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In observational studies, confounding variables affect both treatment and outcome. Moreover, instrumental variables also influence the treatment assignment mechanism. This situation sets the study apart from a standard randomized controlled…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-18 Atomsa Gemechu Abdisa , Yingchun Zhou , Yuqi Qiu

Mediation analysis plays a crucial role in causal inference as it can investigate the pathways through which treatment influences outcome. Most existing mediation analysis assumes that mediation effects are static and homogeneous within…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-02 Yijiao Zhang , Yubai Yuan , Yuexia Zhang , Zhongyi Zhu , Annie Qu

The present paper proposes a new treatment effects estimator that is valid when the number of time periods is small, and the parallel trends condition holds conditional on covariates and unobserved heterogeneity in the form of interactive…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-06-16 Nicholas Brown , Kyle Butts , Joakim Westerlund

Staggered treatment adoption arises in the evaluation of policy impact and implementation in many settings, including both randomized stepped-wedge trials and non-randomized quasi-experiments with panel data. In both settings, getting an…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-14 Lee Kennedy-Shaffer

There are many settings where researchers are interested in estimating average treatment effects and are willing to rely on the unconfoundedness assumption, which requires that the treatment assignment be as good as random conditional on…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-02 Susan Athey , Guido W. Imbens , Stefan Wager

This paper reinterprets the Synthetic Control (SC) framework through the lens of weighting philosophy, arguing that the contrast between traditional SC and Difference-in-Differences (DID) reflects two distinct modeling mindsets: sparse…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-31 Le Wang , Xin Xing , Youhui Ye

We present a robust model predictive control method (MPC) for discrete-time linear time-delayed systems with state and control input constraints. The system is subject to both polytopic model uncertainty and additive disturbances. In the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-27 Shaoru Chen , Ning-Yuan Li , Victor M. Preciado , Nikolai Matni

Many policies involve dynamics in their treatment assignments, where individuals receive sequential interventions over multiple stages. We study estimation of an optimal dynamic treatment regime that guides the optimal treatment assignment…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-09-04 Shosei Sakaguchi

Biological and advanced cyberphysical control systems often have limited, sparse, uncertain, and distributed communication and computing in addition to sensing and actuation. Fortunately, the corresponding plants and performance…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-07-08 Yuh-Shyang Wang , Nikolai Matni , John C. Doyle

Treatment effects of stochastic policy shifts quantify differences in outcomes across counterfactual scenarios with varying treatment distributions. Stochastic policy shifts may be of interest in settings where it is unrealistic or…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-31 Michael Jetsupphasuk , Chenwei Fang , Didong Li , Michael G. Hudgens

AI-based persona simulation -- often referred to as digital twin simulation -- is increasingly used for market research, recommender systems, and social sciences. Despite their flexibility, large language models (LLMs) often exhibit…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-10 Grace Jiarui Fan , Chengpiao Huang , Tianyi Peng , Kaizheng Wang , Yuhang Wu

Semantic Image Synthesis (SIS) is among the most popular and effective techniques in the field of face generation and editing, thanks to its good generation quality and the versatility is brings along. Recent works attempted to go beyond…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-04-30 Alex Ergasti , Claudio Ferrari , Tomaso Fontanini , Massimo Bertozzi , Andrea Prati

When conducting inference for the average treatment effect on the treated with a Synthetic Control Estimator, the vector of control weights is a nuisance parameter which is often constrained, high-dimensional, and may be only partially…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-03 Joseph Fry

Scene-aware motion synthesis has been widely researched recently due to its numerous applications. Prevailing methods rely heavily on paired motion-scene data, while it is difficult to generalize to diverse scenes when trained only on a few…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Jingyu Gong , Chong Zhang , Fengqi Liu , Ke Fan , Qianyu Zhou , Xin Tan , Zhizhong Zhang , Yuan Xie

Reconstructing low-dimensional truth labels from high-dimensional experimental data is a central challenge in any scenario that relies on robust mappings across this so-called domain gap, from multi-particle final states in high-energy…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-05-12 Wonyong Chung

A dynamic treatment regime is a sequence of decision rules in which each decision rule recommends treatment based on features of patient medical history such as past treatments and outcomes. Existing methods for estimating optimal dynamic…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-22 Kristin A. Linn , Eric B. Laber , Leonard A. Stefanski

Deep learning model effectiveness in classification tasks is often challenged by the quality and quantity of training data whenever they are affected by strong spurious correlations between specific attributes and target labels. This…

In stepped wedge cluster randomized trials (SW-CRTs), the intervention is rolled out to clusters over multiple periods. A standard approach for analyzing SW-CRTs utilizes the linear mixed model, where the treatment effect is only present…

Unobserved confounding is one of the main challenges when estimating causal effects. We propose a causal reduction method that, given a causal model, replaces an arbitrary number of possibly high-dimensional latent confounders with a single…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-24 Maximilian Ilse , Patrick Forré , Max Welling , Joris M. Mooij

Dynamic treatment regimes in oncology and other disease areas often can be characterized by an alternating sequence of treatments or other actions and transition times between disease states. The sequence of transition states may vary…

Applications · Statistics 2015-11-17 Yanxun Xu , Peter Mueller , Abdus S. Wahed , Peter F. Thall