Related papers: Consistent inference for diffusions from low frequ…

Inferring a diffusion equation from discretely-observed measurements is a statistical challenge of significant importance in a variety of fields, from single-molecule tracking in biophysical systems to modeling financial instruments.…

We consider nonparametric Bayesian inference in a reflected diffusion model $dX_t = b (X_t)dt + \sigma(X_t) dW_t,$ with discretely sampled observations $X_0, X_\Delta, \dots, X_{n\Delta}$. We analyse the nonlinear inverse problem…

We consider the problem of the Bayesian inference of drift and diffusion coefficient functions in a stochastic differential equation given discrete observations of a realisation of its solution. We give conditions for the well-posedness and…

Let $\mathcal{K}\subset R^d$, $d\ge2$, be a smooth, bounded domain satisfying $0\in\mathcal{K}$, and let $f(t),\ t\ge0$, be a smooth, continuous, nondecreasing function satisfying $f(0)>1$. Define $D_t=f(t)\mathcal{K}\subset R^d$. Consider…

We consider a self-interacting diffusion $X$ on a smooth compact Riemannian manifold $\mathbb M$, described by the stochastic differential equation \[ dX_t = \sqrt{2} dW_t(X_t)- \beta(t) \nabla V_t(X_t)dt, \] where $\beta$ is suitably…

We remove the dependence on the `hot-spots' conjecture in two of the main theorems of the recent paper of Nickl (2024, Annals of Statistics). Specifically, we characterise the minimax convergence rates for estimation of the transition…

The present paper is concerned with some self-interacting diffusions $(X_t,t\geq 0)$ living on $\mathbb{R}^d$. These diffusions are solutions to stochastic differential equations: $$\mathrm{d}X_t = \mathrm{d}B_t - g(t)\nabla V(X_t -…

We consider the problem of making nonparametric inference in a class of multi-dimensional diffusions in divergence form, from low-frequency data. Statistical analysis in this setting is notoriously challenging due to the intractability of…

Beyond estimating parameters of interest from data, one of the key goals of statistical inference is to properly quantify uncertainty in these estimates. In Bayesian inference, this uncertainty is provided by the posterior distribution, the…

We investigate the close connection between metastability of the reversible diffusion process X defined by the stochastic differential equation dX_t=-\nabla F(X_t) dt+\sqrt2\epsilon dW_t,\qquad \epsilon >0, and the spectrum near zero of its…

We prove the consistency of an adaptive importance sampling strategy based on biasing the potential energy function $V$ of a diffusion process $dX_t^0=-\nabla V(X_t^0)dt+dW_t$; for the sake of simplicity, periodic boundary conditions are…

We study Bayes procedures for the problem of nonparametric drift estimation for one-dimensional, ergodic diffusion models from discrete-time, low-frequency data. We give conditions for posterior consistency and verify these conditions for…

While the mathematical foundations of score-based generative models are increasingly well understood for unconstrained Euclidean spaces, many practical applications involve data restricted to bounded domains. This paper provides a…

For $\mathcal{O}$ a bounded domain in $\mathbb{R}^d$ and a given smooth function $g:\mathcal{O}\to\mathbb{R}$, we consider the statistical nonlinear inverse problem of recovering the conductivity $f>0$ in the divergence form equation $$…

Constrained diffusions in convex polyhedral domains with a general oblique reflection field, and with a diffusion coefficient scaled by a small parameter, are considered. Using an interior Dirichlet heat kernel lower bound estimate for…

We study one-dimensional stochastic differential equations of form $dX_t = \sigma(X_t)dY_t$, where $Y$ is a suitable H\"older continuous driver such as the fractional Brownian motion $B^H$ with $H>\frac12$. The innovative aspect of the…

In the Bayesian approach, the a priori knowledge about the input of a mathematical model is described via a probability measure. The joint distribution of the unknown input and the data is then conditioned, using Bayes' formula, giving rise…

We consider the statistical inverse problem of estimating a background fluid flow field $\mathbf{v}$ from the partial, noisy observations of the concentration $\theta$ of a substance passively advected by the fluid, so that $\theta$ is…

Diffusion models have become a successful approach for solving various image inverse problems by providing a powerful diffusion prior. Many studies tried to combine the measurement into diffusion by score function replacement, matrix…

We study a nonlinear, pseudomonotone, stochastic diffusion-convection evolution problem on a bounded spatial domain, in any space dimension, with homogeneous boundary conditions and reflection. The additive noise term is given by a…