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In this paper we present a framework for risk-averse model predictive control (MPC) of linear systems affected by multiplicative uncertainty. Our key innovation is to consider time-consistent, dynamic risk metrics as objective functions to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-11-24 Yin-Lam Chow , Marco Pavone

This paper proposes probabilistic conformal prediction (PCP), a predictive inference algorithm that estimates a target variable by a discontinuous predictive set. Given inputs, PCP construct the predictive set based on random samples from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-22 Zhendong Wang , Ruijiang Gao , Mingzhang Yin , Mingyuan Zhou , David M. Blei

Reliable uncertainty quantification is essential for deploying machine learning systems in high-stakes domains. Conformal prediction provides distribution-free coverage guarantees but often produces overly large prediction sets, limiting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Yunpeng Xu , Wenge Guo , Zhi Wei

We propose a robust nonlinear model predictive control (MPC) scheme for trajectory-tracking control of autonomous vehicles at the limits of handling on non-planar road surfaces. We derive the dynamics from first principles and selectively…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-22 Joscha F. Bongard , Georg Jank , Simon Sagmeister , Boris Lohmann

This paper presents a novel learning-based approach for online estimation of maximal safe sets for local trajectory planning in unknown static environments. The neural representation of a set is used as the terminal set constraint for a…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-07-17 Bojan Derajić , Mohamed-Khalil Bouzidi , Sebastian Bernhard , Wolfgang Hönig

Path planning in dynamic environments is essential to high-risk applications such as unmanned aerial vehicles, self-driving cars, and autonomous underwater vehicles. In this paper, we generate collision-free trajectories for a robot within…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-07-30 Sourav Dutta , Tuan Tran , Banafsheh Rekabdar , Chinwe Ekenna

This paper presents an adaptive tracking model predictive control (MPC) scheme to control unknown nonlinear systems based on an adaptively estimated linear model. The model is determined based on linear system identification using a moving…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-17 Tatiana Strelnikova , Johannes Köhler , Julian Berberich

Model predictive control (MPC) is a popular strategy for urban traffic management that is able to incorporate physical and user defined constraints. However, the current MPC methods rely on finite horizon predictions that are unable to…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-02-03 Sadra Sadraddini , Calin Belta

A Learning Model Predictive Controller (LMPC) is presented and tailored to platooning and Connected Autonomous Vehicles (CAVs) applications. The proposed controller builds on previous work on nonlinear LMPC, adapting its architecture and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-08-09 Hassan Jafarzadeh , Cody Fleming

An approach to resilient planning and control of autonomous vehicles in multi-vehicle traffic scenarios is proposed. The proposed method is based on model predictive control (MPC), where alternative predictions of the surrounding traffic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-04-21 Victor Fors , Björn Olofsson , Erik Frisk

Safe autonomous navigation is an essential and challenging problem for robots operating in highly unstructured or completely unknown environments. Under these conditions, not only robotic systems must deal with limited localisation…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-05-27 Èric Pairet , Juan David Hernández , Marc Carreras , Yvan Petillot , Morteza Lahijanian

Implementing obstacle avoidance in dynamic environments is a challenging problem for robots. Model predictive control (MPC) is a popular strategy for dealing with this type of problem, and recent work mainly uses control barrier function…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-04-10 Zetao Lu , Kaijun Feng , Jun Xu , Haoyao Chen , Yunjiang Lou

This paper presents an uncertainty compensation-based robust adaptive model predictive control (MPC) framework for linear systems with both matched and unmatched nonlinear uncertainties subject to both state and input constraints. In…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-27 Ran Tao , Pan Zhao , Ilya Kolmanovsky , Naira Hovakimyan

This paper presents a Koopman-based model predictive control (MPC) framework for safe UAV navigation in dynamic environments using real-time LiDAR data. By leveraging the Koopman operator to linearly approximate the dynamics of surrounding…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-11 Vitor Bueno , Ali Azarbahram , Marcello Farina , Lorenzo Fagiano

This paper proposes an algorithm for motion planning among dynamic agents using adaptive conformal prediction. We consider a deterministic control system and use trajectory predictors to predict the dynamic agents' future motion, which is…

We propose a data-driven tracking model predictive control (MPC) scheme to control unknown discrete-time linear time-invariant systems. The scheme uses a purely data-driven system parametrization to predict future trajectories based on…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-19 Julian Berberich , Johannes Köhler , Matthias A. Müller , Frank Allgöwer

Whether learned, simulated, or analytical, approximations of a robot's dynamics can be inaccurate when encountering novel environments. Many approaches have been proposed to quantify the aleatoric uncertainty of such methods, i.e.…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-03-14 Luís Marques , Dmitry Berenson

Conformal Prediction (CP) is a principled framework for quantifying uncertainty in blackbox learning models, by constructing prediction sets with finite-sample coverage guarantees. Traditional approaches rely on scalar nonconformity scores,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-07 Gauthier Thurin , Kimia Nadjahi , Claire Boyer

In this paper we present a framework for risk-sensitive model predictive control (MPC) of linear systems affected by stochastic multiplicative uncertainty. Our key innovation is to consider a time-consistent, dynamic risk evaluation of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-04-26 Sumeet Singh , Yin-Lam Chow , Anirudha Majumdar , Marco Pavone

Conformal prediction (CP) has emerged as a powerful tool in robotics and control, thanks to its ability to calibrate complex, data-driven models with formal guarantees. However, in robot navigation tasks, existing CP-based methods often…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-04-02 Jaeuk Shin , Jungjin Lee , Insoon Yang
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