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Related papers: Towards Explaining Distribution Shifts

200 papers

Estimating the reachable set of a dynamical system is a fundamental problem in control theory, particularly when control inputs are bounded. Direct simulation using randomly sampled admissible controls often leads to trajectories that…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-20 Karthik Elamvazhuthi , Sachin Shivakumar

Mechanistic interpretability aims to explain neural model behaviour by reverse-engineering learned computational structure into human-understandable components. Without a formal framework, however, mechanistic explanations cannot be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Ward Gauderis , Thomas Dooms , Steven T. Holmer , Kola Ayonrinde , Geraint A. Wiggins

Prediction models can perform poorly when deployed to target distributions different from the training distribution. To understand these operational failure modes, we develop a method, called DIstribution Shift DEcomposition (DISDE), to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-12 Tiffany Tianhui Cai , Hongseok Namkoong , Steve Yadlowsky

We introduce a fine-grained framework for uncertainty quantification of predictive models under distributional shifts. This framework distinguishes the shift in covariate distributions from that in the conditional relationship between the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-20 Jiahao Ai , Zhimei Ren

We study the problem of learning fair prediction models for unseen test sets distributed differently from the train set. Stability against changes in data distribution is an important mandate for responsible deployment of models. The domain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-26 Harvineet Singh , Rina Singh , Vishwali Mhasawade , Rumi Chunara

Grid mapping is a fundamental approach to modeling the environment of intelligent vehicles or robots. Compared with object-based environment modeling, grid maps offer the distinct advantage of representing the environment without requiring…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Robin Dehler , Dominik Authaler , Aryan Thakur , Thomas Wodtko , Michael Buchholz

Interpretability provides a means for humans to verify aspects of machine learning (ML) models and empower human+ML teaming in situations where the task cannot be fully automated. Different contexts require explanations with different…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-15 Zixi Chen , Varshini Subhash , Marton Havasi , Weiwei Pan , Finale Doshi-Velez

Conditional risk minimization arises in high-stakes decisions where risk must be assessed in light of side information, such as stressed economic conditions, specific customer profiles, or other contextual covariates. Constructing reliable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-30 Xinqiao Xie , Jonathan Yu-Meng Li

In this work, we face the issue of achieving an efficient dynamic mapping in vehicular networking scenarios, i.e., to obtain an accurate estimate of the positions and trajectories of connected vehicles in a certain area. State of the art…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2019-10-17 Federico Mason , Marco Giordani , Federico Chiariotti , Andrea Zanella , Michele Zorzi

Trajectory prediction models often fail in real-world automated driving due to distributional shifts between training and test conditions. Such distributional shifts, whether behavioural or environmental, pose a critical risk by causing the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-15 Michele De Vita , Julian Wiederer , Vasileios Belagiannis

The use of neural networks has been very successful in a wide variety of applications. However, it has recently been observed that it is difficult to generalize the performance of neural networks under the condition of distributional shift.…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-20 Dangxing Chen

Neural networks have greatly boosted performance in computer vision by learning powerful representations of input data. The drawback of end-to-end training for maximal overall performance are black-box models whose hidden representations…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-04-29 Patrick Esser , Robin Rombach , Björn Ommer

Traffic dynamics is universally crucial in analyzing and designing almost any network. This article introduces a novel theoretical approach to analyzing network traffic dynamics. This theory's machinery is based on the notion of traffic…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2024-04-05 Matin Macktoobian , Zhan Shu , Qing Zhao

Distribution factors are indispensable tools in the design and analysis of power transmission grids. Recently, they received a renewed interest in the field of topology optimization, leading to the definition of bus merge and bus split…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-12-24 Joost van Dijk , Nico Westerbeck , Lars Schewe , Andrea Benigni , Dirk Witthaut

Despite their remarkable performance on a wide range of visual tasks, machine learning technologies often succumb to data distribution shifts. Consequently, a range of recent work explores techniques for detecting these shifts.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-04 Maleakhi A. Wijaya , Dmitry Kazhdan , Botty Dimanov , Mateja Jamnik

Topological behavior, such as chaos, irreducibility, and mixing of a one-sided shift of finite type, is well elucidated. Meanwhile, the investigation of multidimensional shifts, for instance, textile systems is difficult and only a few…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-09-10 Jung-Chao Ban , Chih-Hung Chang

Changes in input distribution can induce shifts in the average predictions of machine learning models. Such prediction shifts may impact downstream business outcomes (e.g. a bank's loan approval rate), so understanding their causes can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-14 Tom Bewley , Salim I. Amoukou , Emanuele Albini , Saumitra Mishra , Manuela Veloso

Classical supervised learning produces unreliable models when training and target distributions differ, with most existing solutions requiring samples from the target domain. We propose a proactive approach which learns a relationship in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-01 Adarsh Subbaswamy , Peter Schulam , Suchi Saria

Mechanistic Interpretability aims to understand neural networks through causal explanations. We argue for the Explanatory View Hypothesis: that Mechanistic Interpretability research is a principled approach to understanding models because…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-05 Kola Ayonrinde , Louis Jaburi

Detecting out-of-distribution (OOD) samples plays a key role in open-world and safety-critical applications such as autonomous systems and healthcare. Recently, self-supervised representation learning techniques (via contrastive learning…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-10-12 Sina Mohseni , Arash Vahdat , Jay Yadawa