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Many risk-sensitive applications require well-calibrated prediction sets over multiple, potentially correlated target variables, for which the prediction algorithm may report correlated errors. In this work, we aim to construct the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Ji Won Park , Robert Tibshirani , Kyunghyun Cho

This paper studies nonparametric regression with repeated measurements when the response in the target domain is unobservable or costly to collect. We adopt a transfer learning framework that leverages a source domain with observable…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-26 Yingxuan Wang , Xiangyu Xing , Wangli Xu

Penalized estimation principle is fundamental to high-dimensional problems. In the literature, it has been extensively and successfully applied to various models with only structural parameters. As a contrast, in this paper, we apply this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-03 Jianqing Fan , Runlong Tang , Xiaofeng Shi

Censored quantile regression has emerged as a prominent alternative to classical Cox's proportional hazards model or accelerated failure time model in both theoretical and applied statistics. While quantile regression has been extensively…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-27 Taehwa Choi , Seohyeon Park , Hunyong Cho , Sangbum Choi

Recent methods in quantile regression have adopted a classification perspective to handle challenges posed by heteroscedastic, multimodal, or skewed data by quantizing outputs into fixed bins. Although these regression-as-classification…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Batuhan Cengiz , Halil Faruk Karagoz , Tufan Kumbasar

This note presents a simple way to add a count (or quantile) constraint to a regression neural net, such that given $n$ samples in the training set it guarantees that the prediction of $m<n$ samples will be larger than the actual value (the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-29 Dvir Ben Or , Michael Kolomenkin , Gil Shabat

Anomaly detection is an important problem in many application areas, such as network security. Many deep learning methods for unsupervised anomaly detection produce good empirical performance but lack theoretical guarantees. By casting…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-16 Tian-Yi Zhou , Matthew Lau , Jizhou Chen , Wenke Lee , Xiaoming Huo

Conformalized Quantile Regression (CQR) is a recently proposed method for constructing prediction intervals for a response $Y$ given covariates $X$, without making distributional assumptions. However, existing constructions of CQR can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-16 Raphael Rossellini , Rina Foygel Barber , Rebecca Willett

This article is concerned with the Bridge Regression, which is a special family in penalized regression with penalty function $\sum_{j=1}^{p}|\beta_j|^q$ with $q>0$, in a linear model with linear restrictions. The proposed restricted bridge…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-06 Bahadır Yüzbaşı , Mohammad Arashi , Fikri Akdeniz

Consider a Gaussian nonparametric regression problem having both an unknown mean function and unknown variance function. This article presents a class of difference-based kernel estimators for the variance function. Optimal convergence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Lawrence D. Brown , M. Levine

High-dimensional covariates often admit linear factor structure. To effectively screen correlated covariates in high-dimension, we propose a conditional variable screening test based on non-parametric regression using neural networks due to…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-08-21 Jianqing Fan , Weining Wang , Yue Zhao

Accurate probabilistic predictions are essential for optimal decision making. While neural network miscalibration has been studied primarily in classification, we investigate this in the less-explored domain of regression. We conduct the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-08 Victor Dheur , Souhaib Ben Taieb

A new method is proposed for variable screening, variable selection and prediction in linear regression problems where the number of predictors can be much larger than the number of observations. The method involves minimizing a penalized…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-14 D. Vasiliu , T. Dey , I. L. Dryden

For the nonparametric regression models with covariates contaminated with normal measurement errors, this paper proposes an extrapolation algorithm to estimate the nonparametric regression functions. By applying the conditional expectation…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-28 Weixing Song , Kanwal Ayub , Jianhong Shi

In this manuscript, we study quantile regression in partial functional linear model where response is scalar and predictors include both scalars and multiple functions. Wavelet basis are adopted to better approximate functional slopes while…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-05 Dengdeng Yu , Li Zhang , Ivan Mizera , Bei Jiang , Linglong Kong

In this paper, we consider Bayesian methods for non-parametric quantile regressions with multiple continuous predictors ranging values in the unit interval. In the first method, the quantile function is assumed to be smooth over the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-11-08 Priyam Das , Subhashis Ghosal

Nonparametric mean function regression with repeated measurements serves as a cornerstone for many statistical branches, such as longitudinal/panel/functional data analysis. In this work, we investigate this problem using fully connected…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-27 Shunxing Yan , Fang Yao , Hang Zhou

We propose an active-learning method for nonlinear minimax regression. Given a nonlinear function that can be arbitrarily evaluated over a compact set, we fit a surrogate model, such as a feedforward neural network, by minimizing the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-24 Alberto Bemporad

We consider nonparametric prediction with multiple covariates, in particular categorical or functional predictors, or a mixture of both. The method proposed bases on an extension of the Nadaraya-Watson estimator where a kernel function is…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-05 Leonie Selk , Jan Gertheiss

The effectiveness of non-parametric, kernel-based methods for function estimation comes at the price of high computational complexity, which hinders their applicability in adaptive, model-based control. Motivated by approximation techniques…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-17 Anna Scampicchio , Elena Arcari , Melanie N. Zeilinger