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In randomized controlled trials without interference, regression adjustment is widely used to enhance the efficiency of treatment effect estimation. This paper extends this efficiency principle to settings with network interference, where a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-18 Xinyuan Fan , Chenlei Leng , Weichi Wu

Although conformal prediction provides robust marginal coverage guarantees, achieving reliable conditional coverage for specific inputs remains challenging. While exact distribution-free conditional coverage is impossible with finite…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Qianyi Chen , Bo Li

The standard quantile regression model assumes a linear relationship at the quantile of interest and that all variables are observed. We relax these assumptions by considering a partial linear model while allowing for missing linear…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-07 Ben Sherwood

This paper tackles the problem of selecting among several linear estimators in non-parametric regression; this includes model selection for linear regression, the choice of a regularization parameter in kernel ridge regression, spline…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-09-15 Sylvain Arlot , Francis Bach

In this paper, we study the properties of robust nonparametric estimation using deep neural networks for regression models with heavy tailed error distributions. We establish the non-asymptotic error bounds for a class of robust…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-23 Guohao Shen , Yuling Jiao , Yuanyuan Lin , Jian Huang

The No Unmeasured Confounding Assumption is widely used to identify causal effects in observational studies. Recent work on proximal inference has provided alternative identification results that succeed even in the presence of unobserved…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-17 Benjamin Kompa , David R. Bellamy , Thomas Kolokotrones , James M. Robins , Andrew L. Beam

Conformalized quantile regression is a procedure that inherits the advantages of conformal prediction and quantile regression. That is, we use quantile regression to estimate the true conditional quantile and then apply a conformal step on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-02 Martim Sousa , Ana Maria Tomé , José Moreira

In this paper, we study a novel approach for the estimation of quantiles when facing potential right censoring of the responses. Contrary to the existing literature on the subject, the adopted strategy of this paper is to tackle censoring…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-24 Mickaël De Backer , Anouar El Ghouch , Ingrid Van Keilegom

Quantile regression provides a framework for modeling statistical quantities of interest other than the conditional mean. The regression methodology is well developed for linear models, but less so for nonparametric models. We consider…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Mi-Ok Kim

Conformal prediction is a theoretically grounded framework for constructing predictive intervals. We study conformal prediction with missing values in the covariates -- a setting that brings new challenges to uncertainty quantification. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-06 Margaux Zaffran , Aymeric Dieuleveut , Julie Josse , Yaniv Romano

Quantile regression is a method to estimate the quantiles of the conditional distribution of a response variable, and as such it permits a much more accurate portrayal of the relationship between the response variable and observed…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2014-01-08 Jiyan Yang , Xiangrui Meng , Michael W. Mahoney

In this paper, we propose a new nonparametric estimator of time-varying forecast combination weights. When the number of individual forecasts is small, we study the asymptotic properties of the local linear estimator. When the number of…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-10-21 Bin Chen , Kenwin Maung

We consider the nonparametric regression and the classification problems for $\psi$-weakly dependent processes. This weak dependence structure is more general than conditions such as, mixing, association, $\ldots$. A penalized estimation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-03 William Kengne , Modou Wade

Recently, high-dimensional heterogeneous data have attracted a lot of attention and discussion. Under heterogeneity, semiparametric regression is a popular choice to model data in statistics. In this paper, we take advantages of expectile…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-20 Jun Zhao , Guan'ao Yan , Yi Zhang

We present a general principle for estimating a regression function nonparametrically, allowing for a wide variety of data filtering, for example, repeated left truncation and right censoring. Both the mean and the median regression cases…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-02-10 Oliver Linton , Enno Mammen , Jens Perch Nielsen , Ingrid Van Keilegom

In this paper, we consider the problem of binary classification with a class of general deep convolutional neural networks, which includes fully-connected neural networks and fully convolutional neural networks as special cases. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-04 Guohao Shen , Yuling Jiao , Yuanyuan Lin , Jian Huang

We propose conformal hyperrectangular prediction regions for multi-target regression. We propose split conformal prediction algorithms for both point and quantile regression to form hyperrectangular prediction regions, which allow for easy…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-10 Max Sampson , Kung-Sik Chan

This paper presents a computationally feasible method to compute rigorous bounds on the interval-generalisation of regression analysis to account for epistemic uncertainty in the output variables. The new iterative method uses machine…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-02-22 Krasymyr Tretiak , Georg Schollmeyer , Scott Ferson

Having a regression model, we are interested in finding two-sided intervals that are guaranteed to contain at least a desired proportion of the conditional distribution of the response variable given a specific combination of predictors. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-03-22 Mohammad Ghasemi Hamed , Mathieu Serrurier , Nicolas Durand

This paper introduces a framework for uncertainty quantification in regression models defined in metric spaces. Leveraging a newly defined notion of homoscedasticity, we develop a conformal prediction algorithm that offers finite-sample…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-22 Gábor Lugosi , Marcos Matabuena