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We study the robust interpolation problem of arbitrary data distributions supported on a bounded space and propose a two-fold law of robustness. Robust interpolation refers to the problem of interpolating $n$ noisy training data points in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-02 Yihan Wu , Heng Huang , Hongyang Zhang

Providing non-conservative uncertainty quantification for function estimates derived from noisy observations remains a fundamental challenge in statistical machine learning, particularly for applications in safety-critical domains. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Johannes Teutsch , Oleksii Molodchyk , Marion Leibold , Timm Faulwasser , Armin Lederer

Recent advances in quantized compressed sensing and high-dimensional estimation have shown that signal recovery is even feasible under strong non-linear distortions in the observation process. An important characteristic of associated…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-08-08 Martin Genzel , Alexander Stollenwerk

Overparameterized models fail to generalize well in the presence of data imbalance even when combined with traditional techniques for mitigating imbalances. This paper focuses on imbalanced classification datasets, in which a small subset…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-28 Tina Behnia , Ke Wang , Christos Thrampoulidis

We study generalization in an overparameterized continual linear regression setting, where a model is trained with L2 (isotropic) regularization across a sequence of tasks. We derive a closed-form expression for the expected generalization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-14 Gilad Karpel , Edward Moroshko , Ran Levinstein , Ron Meir , Daniel Soudry , Itay Evron

We present non-asymptotic two-sided bounds to the log-marginal likelihood in Bayesian inference. The classical Laplace approximation is recovered as the leading term. Our derivation permits model misspecification and allows the parameter…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-23 Anirban Bhattacharya , Debdeep Pati

We obtain non-asymptotic Gaussian concentration bounds for the difference between the invariant measure $\nu$ of an ergodic Brownian diffusion process and the empirical distribution of an approximating scheme with decreasing time step along…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-28 Igor Honoré , Stephane Menozzi , Gilles Pagès

We show generalisation error bounds for deep learning with two main improvements over the state of the art. (1) Our bounds have no explicit dependence on the number of classes except for logarithmic factors. This holds even when formulating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-23 Antoine Ledent , Waleed Mustafa , Yunwen Lei , Marius Kloft

An explicit upper bound on the tail probabilities for the normalized Rademacher sums is given. This bound, which is best possible in a certain sense, is asymptotically equivalent to the corresponding tail probability of the standard normal…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-17 Iosif Pinelis

We propose an iterative estimating equations procedure for analysis of longitudinal data. We show that, under very mild conditions, the probability that the procedure converges at an exponential rate tends to one as the sample size…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-12-18 Jiming Jiang , Yihui Luan , You-Gan Wang

This paper is devoted to the problem of determining the concentration bounds that are achievable in non-parametric regression. We consider the setting where features are supported on a bounded subset of $\mathbb{R}^d$, the regression…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-02 Anna Ben-Hamou , Arnaud Guyader

Gaussian inference on smooth manifolds is central to robotics, but exact marginalization and conditioning are generally non-Gaussian and geometry-dependent. We study tangent-linearized Gaussian inference and derive explicit non-asymptotic…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-04-30 Junghoon Seo , Hakjin Lee , Jaehoon Sim

In this paper, we show how to use the framework of mod-Gaussian convergence in order to study the fluctuations of certain models of random graphs, of random permutations and of random integer partitions. We prove that, in these three…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-27 Valentin Féray , Pierre-Loïc Méliot , Ashkan Nikeghbali

We analyze the practices of reservoir computing in the framework of statistical learning theory. In particular, we derive finite sample upper bounds for the generalization error committed by specific families of reservoir computing systems…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-31 Lukas Gonon , Lyudmila Grigoryeva , Juan-Pablo Ortega

Regularization, whether explicit in terms of a penalty in the loss or implicit in the choice of algorithm, is a cornerstone of modern machine learning. Indeed, controlling the complexity of the model class is particularly important when…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-22 Matteo Vilucchio , Nikolaos Tsilivis , Bruno Loureiro , Julia Kempe

This paper extends the standard chaining technique to prove excess risk upper bounds for empirical risk minimization with random design settings even if the magnitude of the noise and the estimates is unbounded. The bound applies to many…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-08 Gábor Balázs , András György , Csaba Szepesvári

We develop a general assumption-lean framework for constructing uniformly valid confidence sets for functionals defined by moment equalities, referred to as $Z$-functionals. Our approach combines self-normalized statistics with a test…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-11 Woonyoung Chang , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

Motivated by engineering applications such as resource allocation in networks and inventory systems, we consider average-reward Reinforcement Learning with unbounded state space and reward function. Recent works studied this problem in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-10 Shaan Ul Haque , Siva Theja Maguluri

Estimation and prediction problems for dense signals are often framed in terms of minimax problems over highly symmetric parameter spaces. In this paper, we study minimax problems over l2-balls for high-dimensional linear models with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-22 Lee Dicker

We study the generalization capability of nearly-interpolating linear regressors: $\boldsymbol{\beta}$'s whose training error $\tau$ is positive but small, i.e., below the noise floor. Under a random matrix theoretic assumption on the data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-13 Yutong Wang , Rishi Sonthalia , Wei Hu