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In the Monte Carlo (MC) method statistical noise is usually present. Statistical noise may become dominant in the calculation of a distribution, usually by iteration, but is less Important in calculating integrals. The subject of the…

Computational Physics · Physics 2013-11-08 Mihály Makai , Zoltán Szatmáry

We develop a novel technique to extract credit-relevant information from the text of quarterly earnings calls. This information is not spanned by fundamental or market variables and forecasts future credit spread changes. One reason for…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-12 Harry Mamaysky , Yiwen Shen , Hongyu Wu

Matched case-control studies are commonly employed in epidemiological research for their convenience and efficiency. Analysis of secondary outcomes can yield valuable insights into biological pathways and help identify genetic variants of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-24 Shanshan Liu , Guoqing Diao

This paper introduces a new causal structure learning method for nonstationary time series data, a common data type found in fields such as finance, economics, healthcare, and environmental science. Our work builds upon the constraint-based…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-10 Agathe Sadeghi , Achintya Gopal , Mohammad Fesanghary

Statistical parameters are used in finance, weather, industrial, science, among other vast number of different fields to draw conclusions. New more efficient selection methods are mandatory to analyses the huge amount of astronomical data.…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2019-07-03 C. E. Ferreira Lopes , N. J. G. Cross

The instrumental variable method is widely used in the health and social sciences for identification and estimation of causal effects in the presence of potentially unmeasured confounding. In order to improve efficiency, multiple…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-19 Baoluo Sun , Zhonghua Liu , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

A data table which is arranged according to two factors can often be considered as a compositional table. An example is the number of unemployed people, split according to gender and age classes. Analyzed as compositions, the relevant…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-12 Julie Rendlová , Karel Hron , Kamila Fačevicová , Peter Filzmoser

Causal modeling has long been an attractive topic for many researchers and in recent decades there has seen a surge in theoretical development and discovery algorithms. Generally discovery algorithms can be divided into two approaches:…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-02-06 Ridho Rahmadi , Perry Groot , Marianne Heins , Hans Knoop , Tom Heskes

The ability to collect and analyze large amounts of data is a growing problem within the scientific community. The growing gap between data and users calls for innovative tools that address the challenges faced by big data volume, velocity…

Databases · Computer Science 2016-08-01 Vijay Gadepally , Jeremy Kepner

We study the dynamics of cause--specific mortality rates among countries by considering them as compositions of functions. We develop a novel framework for such data structure, with particular attention to functional PCA. The application of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-03 Marco Stefanucci , Stefano Mazzuco

The inference of causal relationships using observational data from partially observed multivariate systems with hidden variables is a fundamental question in many scientific domains. Methods extracting causal information from conditional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-13 Daniel Chicharro , Michel Besserve , Stefano Panzeri

Currently statistical and artificial neural network methods dominate in financial data mining. Alternative relational (symbolic) data mining methods have shown their effectiveness in robotics, drug design and other applications.…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2007-05-23 B. Kovalerchuk , E. Vityaev , H. Yusupov

Research and Development is the largest budget position in the pharmaceutical industry, with clinical trials being a critical, yet costly and time-consuming component to inform decisions. Beyond drug efficacy, the probability of success and…

The main goal is to develop and, consequently, compare stochastic methods for detection whether a structural change in panel data occurred at some unknown time or not. Panel data of our interest consist of a moderate or relatively large…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-22 Barbora Peštová , Michal Pešta

This paper explores the application of Exploratory Data Analytics (EDA) in the banking and finance domain, focusing on credit card usage and customer churning. It presents a step-by-step analysis using EDA techniques such as descriptive…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-07-18 Ankur Agarwal , Shashi Prabha , Raghav Yadav

Symbolic Data Analysis (SDA) is a relatively new field of statistics that extends conventional data analysis by taking into account intrinsic data variability and structure. Unlike conventional data analysis, in SDA the features…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-27 M. Rosário Oliveira , Margarida Azeitona , António Pacheco , Rui Valadas

In this paper, we revisit the notion of partial copula, originally introduced to test conditional independence, highlighting its capability to represent the dependence between two random variables after removing their dependence with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-26 Vinícius Litvinoff Justus , Felipe Fontana Vieira

The use of statistical software in academia and enterprises has been evolving over the last years. More often than not, students, professors, workers, and users, in general, have all had, at some point, exposure to statistical software.…

Applications · Statistics 2019-08-21 Rui Portocarrero Sarmento , Vera Costa

A folded type model is developed for analyzing compositional data. The proposed model involves an extension of the $\alpha$-transformation for compositional data and provides a new and flexible class of distributions for modeling data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-27 Michail Tsagris , Connie Stewart

We use Fourier analysis to access risk in financial products. With it we analyze price changes of e.g. stocks. Via Fourier analysis we scrutinize quantitatively whether the frequency of change is higher than a change in (conserved) company…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-21 Michael Grabinski , Galiya Klinkova