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The land-atmosphere coupling strength has been defined as the percentage of precipitation variability explained by the variation of soil moisture in the Global Land-Atmosphere Coupling Experiment (GLACE). While it is useful to identify…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-05-03 Jun Yin

In this paper we assess the correlation between recent observing runs (2018 and 2019) and inclement weather, and demonstrate that these observing runs have seen much more rainfall than would otherwise be expected, an increase of over 200%.…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2020-04-01 Michael B. Lund

Efforts to green cities for cooling are succeeding unevenly because the same vegetation that cools surfaces can also intensify how hot the air feels. Previous studies have identified humid heat as a growing urban hazard, yet how…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Angana Borah , Adrija Datta , Ashish S. Kumar , Raviraj Dave , Udit Bhatia

Climate change is increasing the occurrence of extreme precipitation events, threatening infrastructure, agriculture, and public safety. Ensemble prediction systems provide probabilistic forecasts but exhibit biases and difficulties in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-09 Christopher Bülte , Sohir Maskey , Philipp Scholl , Jonas von Berg , Gitta Kutyniok

Lightning activity on a global scale has been studied season wise using satellite data for the period from 1998 to 2009. Lightning activity shows an increasing trend during the period of study which is highly correlated with atmospheric…

General Physics · Physics 2010-12-23 Felix Pereira B. , Priyadarsini G. , T. E. Girish

We investigate the abrupt breakdown behavior of coupled distribution grids under load growth. This scenario mimics the ever-increasing customer demand and the foreseen introduction of energy hubs interconnecting the different energy…

We introduce a geometric method for identifying the coupling direction between two dynamical systems based on a bivariate extension of recurrence network analysis. Global characteristics of the resulting inter-system recurrence networks…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-01-08 Jan H. Feldhoff , Reik V. Donner , Jonathan F. Donges , N. Marwan , J. Kurths

This paper presents flood prediction models for the state of Kerala in India by analyzing the monthly rainfall data and applying machine learning algorithms including Logistic Regression, K-Nearest Neighbors, Decision Trees, Random Forests,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-14 Sai Prasanth Kadiyala , Wai Lok Woo

Rainfall in coastal areas of the tropics is often shaped by the presence of circulations directly associated with the topography, such as land-sea and/or mountain-valley breezes. In many regions the coastally-affected rainfall consitutes…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-05-09 Martin Bergemann , Christian Jakob , Todd P. Lane

The climate change dispute is about changes over time of environmental characteristics (such as rainfall). Some people say that a possible change is not so much in the mean but rather in the extreme phenomena (that is, the average rainfall…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-16 Laurens de Haan , Albert Klein Tank , Cláudia Neves

In recent years, the paradigms of data-driven science have become essential components of physical sciences, particularly in geophysical disciplines such as climatology. The field of hydrology is one of these disciplines where machine…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-06-24 Martin Gauch , Jimmy Lin

A primary objective of the NASA Earth-Sun Exploration Technology Office is to understand the observed Earth climate variability, thus enabling the determination and prediction of the climate's response to both natural and human-induced…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-11-20 Kevin H. Knuth , Anthony Gotera , Charles T. Curry , Karen A. Huyser , Kevin R. Wheeler , William B. Rossow

The primary objective of this paper is to analyze a set of canonical spatial patterns that approximate the daily rainfall across the Indian region, as identified in the companion paper where we developed a discrete representation of the…

Applications · Statistics 2021-01-26 Adway Mitra , Amit Apte , Rama Govindarajan , Vishal Vasan , Sreekar Vadlamani

In this paper we discuss and address the challenges of predicting extreme atmospheric events like intense rainfall, hail, and strong winds. These events can cause significant damage and have become more frequent due to climate change.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-10-06 Mikhail Mozikov , Ilya Makarov , Alexandr Bulkin , Daria Taniushkina , Roland Grinis , Yury Maximov

The formation of Middle Tropospheric Cyclones (MTCs) that are responsible for a large portion of annual precipitation and extreme rainfall events over western India is studied using an unsupervised machine learning algorithm and cyclone…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-08-16 Pradeep Kushwaha , Jai Sukhatme , Ravi S. Nanjundiah

With weather becoming more extreme both in terms of longer dry periods and more severe rain events, municipal water networks are increasingly under pressure. The effects include damages to the pipes, flash floods on the streets and combined…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2021-02-18 Felix Lorenz , Morgan Geldenhuys , Harald Sommer , Frauke Jakobs , Carsten Lüring , Volker Skwarek , Ilja Behnke , Lauritz Thamsen

Earth's modern climate is characterized by wet, rainy deep tropics, however paleoclimate and planetary science have revealed a wide range of hydrological cycle regimes connected to different external parameters. Here we investigate how…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-04-15 Bowen Fan , Zhihong Tan , Tiffany A. Shaw , Edwin S. Kite

There is a propensity for an extreme value analyses to be conducted as a consequence of the occurrence of a large flooding event. This timing of the analysis introduces bias and poor coverage probabilities into the associated risk…

Applications · Statistics 2021-07-02 Anna Maria Barlow , Chris Sherlock , Jonathan Tawn

A monsoon is a wind system that seasonally reverses its direction, accompanied by corresponding changes in precipitation. The Indian monsoon is the most prominent monsoon system, primarily affecting India's rainy season and its surrounding…

Advances in deep learning methods for weather forecasting are creating opportunities to computationally explore the potential for steering or control of extreme weather trajectories for societal risk reduction. We present initial…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-22 Moyan Liu , Qin Huang , Upmanu Lall