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This paper presents an approach for estimating Shapley effects for use as global sensitivity metrics to quantify the relative importance of uncertain model parameters. Polynomial Chaos expansion, a well established approach for developing…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-12 Adrian Stein , Tarunraj Singh

The Shapley value has been recently advocated as a method to choose the seed nodes for the process of information diffusion. Intuitively, since the Shapley value evaluates the average marginal contribution of a player to the coalitional…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-09-30 Kamil Adamczewski , Szymon Matejczyk , Tomasz P. Michalak

Uncertainties exist in both physics-based and data-driven models. Variance-based sensitivity analysis characterizes how the variance of a model output is propagated from the model inputs. The Sobol index is one of the most widely used…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-09 Zhanlin Liu , Youngjun Choe

Probabilistic values, including Shapley values and semivalues, provide a model-agnostic framework to attribute the behavior of a black-box model to data points or features, with a wide range of applications including explainable artificial…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Ziqi Liu , Kiljae Lee , Yuan Zhang , Weijing Tang

Shapley values, which were originally designed to assign attributions to individual players in coalition games, have become a commonly used approach in explainable machine learning to provide attributions to input features for black-box…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-24 Che-Ping Tsai , Chih-Kuan Yeh , Pradeep Ravikumar

Game-theoretic formulations of feature importance have become popular as a way to "explain" machine learning models. These methods define a cooperative game between the features of a model and distribute influence among these input elements…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-07-01 I. Elizabeth Kumar , Suresh Venkatasubramanian , Carlos Scheidegger , Sorelle Friedler

Many existing interpretation methods are based on Partial Dependence (PD) functions that, for a pre-trained machine learning model, capture how a subset of the features affects the predictions by averaging over the remaining features.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-05 Jinyang Liu , Tessa Steensgaard , Marvin N. Wright , Niklas Pfister , Munir Hiabu

The presence of artificial intelligence (AI) in our society is increasing, which brings with it the need to understand the behavior of AI mechanisms, including machine learning predictive algorithms fed with tabular data, text or images,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-06 Pedro Delicado , Cristian Pachón-García

The Shapley value provides a principled framework for fairly distributing rewards among participants according to their individual contributions. While prior work has applied this concept to data valuation in machine learning, existing…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-01-22 Zhuofan Jia , Jian Pei

This paper makes the case for using Shapley value to quantify the importance of random input variables to a function. Alternatives based on the ANOVA decomposition can run into conceptual and computational problems when the input variables…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-22 Art B. Owen , Clémentine Prieur

Missing data is a prevalent issue that can significantly impair model performance and explainability. This paper briefly summarizes the development of the field of missing data with respect to Explainable Artificial Intelligence and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-23 Tuan L. Vo , Thu Nguyen , Luis M. Lopez-Ramos , Hugo L. Hammer , Michael A. Riegler , Pal Halvorsen

While biomanufacturing plays a significant role in supporting the economy and ensuring public health, it faces critical challenges, including complexity, high variability, lengthy lead time, and very limited process data, especially for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-03 Wei Xie , Bo Wang , Cheng Li , Dongming Xie , Jared Auclair

Global sensitivity analysis is now established as a powerful approach for determining the key random input parameters that drive the uncertainty of model output predictions. Yet the classical computation of the so-called Sobol' indices is…

Computation · Statistics 2016-06-16 L. Le Gratiet , S. Marelli , B. Sudret

In many observational studies in social science and medicine, subjects or units are connected, and one unit's treatment and attributes may affect another's treatment and outcome, violating the stable unit treatment value assumption (SUTVA)…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-25 Zhaonan Qu , Ruoxuan Xiong , Jizhou Liu , Guido Imbens

In this dissertation, we analyze the computational properties of game-theoretic centrality measures. The key idea behind game-theoretic approach to network analysis is to treat nodes as players in a cooperative game, where the value of each…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2015-12-08 Piotr Lech Szczepański

Variance-based global sensitivity analysis (GSA) can provide a wealth of information when applied to complex models. A well-known Achilles' heel of this approach is its computational cost which often renders it unfeasible in practice. An…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-01-08 John Darges , Alen Alexanderian , Pierre Gremaud

Collaborative machine learning enables multiple data owners to jointly train models for improved predictive performance. However, ensuring incentive compatibility and fair contribution-based rewards remains a critical challenge. Prior work…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-10-16 Björn Filter , Ralf Möller , Özgür Lütfü Özçep

Following the work of Lloyd Shapley on the Shapley value, and tangentially the work of Guillermo Owen, we offer an alternative non-probabilistic formulation of part of the work of Robert J. Weber in his 1978 paper "Probabilistic values for…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2019-05-13 Jacob North Clark , Stephen Montgomery-Smith

Standard Gaussian graphical models (GGMs) implicitly assume that the conditional independence among variables is common to all observations in the sample. However, in practice, observations are usually collected form heterogeneous…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-01-26 Abel Rodriguez , Alex Lenkoski , Adrian Dobra

There is much interest lately in explainability in statistics and machine learning. One aspect of explainability is to quantify the importance of various features (or covariates). Two popular methods for defining variable importance are…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-13 Isabella Verdinelli , Larry Wasserman
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