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The importance of predicting stock market prices cannot be overstated. It is a pivotal task for investors and financial institutions as it enables them to make informed investment decisions, manage risks, and ensure the stability of the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-02 Aayush Shah , Mann Doshi , Meet Parekh , Nirmit Deliwala , Pramila M. Chawan

Recent researches on stock prediction using deep learning methods has been actively studied. This is the task to predict the movement of stock prices in the future based on historical trends. The approach to predicting the movement based…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-01 Jaeyoung Cheong , Heejoon Lee , Minjung Kang

Volatility is a quantity of measurement for the price movements of stocks or options which indicates the uncertainty within financial markets. As an indicator of the level of risk or the degree of variation, volatility is important to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-12 Qiang Zhang , Rui Luo , Yaodong Yang , Yuanyuan Liu

Electricity load forecasting plays an important role in the energy planning such as generation and distribution. However, the nonlinearity and dynamic uncertainties in the smart grid environment are the main obstacles in forecasting…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-11-09 Faisal Mohammad , Ki Boem Lee , Young-Chon Kim

We use an adversarial expert based online learning algorithm to learn the optimal parameters required to maximise wealth trading zero-cost portfolio strategies. The learning algorithm is used to determine the relative population dynamics of…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-20 Nicholas Murphy , Tim Gebbie

We consider a data-driven newsvendor problem, where one has access to past demand data and the associated feature information. We solve the problem by estimating the target quantile function using a deep neural network (DNN). The remarkable…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-10-01 Jinhui Han , Ming Hu , Guohao Shen

We introduce Dynamic Deep Neural Networks (D2NN), a new type of feed-forward deep neural network that allows selective execution. Given an input, only a subset of D2NN neurons are executed, and the particular subset is determined by the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-03-06 Lanlan Liu , Jia Deng

Company disclosures greatly aid in the process of financial decision-making; therefore, they are consulted by financial investors and automated traders before exercising ownership in stocks. While humans are usually able to correctly…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2017-10-12 Mathias Kraus , Stefan Feuerriegel

In stock trading, feature extraction and trading strategy design are the two important tasks to achieve long-term benefits using machine learning techniques. Several methods have been proposed to design trading strategy by acquiring trading…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-01 Supriya Bajpai

Recently there has been significant research on power generation, distribution and transmission efficiency especially in the case of renewable resources. The main objective is reduction of energy losses and this requires improvements on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-17 Stefan Hosein , Patrick Hosein

We propose Impatient Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) which deal with dynamic time budgets during application. They allow for individual budgets given a priori for each test example and for anytime prediction, i.e., a possible interruption at…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-10-11 Manuel Amthor , Erik Rodner , Joachim Denzler

Financial forecasting is an example of a signal processing problem which is challenging due to Small sample sizes, high noise, non-stationarity, and non-linearity,but fast forecasting of stock market price is very important for strategic…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2015-03-13 Arka Ghosh

In this paper, we propose a method for evaluating autonomous trading strategies that provides realistic expectations, regarding the strategy's long-term performance. This method addresses This method addresses many pitfalls that currently…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2021-11-22 Murilo Sibrao Bernardini , Paulo Andre Lima de Castro

This research paper aims to investigate the efficacy of decision trees in constructing intraday trading strategies using existing technical indicators for individual equities in the NIFTY50 index. Unlike conventional methods that rely on a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-24 Prajwal Naga , Dinesh Balivada , Sharath Chandra Nirmala , Poornoday Tiruveedi

Stock trend prediction involves forecasting the future price movements by analyzing historical data and various market indicators. With the advancement of machine learning, graph neural networks (GNNs) have been extensively employed in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Zhipeng Liu , Peibo Duan , Mingyang Geng , Bin Zhang

Many works have shown the overfitting hazard of selecting a trading strategy based only on good IS (in sample) performance. But most of them have merely shown such phenomena exist without offering ways to avoid them. We propose an approach…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-09-13 Ao Sun , Yuh-Dauh Lyuu

Deep reinforcement learning (DRL) has been widely studied in the portfolio management task. However, it is challenging to understand a DRL-based trading strategy because of the black-box nature of deep neural networks. In this paper, we…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-21 Mao Guan , Xiao-Yang Liu

The problem of automatic and accurate forecasting of time-series data has always been an interesting challenge for the machine learning and forecasting community. A majority of the real-world time-series problems have non-stationary…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-08-18 Rohit Kaushik , Shikhar Jain , Siddhant Jain , Tirtharaj Dash

More and more stock trading strategies are constructed using deep reinforcement learning (DRL) algorithms, but DRL methods originally widely used in the gaming community are not directly adaptable to financial data with low signal-to-noise…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-27 Jie Zou , Jiashu Lou , Baohua Wang , Sixue Liu

We propose a novel deep neural network (DNN) based approximation architecture to learn estimates of measurements. We detail an algorithm that enables training of the DNN. The DNN estimator only uses measurements, if and when they are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-13 Shivangi Agarwal , Sanjit K. Kaul , Saket Anand , P. B. Sujit