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The relation between rainfall and water accumulated in reservoirs comprises nonlinear feedbacks. Here we show that they may generate alternative equilibrium regimes, one of high water-volume, the other of low water-volume. Reservoirs can be…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2015-06-24 Renato Mendes Coutinho , Paulo Inácio Prado , Roberto André Kraenkel

We construct directed and weighted climate networks based on near surface air temperature to investigate the global impacts of El Nino and La Nina. We find that regions which are characterized by higher positive or negative network in…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-09-05 Jingfang Fan , Jun Meng , Yosef Ashkenazy , Shlomo Havlin

Extreme precipitation events with large spatial extents may have more severe impacts than localized events as they can lead to widespread flooding. It is debated how climate change may affect the spatial extent of precipitation extremes,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-07 Peng Zhong , Manuela Brunner , Thomas Opitz , Raphaël Huser

We have witnessed and experienced increasing compound extreme events resulting from simultaneous or sequential occurrence of multiple events in a changing climate. In addition to a growing demand for a clearer explanation of compound risks…

Low-lying coastal cities across the world are vulnerable to the combined impact of rainfall and storm tide. However, existing approaches lack the ability to model the combined effect of these flood mechanisms. Thus, to increase flood…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-08-30 Yawen Shen , Navid Tahvildari , Mohamed M Morsy , Chris Huxley , T. Donna Chen , Jonathan L. Goodall

Numerical simulation models associated with hydraulic engineering take a wide array of data into account to produce predictions: rainfall contribution to the drainage basin (characterized by soil nature, infiltration capacity and moisture),…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-03-01 Corentin J. Lapeyre , Nicolas Cazard , Pamphile T. Roy , Sophie Ricci , Fabrice Zaoui

We present a modified water-vegetation model to investigate the mechanistic relationship between infiltration-soil moisture feedback and vegetation pattern in arid/semi-arid ecosystems. Employing Turing pattern formation theory, we drive…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-08-05 Juan Yan , Xiaoli Wang , Guohong Zhang , Yuan Yuan

Tropical monsoons play a critical role in shaping regional and global climate systems, with profound ecological and socio-economic impacts. However, their long-term prediction remains challenging due to the complex interplay of regional…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-02-24 Guanghao Ran , Jun Meng , Jingfang Fan

Heatwaves are intensifying as a major climate extreme and have emerged as a growing public health threat in rapidly urbanizing regions such as India. In this study, we integrate long-term heat-related mortality records (1970-2023) with…

Despite the coupled nature of water and electricity demand, the two utilities are often managed by different entities with minimal interaction. Neglecting the water-energy demand nexus leads to to suboptimal management decisions,…

Applications · Statistics 2023-11-02 Renee Obringer , Roshanak Nateghi , Jessica Knee , Kaveh Madani , Rohini Kumar

We apply two independent data analysis methodologies to locate stable climate states in an intermediate complexity climate model and analyze their interplay. First, drawing from the theory of quasipotentials, and viewing the state space as…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-07-07 Georgios Margazoglou , Tobias Grafke , Alessandro Laio , Valerio Lucarini

Freshwater from rivers influences Indian summer monsoon rainfall and regional tropical cyclones by shallowing the upper layer and warming the subsurface ocean in the Bay of Bengal. Here, we use in situ and satellite data with reanalysis…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-07-07 Nihar Paul , Jai Sukhatme , Debasis Sengupta , Bishakdatta Gayen

This paper proposes a physics-guided machine learning approach that combines advanced machine learning models and physics-based models to improve the prediction of water flow and temperature in river networks. We first build a recurrent…

The hydrologic cycle has wide impacts on the ocean salinity and circulation, carbon and nitrogen cycles, and the ecosystem. Under anthropogenic global warming, previous studies showed that the intensification of the hydrologic cycle is a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-05-06 Jiachen Liu , Jun Yang , Feng Ding , Gang Chen , Yongyun Hu

What is the role of soil moisture in maintaining the land ITCZ during the active phase of the monsoon? This question has been addressed in this study by using ERA5 reanalysis datasets, and then we evaluate the question in the CFS model-free…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-07-08 Pratibha Gautam , Rajib Chattopadhyay , Gill Martin , Susmitha Joseph , A. K. Sahai

Dryland vegetation can survive water stress by forming spatial patterns but is often subjected to herbivory as an additional stress that puts it at risk of desertification. Understanding the mutual relationships between vegetation…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-02-17 Joydeep Singha , Hannes Uecker , Ehud Meron

Flood forecasts are crucial for effective individual and governmental protective action. The vast majority of flood-related casualties occur in developing countries, where providing spatially accurate forecasts is a challenge due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-31 Zvika Ben-Haim , Vladimir Anisimov , Aaron Yonas , Varun Gulshan , Yusef Shafi , Stephan Hoyer , Sella Nevo

The Indian monsoon brings around 80% of the annual rainfall over the summer months June--September to the Indian subcontinent. The timing of the monsoon onset and the associated rainfall has a large impact on agriculture, thus impacting the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-10-25 Lucy G. Recchia , Valerio Lucarini

We introduce an idealised model for overland flow generated by rain falling on a hill-slope. Our prime motivation is to show how the coalescence of runoff streams promotes the total generation of runoff. We show that, for our model, as the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-25 Owen D. Jones

Climate change results in altered air and water temperatures. Increases affect physicochemical properties, such as oxygen concentration, and can shift species distribution and survival, with consequences for ecosystem functioning and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-11 Stefanie Mohr , Konstantina Drainas , Juergen Geist
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