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Related papers: Generative models uncertainty estimation

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Although deep learning has achieved appealing results on several machine learning tasks, most of the models are deterministic at inference, limiting their application to single-modal settings. We propose a novel general-purpose framework…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-12 Sameera Ramasinghe , Kanchana Ranasinghe , Salman Khan , Nick Barnes , Stephen Gould

We develop a generative model-based approach to Bayesian inverse problems, such as image reconstruction from noisy and incomplete images. Our framework addresses two common challenges of Bayesian reconstructions: 1) It makes use of complex,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-24 Vanessa Böhm , François Lanusse , Uroš Seljak

The first step to realize automatic experimental data analysis for fusion plasma experiments is fitting noisy data of temperature and density spatial profiles, which are obtained routinely. However, it has been difficult to construct…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2019-07-24 Keisuke Fujii , Chihiro Suzuki , Masahiro Hasuo

Given (small amounts of) time-series' data from a high-dimensional, fine-grained, multiscale dynamical system, we propose a generative framework for learning an effective, lower-dimensional, coarse-grained dynamical model that is predictive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-18 Sebastian Kaltenbach , Phaedon-Stelios Koutsourelakis

Several interesting generative learning algorithms involve a complex probability distribution over many random variables, involving intractable normalization constants or latent variable normalization. Some of them may even not have an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-05-13 Yoshua Bengio , Li Yao , Kyunghyun Cho

In model-based reinforcement learning, generative and temporal models of environments can be leveraged to boost agent performance, either by tuning the agent's representations during training or via use as part of an explicit planning…

In machine learning, accurately predicting the probability that a specific input is correct is crucial for risk management. This process, known as uncertainty (or confidence) estimation, is particularly important in mission-critical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-12 Gabriella Chouraqui , Liron Cohen , Gil Einziger , Liel Leman

Deep model-based reinforcement learning methods offer a conceptually simple approach to the decision-making and control problem: use learning for the purpose of estimating an approximate dynamics model, and offload the rest of the work to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-13 Michael Janner

Machine learning models have emerged as a very effective strategy to sidestep time-consuming electronic-structure calculations, enabling accurate simulations of greater size, time scale and complexity. Given the interpolative nature of…

Restricted Boltzmann Machines and Deep Belief Networks have been successfully used in probabilistic generative model applications such as image occlusion removal, pattern completion and motion synthesis. Generative inference in such…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2016-02-22 Ojash Neopane , Srinjoy Das , Ery Arias-Castro , Kenneth Kreutz-Delgado

This paper presents a comprehensive algorithm for fitting generative models whose likelihood, moments, and other quantities typically used for inference are not analytically or numerically tractable. The proposed method aims to provide a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-12 Guido Masarotto

Uncertainty-quantification methods are applied to estimate the confidence of deep-neural-networks classifiers over their predictions. However, most widely used methods are known to be overconfident. We address this problem by developing an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-19 Luigi Sbailò , Luca M. Ghiringhelli

Complex phenomena in engineering and the sciences are often modeled with computationally intensive feed-forward simulations for which a tractable analytic likelihood does not exist. In these cases, it is sometimes necessary to estimate an…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-18 Niccolò Dalmasso , Ann B. Lee , Rafael Izbicki , Taylor Pospisil , Ilmun Kim , Chieh-An Lin

Data-driven forecasts of air quality have recently achieved more accurate short-term predictions. Despite their success, most of the current data-driven solutions lack proper quantifications of model uncertainty that communicate how much to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-07 Abdulmajid Murad , Frank Alexander Kraemer , Kerstin Bach , Gavin Taylor

Uncertainty estimation is important for deploying LLMs in high-stakes applications such as healthcare and finance, where hallucinations can appear fluent and plausible while being factually incorrect, making it difficult for users to judge…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Mingcheng Zhu , Yu Liu , Tingting Zhu

We consider the application of deep generative models in propagating uncertainty through complex physical systems. Specifically, we put forth an implicit variational inference formulation that constrains the generative model output to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-11 Yibo Yang , Paris Perdikaris

Generative networks are perfect tools to enhance the speed and precision of LHC simulations. It is important to understand their statistical precision, especially when generating events beyond the size of the training dataset. We present…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-10-17 Henning Bahl , Sascha Diefenbacher , Nina Elmer , Tilman Plehn , Jonas Spinner

Accurate and fast simulation of particle physics processes is crucial for the high-energy physics community. Simulating particle interactions with detectors is both time consuming and computationally expensive. With the proton-proton…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2021-08-26 Ali Hariri , Darya Dyachkova , Sergei Gleyzer

In quantum many-body systems, measurements can induce qualitative new features, but their simulation is hindered by the exponential complexity involved in sampling the measurement results. We propose to use machine learning to assist the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-12-03 Yuchen Zhu , Molei Tao , Yuebo Jin , Xie Chen

Generative modeling aims at producing new datapoints whose statistical properties resemble the ones in a training dataset. In recent years, there has been a burst of machine learning techniques and settings that can achieve this goal with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-05 Samantha J. Fournier , Pierfrancesco Urbani