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In high-stakes risk prediction, quantifying uncertainty through interval-valued predictions is essential for reliable decision-making. However, standard evaluation tools like the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and the area…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-05 Yuqi Li , Matthew M. Engelhard

The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve is a very useful tool for analyzing the diagnostic/classification power of instruments/classification schemes as long as a binary-scale gold standard is available. When the gold standard is…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-05-10 Zhanfeng Wang , Yuan-chin Ivan Chang

The ROC curve is the gold standard for measuring the performance of a test/scoring statistic regarding its capacity to discriminate between two statistical populations in a wide variety of applications, ranging from anomaly detection in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-25 Stéphan Clémençon , Myrto Limnios , Nicolas Vayatis

Quality assessment algorithms can be used to estimate the utility of a biometric sample for the purpose of biometric recognition. "Error versus Discard Characteristic" (EDC) plots, and "partial Area Under Curve" (pAUC) values of curves…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-11-01 Torsten Schlett , Christian Rathgeb , Juan Tapia , Christoph Busch

Optimization metrics are crucial for building recommendation systems at scale. However, an effective and efficient metric for practical use remains elusive. While Top-K ranking metrics are the gold standard for optimization, they suffer…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-03-05 Wentao Shi , Chenxu Wang , Fuli Feng , Yang Zhang , Wenjie Wang , Junkang Wu , Xiangnan He

Probabilistic resource adequacy assessment is a cornerstone of modern capacity accreditation. This paper develops a gradient-based framework, in which capacity accreditation is interpreted as the directional derivative of a probabilistic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-30 Qian Zhang , Feng Zhao , Gord Stephen , Chanan Singh , Le Xie

In binary classification applications, conservative decision-making that allows for abstention can be advantageous. To this end, we introduce a novel approach that determines the optimal cutoff interval for risk scores, which can be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-01 Yishu Wei , Wen-Yee Lee , George Ekow Quaye , Xiaogang Su

The Area under the ROC curve (AUC) is a well-known ranking metric for problems such as imbalanced learning and recommender systems. The vast majority of existing AUC-optimization-based machine learning methods only focus on binary-class…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-29 Zhiyong Yang , Qianqian Xu , Shilong Bao , Xiaochun Cao , Qingming Huang

The Area Under the ROC Curve (AUC) is a crucial metric for machine learning, which evaluates the average performance over all possible True Positive Rates (TPRs) and False Positive Rates (FPRs). Based on the knowledge that a skillful…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-24 Zhiyong Yang , Qianqian Xu , Shilong Bao , Yuan He , Xiaochun Cao , Qingming Huang

Computer-aided drug discovery is an essential component of modern drug development. Therein, deep learning has become an important tool for rapid screening of billions of molecules in silico for potential hits containing desired chemical…

Incremental value (IncV) evaluates the performance change from an existing risk model to a new model. It is one of the key considerations in deciding whether a new risk model performs better than the existing one. Problems arise when…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-16 Qian M. Zhou , Zhe Lu , Russell J. Brooke , Melissa M Hudson , Yan Yuan

The Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve stands as a cornerstone in assessing the efficacy of biomarkers for disease diagnosis. Beyond merely evaluating performance, it provides with an optimal cutoff for biomarker values, crucial…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-29 Soutik Ghosal

The Area Under the ROC Curve (AUC) is a widely used performance metric for binary classifiers. However, as a global ranking statistic, the AUC aggregates model behavior over the entire dataset, masking localized weaknesses in specific…

Applications · Statistics 2025-08-12 Agus Sudjianto , Alice J. Liu

Selecting an evaluation metric is fundamental to model development, but uncertainty remains about when certain metrics are preferable and why. This paper introduces the concept of *resolving power* to describe the ability of an evaluation…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-07 Colin S. Beam

Shrinkage can effectively improve the condition number and accuracy of covariance matrix estimation, especially for low-sample-support applications with the number of training samples smaller than the dimensionality. This paper investigates…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-10-22 Jun Tong , Rui Hu , Jiangtao Xi , Zhitao Xiao , Qinghua Guo , Yanguang Yu

The Area Under the the Receiver Operating Characteristics (ROC) Curve, referred to as AUC, is a well-known performance measure in the supervised learning domain. Due to its compelling features, it has been employed in a number of studies to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-05 Pablo Andretta Jaskowiak , Ivan Gesteira Costa , Ricardo José Gabrielli Barreto Campello

The assessment of evaluation metrics (meta-evaluation) is crucial for determining the suitability of existing metrics in text-to-image (T2I) generation tasks. Human-based meta-evaluation is costly and time-intensive, and automated…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Christoph Leiter , Yuki M. Asano , Margret Keuper , Steffen Eger

We study fairness in the context of classification where the performance is measured by the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic. AUC is commonly used to measure the performance of prediction models. The same…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-25 Hortense Fong , Vineet Kumar , Anay Mehrotra , Nisheeth K. Vishnoi

Multi-agent LLM systems, where multiple prompted instances of a language model independently answer questions, are increasingly used for complex reasoning tasks. However, existing methods for quantifying the uncertainty of their collective…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Bo Jiang

In virtual screening for drug discovery, hit enrichment curves are widely used to assess the performance of ranking algorithms with regard to their ability to identify early enrichment. Unfortunately, researchers almost never consider the…

Applications · Statistics 2021-09-24 Jeremy R. Ash , Jacqueline M. Hughes-Oliver
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