…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-27 Carles Bretó , Edward L. Ionides , Aaron A. King

We study the automated abstraction-based synthesis of correct-by-construction control policies for stochastic dynamical systems with unknown dynamics. Our approach is to learn an abstraction from sampled data, which is represented in the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-03 Mahdi Nazeri , Thom Badings , Anne-Kathrin Schmuck , Sadegh Soudjani , Alessandro Abate

This paper studies maintenance optimization for a two-component system under mixed observability. Component~$U_1$ is fully monitored, whereas component~$U_2$ is only partially observable due to sensing limitations. The system exhibits…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-05 Nan Zhang , Inmaculada T. Castro , M. L. Gamiz

We present a data-driven shared control algorithm that can be used to improve a human operator's control of complex dynamic machines and achieve tasks that would otherwise be challenging, or impossible, for the user on their own. Our method…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-06-15 Alexander Broad , Ian Abraham , Todd Murphey , Brenna Argall

We consider stochastic processes arising from dynamical systems simply by evaluating an observable function along the orbits of the system and study marked point processes associated to extremal observations of such time series…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-07-07 Ana Cristina Moreira Freitas , Jorge Milhazes Freitas , Mário Magalhães

The objective of this study is to introduce methodology for studying longitudinal claims data observed at the patient level, with inference on the heterogeneity of healthcare utilization behaviors within large healthcare systems such as…

Applications · Statistics 2016-03-04 Ross P. Hilton , Nicoleta Serban , Richard Y. Zheng

Healthcare institutes enrich the repository of patients' disease related information in an increasing manner which could have been more useful by carrying out relational analysis. Data mining algorithms are proven to be quite useful in…

Databases · Computer Science 2014-01-14 Mahmood A. Rashid , Md Tamjidul Hoque , Abdul Sattar

We consider a single-server queue where interarrival and service times depend linearly and randomly on customer waiting times, and establish a sample-path moderate deviation principle (MDP) for the waiting time process. The waiting times…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-03 Chang Feng , John J. Hasenbein , Guodong Pang
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