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The accurate prediction of time-changing variances is an important task in the modeling of financial data. Standard econometric models are often limited as they assume rigid functional relationships for the variances. Moreover, function…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-02-14 Yue Wu , Jose Miguel Hernandez Lobato , Zoubin Ghahramani

Maximizing high-dimensional, non-convex functions through noisy observations is a notoriously hard problem, but one that arises in many applications. In this paper, we tackle this challenge by modeling the unknown function as a sample from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-03 Bo Chen , Rui Castro , Andreas Krause

We study the problem of constrained efficient global optimization, where both the objective and constraints are expensive black-box functions that can be learned with Gaussian processes. We propose CONFIG (CONstrained efFIcient Global…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-02-07 Wenjie Xu , Yuning Jiang , Bratislav Svetozarevic , Colin N. Jones

We consider the problem of classifying data manifolds where each manifold represents invariances that are parameterized by continuous degrees of freedom. Conventional data augmentation methods rely upon sampling large numbers of training…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-01 SueYeon Chung , Uri Cohen , Haim Sompolinsky , Daniel D. Lee

Task learning in neural networks typically requires finding a globally optimal minimizer to a loss function objective. Conventional designs of swarm based optimization methods apply a fixed update rule, with possibly an adaptive step-size…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-29 Chandrajit Bajaj , Omatharv Bharat Vaidya , Yi Wang

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) can predict the performance of an industrial design quickly and accurately and be used to optimize its shape effectively. However, to fully explore the shape space, one must often consider shapes deviating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-03 Nikita Durasov , Artem Lukoyanov , Jonathan Donier , Pascal Fua

We prove the tightest-known upper bounds on the sample complexity of multi-group learning. Our algorithm extends the one-inclusion graph prediction strategy using a generalization of bipartite $b$-matching. In the group-realizable setting,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-10 Noah Bergam , Samuel Deng , Daniel Hsu

Gaussian Processes are widely used for regression tasks. A known limitation in the application of Gaussian Processes to regression tasks is that the computation of the solution requires performing a matrix inversion. The solution also…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-22 Sourish Das , Sasanka Roy , Rajiv Sambasivan

Deterministic computer simulations are often used as a replacement for complex physical experiments. Although less expensive than physical experimentation, computer codes can still be time-consuming to run. An effective strategy for…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-03-04 Mark Franey , Pritam Ranjan , Hugh Chipman

We are interested in reconstructing the mesh representation of object surfaces from point clouds. Surface reconstruction is a prerequisite for downstream applications such as rendering, collision avoidance for planning, animation, etc.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-10-01 Minghua Liu , Xiaoshuai Zhang , Hao Su

Computing a Gaussian process (GP) posterior has a computational cost cubical in the number of historical points. A reformulation of the same GP posterior highlights that this complexity mainly depends on how many \emph{unique} historical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-01 Daniele Calandriello , Luigi Carratino , Alessandro Lazaric , Michal Valko , Lorenzo Rosasco

We consider graph diffusion processes constructed from finite i.i.d. samples drawn from an unknown manifold embedded in ambient Euclidean space, where the graph affinity is defined by an ambient Gaussian kernel matrix. We show that the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-26 Xiuyuan Cheng , Nan Wu

Gaussian process (GP) predictors are an important component of many Bayesian approaches to machine learning. However, even a straightforward implementation of Gaussian process regression (GPR) requires O(n^2) space and O(n^3) time for a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-11-06 Krzysztof Chalupka , Christopher K. I. Williams , Iain Murray

We propose an algorithm to approximate solutions of global optimization problems in Sobolev spaces that follows the spirit of Consensus-based algorithms in finite dimensions. The main ingredient are Gaussian processes. In fact, we exploit…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-17 Mahmoud Khatab , Claudia Totzeck

Bilevel optimization, a hierarchical mathematical framework where one optimization problem is nested within another, has emerged as a powerful tool for modeling complex decision-making processes in various fields such as economics,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-25 Omer Ekmekcioglu , Nursen Aydin , Juergen Branke

This paper tackles the challenge presented by small-data to the task of Bayesian inference. A novel methodology, based on manifold learning and manifold sampling, is proposed for solving this computational statistics problem under the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-29 Christian Soize , Roger Ghanem

Model selection in Gaussian processes scales prohibitively with the size of the training dataset, both in time and memory. While many approximations exist, all incur inevitable approximation error. Recent work accounts for this error in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Jonathan Wenger , Kaiwen Wu , Philipp Hennig , Jacob R. Gardner , Geoff Pleiss , John P. Cunningham

First order methods endowed with global convergence guarantees operate using global lower bounds on the objective. The tightening of the bounds has been shown to increase both the theoretical guarantees and the practical performance. In…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-30 Mihai I. Florea , Yurii Nesterov

Machine learning models play a vital role in time series forecasting. These models, however, often overlook an important element: point uncertainty estimates. Incorporating these estimates is crucial for effective risk management, informed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-11 Leonid Erlygin , Vladimir Zholobov , Valeriia Baklanova , Evgeny Sokolovskiy , Alexey Zaytsev

We consider a problem of manifold estimation from noisy observations. Many manifold learning procedures locally approximate a manifold by a weighted average over a small neighborhood. However, in the presence of large noise, the assigned…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-07 Nikita Puchkin , Vladimir Spokoiny