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The forecast of tropical cyclone trajectories is crucial for the protection of people and property. Although forecast dynamical models can provide high-precision short-term forecasts, they are computationally demanding, and current…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-01-13 Sophie Giffard-Roisin , Mo Yang , Guillaume Charpiat , Christina Kumler-Bonfanti , Balázs Kégl , Claire Monteleoni

In this paper we formulate a regression problem to predict realized volatility by using option price data and enhance VIX-styled volatility indices' predictability and liquidity. We test algorithms including regularized regression and…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-09-24 Peter Carr , Liuren Wu , Zhibai Zhang

Deep learning is an effective approach to solving image recognition problems. People draw intuitive conclusions from trading charts; this study uses the characteristics of deep learning to train computers in imitating this kind of intuition…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2018-01-10 Yun-Cheng Tsai , Jun-Hao Chen , Jun-Jie Wang

The paper describes the deep learning approach for forecasting non-stationary time series with using time trend correction in a neural network model. Along with the layers for predicting sales values, the neural network model includes a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-25 Bohdan M. Pavlyshenko

News recommendation systems rely on automated sentiment analysis to personalise content and enhance user engagement. Conventional approaches often struggle with ambiguity, lexicon inconsistencies, and limited contextual understanding,…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2026-01-07 Eunice Kingenga , Mike Wa Nkongolo

Predictive monitoring of business processes is a subfield of process mining that aims to predict, among other things, the characteristics of the next event or the sequence of next events. Although multiple approaches based on deep learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-24 Efrén Rama-Maneiro , Juan C. Vidal , Manuel Lama

Accurate rainfall forecasting is critical because it has a great impact on people's social and economic activities. Recent trends on various literatures show that Deep Learning (Neural Network) is a promising methodology to tackle many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-08 Seongchan Kim , Seungkyun Hong , Minsu Joh , Sa-kwang Song

Incorporating environmental, social, and governance (ESG) considerations into systematic investments has drawn numerous attention recently. In this paper, we focus on the ESG events in financial news flow and exploring the predictive power…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-07 Tian Guo , Nicolas Jamet , Valentin Betrix , Louis-Alexandre Piquet , Emmanuel Hauptmann

The financial industry poses great challenges with risk modeling and profit generation. These entities are intricately tied to the sophisticated prediction of stock movements. A stock forecaster must untangle the randomness and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-14 Luke Sanborn , Matthew Sahagun

Sentiment analysis can be used for stock market prediction. However, existing research has not studied the impact of a user's financial background on sentiment-based forecasting of the stock market using artificial neural networks. In this…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-05 Ziyuan Ma , Conor Ryan , Jim Buckley , Muslim Chochlov

Stock trend analysis has been an influential time-series prediction topic due to its lucrative and inherently chaotic nature. Many models looking to accurately predict the trend of stocks have been based on Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs).…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-25 Harsimrat Kaeley , Ye Qiao , Nader Bagherzadeh

Increasingly high-stakes decisions are made using neural networks in order to make predictions. Specifically, meteorologists and hedge funds apply these techniques to time series data. When it comes to prediction, there are certain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-14 Levente Foldesi , Matias Valdenegro-Toro

The importance of accurately quantifying forecast uncertainty has motivated much recent research on probabilistic forecasting. In particular, a variety of deep learning approaches has been proposed, with forecast distributions obtained as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-11 Benedikt Schulz , Lutz Köhler , Sebastian Lerch

Market economy closely connects aspects to all walks of life. The stock forecast is one of task among studies on the market economy. However, information on markets economy contains a lot of noise and uncertainties, which lead economy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-23 Jialin Liu , Chih-Min Lin , Fei Chao

Trend following and momentum investing are common strategies employed by asset managers. Even though they can be helpful in the proper situations, they are limited in the sense that they work just by looking at past, as if we were driving…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-19 Fernando Berzal , Alberto Garcia

Deep learning methods have gained popularity in recent years through the media and the relative ease of implementation through open source packages such as Keras. We investigate the applicability of popular recurrent neural networks in…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-05 Andrew T. Karl , James Wisnowski , Lambros Petropoulos

Sentiment analysis is known as one of the most crucial tasks in the field of natural language processing and Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) is one of those prominent models that is commonly used for this aim. Although convolutional…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-02-24 Hossein Sadr , Mozhdeh Nazari Solimandarabi , Mir Mohsen Pedram , Mohammad Teshnehlab

Over the last decade, health communities (known as forums) have evolved into platforms where more and more users share their medical experiences, thereby seeking guidance and interacting with people of the community. The shared content,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-09-20 Alan Aipe , Mukuntha Narayanan Sundararaman , Asif Ekbal

In this paper, we investigate meta-learning for combining forecasts generated by models of different types. While typical approaches for combining forecasts involve simple averaging, machine learning techniques enable more sophisticated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-15 Grzegorz Dudek

In an era where financial markets are heavily influenced by many static and dynamic factors, it has become increasingly critical to carefully integrate diverse data sources with machine learning for accurate stock price prediction. This…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-10 Furkan Karadaş , Bahaeddin Eravcı , Ahmet Murat Özbayoğlu
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