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Developing methods to analyse infection spread is an important step in the study of pandemic and containing them. The principal mode for geographical spreading of pandemics is the movement of population across regions. We are interested in…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2022-11-11 Sudeepini Darapu , Subrata Ghosh , Abhishek Senapati , Chittaranjan Hens , Santosh Nannuru

We study the temporal reconstruction of epidemics evolving over networks. Given partial or aggregated temporal information of the epidemic, our goal is to estimate the complete evolution of the spread leveraging the topology of the network…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-11-20 Gojko Cutura , Boning Li , Ananthram Swami , Santiago Segarra

The economic downturn and the air travel crisis triggered by the recent coronavirus pandemic pose a substantial threat to the new consumer class of many emerging economies. In Brazil, considerable improvements in social inclusion have…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-08-03 Luca J. Santos , Alessandro V. M. Oliveira , Dante Mendes Aldrighi

The COVID-19 pandemic has affected all countries of the world producing a substantial number of fatalities accompanied by a major disruption in their social, financial, and educational organization. The strict disciplinary measures…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-28 G. D. Barmparis , G. P. Tsironis

The spread of an infectious disease through a population can be modeled using a network or a graph. In digital advertising, internet device graphs are graph data sets that organize identifiers produced by mobile phones, PCs, TVs, and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-06-17 Matthew Malloy , Aaron Cahn , Jon Koller

Objective: COVID-19 has spread worldwide and made a huge influence across the world. Modeling the infectious spread situation of COVID-19 is essential to understand the current condition and to formulate intervention measurements.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-23 Ruhan Liu , Jiajia Li , Yang Wen , Huating Li , Ping Zhang , Bin Sheng , David Dagan Feng

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has been ongoing for around 3 years, and has infected over 750 million people and caused over 6 million deaths worldwide at the time of writing. Throughout the pandemic, several strategies…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-08-17 Mohamed Harmanani

Accurate epidemic forecasting is crucial for effective disease control and prevention. Traditional compartmental models often struggle to estimate temporally and spatially varying epidemiological parameters, while deep learning models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-08 Shuai Han , Lukas Stelz , Thomas R. Sokolowski , Kai Zhou , Horst Stöcker

We present a study of the worldwide spread of a pandemic influenza and its possible containment at a global level taking into account all available information on air travel. We studied a metapopulation stochastic epidemic model on a global…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Vittoria Colizza , Alain Barrat , Marc Barthelemy , Alain-Jacques Valleron , Alessandro Vespignani

Game theory has been an effective tool in the control of disease spread and in suggesting optimal policies at both individual and area levels. In this paper, we propose a multi-region SEIR model based on stochastic differential game theory,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-03-10 Yao Xuan , Robert Balkin , Jiequn Han , Ruimeng Hu , Hector D. Ceniceros

COVID-19 has resulted in a public health global crisis. The pandemic control necessitates epidemic models that capture the trends and impacts on infectious individuals. Many exciting models can implement this but they lack practical…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-04-13 Ou Deng , Kiichi Tago , Qun Jin

The novel coronavirus SARS-CoV-2, commonly referred to as COVID-19, triggered the global pandemic. Although the nature of the international spread of infection is an important issue, extracting diffusion networks from observations is…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-01-12 Hiroyasu Inoue , Wataru Souma , Yoshi Fujiwara

Understanding dynamic human mobility changes and spatial interaction patterns at different geographic scales is crucial for assessing the impacts of non-pharmaceutical interventions (such as stay-at-home orders) during the COVID-19…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-11-03 Yuhao Kang , Song Gao , Yunlei Liang , Mingxiao Li , Jinmeng Rao , Jake Kruse

The global pandemic of COVID-19 over the last 2.5 years have produced an enormous amount of epidemic/public health datasets, which may also be useful for studying the underlying structure of our globally connected world. Here we used the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-07-19 Hiroki Sayama

Digital contact tracing aims to curb epidemics by identifying and mitigating public health emergencies through technology. Backward contact tracing, which tracks the sources of infection, proved crucial in places like Japan for identifying…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-01-13 Chee Wei Tan , Pei-Duo Yu , Siya Chen , H. Vincent Poor

Contacts' temporal ordering and dynamics are crucial for understanding the transmission of infectious diseases. We introduce an interaction-driven model of an airborne disease over contact networks. We demonstrate our interaction-driven…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-08-11 Alex Abbey , Yanir Marmor , Yuval Shahar , Osnat Mokryn

The structure of complex networks has long been understood to play a role in transmission and spreading phenomena on a graph. This behavior is difficult to model analytically and is most often modeled numerically. Such networks form an…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-12-01 Robert Harper , Philip Tee

Currently, novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a big threat to global health. The rapid spread of the virus has created pandemic, and countries all over the world are struggling with a surge in COVID-19 infected cases. There are no…

Applications · Statistics 2020-09-08 Se Yoon Lee , Bowen Lei , Bani K. Mallick

Epidemic forecasting is the key to effective control of epidemic transmission and helps the world mitigate the crisis that threatens public health. To better understand the transmission and evolution of epidemics, we propose EpiGNN, a graph…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-08-25 Feng Xie , Zhong Zhang , Liang Li , Bin Zhou , Yusong Tan

The widely spread CoronaVirus Disease (COVID)-19 is one of the worst infectious disease outbreaks in history and has become an emergency of primary international concern. As the pandemic evolves, academic communities have been actively…