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In this paper we analyze the effects of commuting and social inequalities for the epidemic development of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19). With this aim we consider a SEIRD (susceptible, exposed, infected, recovered and dead by disease)…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-18 João A. M. Gondim , Thiago Yukio Tanaka

We study the nonequilibrium phase transitions from the absorbing phase to the active phase for the model of disease spreading (Susceptible-Infected-Refractory-Susceptible (SIRS)) on a regular one dimensional lattice. In this model,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-08-15 M. Ali Saif

We have studied the dynamic evolution of the Covid-19 pandemic in Argentina. The marked heterogeneity in population density and the very extensive geography of the country becomes a challenge itself. Standard compartment models fail when…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-01-01 Nadia L. Barreiro , Tzype Govezensky , Pablo G. Bolcatto , Rafael A. Barrio

By means of the asynchronous cellular automata algorithm we study stationary states and spatial patterning in an $SIS$ model, in which the individuals' are attached to the vertices of a graph and their mobility is mimicked by varying the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-06-22 J. M. Ilnytskyi , Y. Kozitsky , H. I. Ilnytskyi , O. Haiduchok

A diffusive epidemic model with an infection-dependent recovery rate is formulated in this paper. Multiple constant steady states and spatially homogeneous periodic solutions are first proven by bifurcation analysis of the reaction…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-09-12 Wael El Khateeb , Chanaka Kottegoda , Chunhua Shan

We consider a discrete-time epidemic SISI model in case when the population size is a constant, so the per capita death rate is equal to per capita birth rate. The evolution operator of this model is a non-linear operator which depends on…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-11-29 S. K. Shoyimardonov

We model an epidemic where the per-person infectiousness in a network of geographic localities changes with the total number of active cases. This would happen as people adopt more stringent non-pharmaceutical precautions when the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-12-07 Akhil Bhimaraju , Avhishek Chatterjee , Lav R. Varshney

In a collection of particles performing independent random walks on $\mathbb Z^d$ we study the spread of an infection with SIR dynamics. Susceptible particles become infected when they meet an infected particle. Infected particles heal and…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-14 Duncan Dauvergne , Allan Sly

In the present paper, our goal is to establish a framework for the mathematical modelling and the analysis of the spread of an epidemic in a large population commuting regularly, typically along a time-periodic pattern, as is roughly…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-08-29 Pierre-Alexandre Bliman , Boureima Sangaré , Assane Savadogo

Multidimensional continuous-time Markov jump processes $(Z(t))$ on $\mathbb{Z}^p$ form a usual set-up for modeling $SIR$-like epidemics. However, when facing incomplete epidemic data, inference based on $(Z(t))$ is not easy to be achieved.…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-01-03 Romain Guy , Catherine Larédo , Elisabeta Vergu

This article proposes an age-structured compartment model for irreversible diseases with a pre-clinical state of undiagnosed cases that precedes the diagnosis. The model is able to cope with mortality rates differing between the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-11-11 Ralph Brinks

We introduce a minimal model of multilevel selection on structured populations, considering the interplay between game theory and population dynamics. Through a bottleneck process, finite groups are formed with cooperators and defectors…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-10-02 Jeferson J. Arenzon , Luca Peliti

The transition between low and high density phases is a typical feature of systems with social interactions. This contribution focuses on simple evacuation design of one room with one entrance and one exit; four passing-through experiments…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2016-01-27 Marek Bukáček , Pavel Hrabák , Milan Krbálek

Many infectious diseases are comprised of multiple strains with examples including Influenza, tuberculosis, and Dengue virus. The time evolution of such systems is linked to a complex landscape shaped by interactions between competing…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-11-21 Nir Gavish , Musa Rabiu

We develop a multiple compartment Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model to analyze the spread of several infectious diseases through different geographic areas. Additionally, we propose a data-quality sensitive optimization framework…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-06-21 Inbar Seroussi , Nir Levy , Daniela Paolotti , Nir Sochen , Elad Yom-Tov

In this study, a new and natural way of constructing a stochastic Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) model is proposed. This approach is natural in the sense that the disease transmission rate, $\beta$, is substituted with a generic,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-07 Berk Tan Perçin

We are interested in modeling some two-level population dynamics, resulting from the interplay of ecological interactions and phenotypic variation of individuals (or hosts) and the evolution of cells (or parasites) of two types living in…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-01-21 Sylvie Méléard , Sylvie Roelly

The transmission dynamics of an epidemic are rarely homogeneous. Super-spreading events and super-spreading individuals are two types of heterogeneous transmissibility. Inference of super-spreading is commonly carried out on secondary case…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-23 Hannah Craddock , Simon EF Spencer , Xavier Didelot

Mathematical modelling of epidemiological and coevolutionary dynamics is widely being used to improve disease management strategies of infectious diseases. Many diseases present some form of intra-host quiescent stage, also known as covert…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-05-26 Usman Sanusi , Sona John , Johannes Mueller , Aurélien Tellier

Infectious diseases spread through human networks. Susceptible-Infected-Removed (SIR) model is one of the epidemic models to describe infection dynamics on a complex network connecting individuals. In the metapopulation SIR model, each node…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-08-27 Kanako Mizuno , Kazue Kudo