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Miscalibration - a mismatch between a model's confidence and its correctness - of Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) makes their predictions hard to rely on. Ideally, we want networks to be accurate, calibrated and confident. We show that, as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-27 Jishnu Mukhoti , Viveka Kulharia , Amartya Sanyal , Stuart Golodetz , Philip H. S. Torr , Puneet K. Dokania

Despite tremendous progress in developing deep-learning-based weather forecasting systems, their design space, including the impact of different design choices, is yet to be well understood. This paper aims to fill this knowledge gap by…

Time series forecasting poses significant challenges in non-stationary environments where underlying patterns evolve over time. In this work, we propose a novel framework that enhances deep neural network (DNN) performance by leveraging…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Amal Saadallah , Abdulaziz Al-Ademi

Climate change and sea-level rise (SLR) pose escalating threats to coastal cities, intensifying the need for efficient and accurate methods to predict potential flood hazards. Traditional physics-based hydrodynamic simulators, although…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-10-31 Bilal Hassan , Areg Karapetyan , Aaron Chung Hin Chow , Samer Madanat

Data assimilation is a vital component in modern global medium-range weather forecasting systems to obtain the best estimation of the atmospheric state by combining the short-term forecast and observations. Recently, AI-based data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-05 Kun Chen , Tao Chen , Peng Ye , Hao Chen , Kang Chen , Tao Han , Wanli Ouyang , Lei Bai

Accurate weather forecasts are important for disaster prevention, agricultural planning, etc. Traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP) methods offer physically interpretable high-accuracy predictions but are computationally expensive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-10 Yuan Gao , Hao Wu , Ruiqi Shu , Huanshuo Dong , Fan Xu , Rui Ray Chen , Yibo Yan , Qingsong Wen , Xuming Hu , Kun Wang , Jiahao Wu , Qing Li , Hui Xiong , Xiaomeng Huang

The paper presents a spatio-temporal wind speed forecasting algorithm using Deep Learning (DL)and in particular, Recurrent Neural Networks(RNNs). Motivated by recent advances in renewable energy integration and smart grids, we apply our…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-07-27 Amir Ghaderi , Borhan M. Sanandaji , Faezeh Ghaderi

Physics-based numerical models have been the bedrock of atmospheric sciences for decades, offering robust solutions but often at the cost of significant computational resources. Deep learning (DL) models have emerged as powerful tools in…

As artificial intelligence (AI) continues to rapidly evolve, the realm of Earth and atmospheric sciences is increasingly adopting data-driven models, powered by progressive developments in deep learning (DL). Specifically, DL techniques are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-07 Shengchao Chen , Guodong Long , Jing Jiang , Dikai Liu , Chengqi Zhang

Data assimilation (DA) is crucial for enhancing solutions to partial differential equations (PDEs), such as those in numerical weather prediction, by optimizing initial conditions using observational data. Variational DA methods are widely…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Hamidreza Moazzami , Asma Jamali , Nicholas Kevlahan , Rodrigo A. Vargas-Hernández

This article presents an innovative study in exploring, evaluating, and implementing deep learning architectures for the calibration of multi-modal sensor systems. The focus behind this is to leverage the use of sensor fusion to achieve…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-09-24 Venkat Karramreddy , Liam Mitchell

Variational data assimilation in ocean models depends on the ability to model general correlation operators in the presence of coastlines. Grid-point filters based on diffusion operators are widely used for this purpose, but come with a…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-12-11 Folke K Skrunes , Mayeul Destouches , Anthony Weaver , Guillaume Coulaud , Olivier Goux , Corentin Lapeyre

With broad applications in various public services like aviation management and urban disaster warning, numerical precipitation prediction plays a crucial role in weather forecast. However, constrained by the limitation of observation and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-18 Xiaoyang Xu , Yiqun Liu , Hanqing Chao , Youcheng Luo , Hai Chu , Lei Chen , Junping Zhang , Leiming Ma

Accurate forecasting of renewable energy generation is essential for efficient grid management and sustainable power planning. However, traditional supervised models often require access to labeled data from the target site, which may be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Abderaouf Bahi , Amel Ourici , Ibtissem Gasmi , Aida Derrablia , Warda Deghmane , Mohamed Amine Ferrag

This paper presents a deep-learning based framework for addressing the problem of accurate cloud detection in remote sensing images. This framework benefits from a Fully Convolutional Neural Network (FCN), which is capable of pixel-level…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-10-16 Sorour Mohajerani , Thomas A. Krammer , Parvaneh Saeedi

Weather forecasting remains a crucial yet challenging domain, where recently developed models based on deep learning (DL) have approached the performance of traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP) models. However, these DL models,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-02-13 Zhanxiang Hua , Yutong He , Chengqian Ma , Alexandra Anderson-Frey

While classical time series forecasting considers individual time series in isolation, recent advances based on deep learning showed that jointly learning from a large pool of related time series can boost the forecasting accuracy. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-15 Riccardo Grazzi , Valentin Flunkert , David Salinas , Tim Januschowski , Matthias Seeger , Cedric Archambeau

Satellite-derived data products and climate model simulations of geophysical variables like precipitation, often exhibit systematic biases compared to in-situ measurements. Bias correction and spatial downscaling are fundamental components…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-16 Sumanta Chandra Mishra Sharma , Adway Mitra , Auroop Ratan Ganguly

In this paper, we propose deep learning architectures (FNN, CNN and LSTM) to forecast a regression model for time dependent data. These algorithm's are designed to handle Floating Car Data (FCD) historic speeds to predict road traffic data.…

Applications · Statistics 2017-10-24 Thomas Epelbaum , Fabrice Gamboa , Jean-Michel Loubes , Jessica Martin

Weather forecasting is crucial for public safety, disaster prevention and mitigation, agricultural production, and energy management, with global relevance. Although deep learning has significantly advanced weather prediction, current…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Shixuan Li , Wei Yang , Peiyu Zhang , Xiongye Xiao , Defu Cao , Yuehan Qin , Xiaole Zhang , Yue Zhao , Paul Bogdan