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Related papers: State-dependence of CO2 Forcing and its Implicatio…

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Against the backdrop of ongoing carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals, accurate prediction of enterprise carbon emission trends constitutes an essential foundation for energy structure optimization and low-carbon transformation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Zitao Hong , Zhen Peng , Xueping Liu

The atmospheres of rocky exoplanets are close to being characterized by astronomical observations, in part due to the commissioning of the James Webb Space Telescope. These observations compel us to understand exoplanetary atmospheres, in…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2022-12-29 Assaf Hochman , Paolo De Luca , Thaddeus D. Komacek

We directly determine the sensitivity and time delay of Earth's surface temperature response to annual solar irradiance variations from 60 years of data. A two-layer energy balance model is developed to interpret the results. Explaining…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-10 David H. Douglass , Eric G. Blackman , Robert S. Knox

Humanity is close to characterizing the atmospheres of rocky exoplanets due to the advent of JWST. These astronomical observations motivate us to understand exoplanetary atmospheres to constrain habitability. We study the influence…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2023-07-06 Assaf Hochman , Thaddeus D. Komacek , Paolo De Luca

It is widely believed that the carbonate-silicate cycle is the main agent to trigger deglaciations by CO$_2$ greenhouse warming on Earth and on Earth-like planets when they get in frozen state. Here we use a 3D Global Climate Model to…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2017-08-23 Martin Turbet , Francois Forget , Jeremy Leconte , Benjamin Charnay , Gabriel Tobie

Many planetary parameters impact the climate state of Earth-like exoplanets and could vary significantly from those on Earth. However, some of these parameters may be impossible to observe, causing ambiguity in determining exoplanet climate…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2026-05-07 Kyle Batra , Stephanie Olson , Vincent Kofman

Echo chambers and polarisation dynamics are as of late a very prominent topic in scientific communities around the world. As these phenomena directly affect our lives and seemingly more and more as our societies and communication channels…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-03-01 Łukasz G. Gajewski , Julian Sienkiewicz , Janusz A. Hołyst

The steadily increasing amount of atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO$_2$) is affecting the global climate system and threatening the long-term sustainability of Earth's ecosystem. In order to better understand the sources and sinks of CO$_2$,…

Applications · Statistics 2022-04-12 Pratik Patil , Mikael Kuusela , Jonathan Hobbs

The Sun has long been considered a constant star, to the extent that its total irradiance was termed the solar constant. It required radiometers in space to detect the small variations in solar irradiance on timescales of the solar rotation…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-11 Sami K. Solanki , Yvonne C. Unruh

The effect caused by the presence of a number of distinct time scales in a simple stochastic model for the Earth's atmosphere temperature fluctuations is studied. The model is described by a dissipative dynamics consisting of a set of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Arturo Berrones

Current techniques for predicting climate change are mainly based on "massive" deterministic numerical modeling. However, the ocean-atmosphere system is a so-called "complex system", made up of a large number of interacting elements. We…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-05-31 Francois Louchet

Despite a fainter Sun, the surface of the early Earth was mostly ice-free. Proposed solutions to this so-called "faint young Sun problem" have usually involved higher amounts of greenhouse gases than present in the modern-day atmosphere.…

Astrophysics · Physics 2008-09-11 P. von Paris , H. Rauer , L. Grenfell , B. Patzer , P. Hedelt , B. Stracke , T. Trautmann , F. Schreier

It is shown that global climate exhibits chaotic response to solar forcing variability in a vast range of timescales: from annual to multi-millennium. Unlike linear systems, where periodic forcing leads to periodic response, nonlinear…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2010-01-05 A. Bershadskii

Global Climate Models are key tools for predicting the future response of the climate system to a variety of natural and anthropogenic forcings. Here we show how to use statistical mechanics to construct operators able to flexibly predict…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-11-16 Valerio Lembo , Valerio Lucarini , Francesco Ragone

The Great Oxidation Event was a period during which Earth's atmospheric oxygen (O$_2$) concentrations increased from $\sim 10^{-5}$ times its present atmospheric level (PAL) to near modern levels, marking the start of the Proterozoic…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2022-09-28 Gregory Cooke , Dan Marsh , Catherine Walsh , Sarah Rugheimer , Geronimo Villanueva

In the conventional habitable zone (HZ) concept, a CO$_{2}$-H$_2$O greenhouse maintains surface liquid water. Through the water-mediated carbonate-silicate weathering cycle, atmospheric CO$_{2}$ partial pressure (pCO$_{2}$) responds to…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2020-12-03 Owen R. Lehmer , David C. Catling , Joshua Krissansen-Totton

We developed a coupled social-climate network model to understand the interaction between climate change opinion spread and the climate system and determine the role of this interaction in shaping collective actions and global temperature…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-03-07 Athira Satheesh Kumar , Krešimir Josić , Chris T Bauch , Madhur Anand

Earth's climate is influenced by over a dozen feedbacks, but only three dominate its long-term climate behavior. Models of the exoplanet habitable zone (HZ) assume that this is similar for other Earth-like planets. We used dynamical…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2026-03-12 Chaucer Langbert , Dániel Apai

This paper investigates the implications of the future continuation of the demonstrated past (1960-2012) strong correlation between first-difference atmospheric CO2 and global surface temperature. It does this, for the period from the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2014-04-30 L. M. W Leggett , D. A. Ball

We study the impact of climate volatility on economic growth exploiting data on 133 countries between 1960 and 2019. We show that the conditional (ex ante) volatility of annual temperatures increased steadily over time, rendering climate…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-23 Piergiorgio Alessandri , Haroon Mumtaz