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The theory of alternative stable states and tipping points has garnered substantial attention in the last several decades. It predicts potential critical transitions from one ecosystem state to a completely different state under increasing…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2024-09-11 Swarnendu Banerjee , Mara Baudena , Paul Carter , Robbin Bastiaansen , Arjen Doelman , Max Rietkerk

The challenge in predicting sub-regional climate within the Indian monsoon region is exacerbated by its increasing variability in a warming world. While exploring the seasonal predictability of rainfall over the state of Tamil Nadu in…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-05-05 Harini S , Devabrat Sharma , Yogenraj Patil , Gaurav Chopra , Shruti Tandon , B. N. Goswami , R. I. Sujith

Flood-related risks to people and property are expected to increase in the future due to environmental and demographic changes. It is important to quantify and effectively communicate flood hazards and exposure to inform the design and…

Applications · Statistics 2021-08-27 Sanjib Sharma , Michael Gomez , Klaus Keller , Robert Nicholas , Alfonso Mejia

The present work is aimed to examine the potential of advanced machine learning strategies to predict the monthly rainfall (precipitation) for the Indus Basin, using climatological variables such as air temperature, geo-potential height,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-01-27 Hamidreza Ghasemi Damavandi , Reepal Shah

Along the east coast of India (ECI), local winds are oriented alongshore during the summer monsoon, favouring coastal upwelling. The East India Coastal Current (EICC) during this period converges at 17$^{\circ}$N with northward flow from…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-06-19 C. P. Neema , P. N. Vinayachandran

Rainy years and dry years in SE Australia are known to be correlated with sea surface temperatures in the specific areas of the Indian Ocean. While over the past 100 years the correlation had been both positive and negative, it…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-08-01 Stjepan Marcelja

Climate change exacerbates riverine floods, which occur with higher frequency and intensity than ever. The much-needed forecasting systems typically rely on accurate river discharge predictions. To this end, the SOTA data-driven approaches…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-02 Nikolas Kirschstein , Yixuan Sun

The Indian summer monsoon (ISM) and associated monsoon intraseasonal oscillations (MISOs) influence the billions of people living in the Indian subcontinent. This study explores the role of autoconversion parameterization in microphysical…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-05-08 Ushnanshu Dutta , Moumita Bhowmik , Anupam Hazra , Suryachandra. A. Rao , Jen-Ping Chen

Flooding is a destructive and dangerous hazard and climate change appears to be increasing the frequency of catastrophic flooding events around the world. Physics-based flood models are costly to calibrate and are rarely generalizable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-16 Chelsea Sidrane , Dylan J Fitzpatrick , Andrew Annex , Diane O'Donoghue , Yarin Gal , Piotr Biliński

In the present research, possibility of predicting average summer-monsoon rainfall over India has been analyzed through Artificial Neural Network models. In formulating the Artificial Neural Network based predictive model, three layered…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2009-11-11 Surajit Chattopadhyay

Present study aims to develop a predictive model for the average summer monsoon rainfall amount over India. The dataset made available by the Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Pune, has been explored. To develop the predictive…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2007-05-23 Surajit Chattopadhyay

Increased demand for water resources together with the influence of climate change has degraded water conditions which support vegetation in many parts of the world, especially in arid and semiarid areas. This study develops an integrated…

Geophysics · Physics 2014-12-12 Lin Zhu , Huili Gong , Zhenxue Dai , Tingbao Xu , Xiaosi Su

Human activities accelerate consumption of fossil fuels and produce greenhouse gases, resulting in urgent issues today: global warming and the climate change. These indirectly cause severe natural disasters, plenty of lives suffering and…

We study the forced response of the teleconnection between the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and global precipitation in general and the Indian summer monsoon (IM) in particular in the Max Planck Institute Grand Ensemble. The forced…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-09-07 Tamás Bódai , Gábor Drótos , Kyung-Ja Ha , June-Yi Lee , Tímea Haszpra , Eui-Seok Chung

An unresolved problem of present generation coupled climate models is the realistic distribution of rainfall over Indian monsoon region, which is also related to the persistent dry bias over Indian land mass. Therefore, quantitative…

The Indian Summer Monsoon (ISM) and the West African Monsoon (WAM) are dominant drivers of boreal summer precipitation variability in tropical and subtropical regions. Although the regional precipitation dynamics in these two regions have…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-05-15 Felix Strnad , Kieran M. R. Hunt , Niklas Boers , Bedartha Goswami

China has undertaken unprecedented, state-driven vegetation restoration on a continental scale. This large-scale land-surface intervention offers a rare opportunity to assess how deliberate biospheric change influences climate-relevant…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-13 A. M. Makarieva , A. V. Nefiodov , A. D. Nobre , L. A. Cuartas , F. Pasini , D. Andrade

The initiation of the Indian summer monsoon circulation during late May / early June arises through large-scale land-sea thermal contrast and setting up of negative pressure gradient between the Monsoon Trough over the Indo-Gangetic plains…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-12-03 R. Krishnan , Bhupendra Singh , R. Vellore , M. Mujumdar , P. Swapna , Ayantika Choudhury , Manmeet Singh , B. Preethi , M. Rajeevan

Climate change is intensifying infectious and chronic diseases like malaria and diabetes, respectively, especially among the vulnerable populations. Global temperatures have risen by approximately $0.6^\circ$C since 1950, extending the…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Shivank , Anurag Singh , Fakhteh Ghanbarnejad , Ajay K Sharma

In this diagnostic study we analyze changes of rainfall seasonality and dry spells by the end of the twenty-first century under the most extreme IPCC5 emission scenario (RCP8.5) as projected by twenty-four coupled climate models…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-03-23 Salvatore Pascale , Valerio Lucarini , Xue Feng , Amilcare Porporato , Shabeh ul Hasson