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Due to limited computational resources, medium-range temperature forecasts typically rely on low-resolution numerical weather prediction (NWP) models, which are prone to systematic and random errors. We propose a method that integrates a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-09 Takuya Inoue , Takuya Kawabata

Accurate prediction of loan defaults is a central challenge in credit risk management, particularly in modern financial datasets characterised by nonlinear relationships, class imbalance, and evolving borrower behaviour. Traditional…

Loss reserving generally focuses on identifying a single model that can generate superior predictive performance. However, different loss reserving models specialise in capturing different aspects of loss data. This is recognised in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-04 Benjamin Avanzi , Yanfeng Li , Bernard Wong , Alan Xian

Transferring a deep neural network trained on one problem to another requires only a small amount of data and little additional computation time. The same behaviour holds for ensembles of deep learning models typically superior to a single…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-28 Ilya Shashkov , Nikita Balabin , Evgeny Burnaev , Alexey Zaytsev

Deep neural networks have become the default choice for many of the machine learning tasks such as classification and regression. Dropout, a method commonly used to improve the convergence of deep neural networks, generates an ensemble of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-04-11 Tal Kachman , Michal Moshkovitz , Michal Rosen-Zvi

We propose an adaptive scheme for distributed learning of nonlinear functions by a network of nodes. The proposed algorithm consists of a local adaptation stage utilizing multiple kernels with projections onto hyperslabs and a diffusion…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-09-05 Ban-Sok Shin , Masahiro Yukawa , Renato Luis Garrido Cavalcante , Armin Dekorsy

In this paper, we analyze the effects of random sampling on adaptive diffusion networks. These networks consist in a collection of nodes that can measure and process data, and that can communicate with each other to pursue a common goal of…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-27 Daniel G. Tiglea , Renato Candido , Magno T. M. Silva

Neural networks (NN) have been recently applied together with evolutionary algorithms (EAs) to solve dynamic optimization problems. The applied NN estimates the position of the next optimum based on the previous time best solutions. After…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2020-02-03 Maryam Hasani-Shoreh , Renato Hermoza Aragonés , Frank Neumann

Multi-scale deep neural networks (MscaleDNNs) with downing-scaling mapping have demonstrated superiority over traditional DNNs in approximating target functions characterized by high frequency features. However, the performance of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-02 Jizu Huang , Rukang You , Tao Zhou

Federated Learning enables multiple data centers to train a central model collaboratively without exposing any confidential data. Even though deterministic models are capable of performing high prediction accuracy, their lack of calibration…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-24 Atahan Ozer , Kadir Burak Buldu , Abdullah Akgül , Gozde Unal

Deep neural network ensembles are powerful tools for uncertainty quantification, which have recently been re-interpreted from a Bayesian perspective. However, current methods inadequately leverage second-order information of the loss…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-05 Klemens Flöge , Mohammed Abdul Moeed , Vincent Fortuin

A new efficient ensemble prediction strategy is developed for a general turbulent model framework with emphasis on the nonlinear interactions between large and small scale variables. The high computational cost in running large ensemble…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-02-22 Di Qi , Jian-Guo Liu

Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) provide a tool to estimate the uncertainty of a neural network by considering a distribution over weights and sampling different models for each input. In this paper, we propose a method for uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Illia Oleksiienko , Dat Thanh Tran , Alexandros Iosifidis

The applications of artificial intelligence (AI) are rapidly evolving, and they are also commonly used in safety-critical domains, such as autonomous driving and medical diagnosis, where functional safety is paramount. In AI-driven systems,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-12 Soyed Tuhin Ahmed , Michael Hefenbrock , Mehdi B. Tahoori

We show that ensembles of deep neural networks, called deep ensembles, can be used to perform quantum parameter estimation while also providing a means for quantifying uncertainty in parameter estimates, which is a key advantage of using…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-03-09 Amanuel Anteneh

High-resolution simulation models are essential for representing complex physical systems, yet their substantial computational cost severely limits the number of feasible high-fidelity (HF) evaluations. This problem is often addressed…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-21 Hossein Mohammadi

Ensembles of deep neural networks demonstrate improved performance over single models. For enhancing the diversity of ensemble members while keeping their performance, particle-based inference methods offer a promising approach from a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-03 Shingo Yashima , Teppei Suzuki , Kohta Ishikawa , Ikuro Sato , Rei Kawakami

Understanding and quantifying uncertainty in black box Neural Networks (NNs) is critical when deployed in real-world settings such as healthcare. Recent works using Bayesian and non-Bayesian methods have shown how a unified predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-29 Utkarsh Sarawgi , Wazeer Zulfikar , Rishab Khincha , Pattie Maes

The subpopulationtion shift, characterized by a disparity in subpopulation distributibetween theween the training and target datasets, can significantly degrade the performance of machine learning models. Current solutions to subpopulation…

Ensemble models refer to methods that combine a typically large number of classifiers into a compound prediction. The output of an ensemble method is the result of fitting a base-learning algorithm to a given data set, and obtaining diverse…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-10 Waldyn Martinez