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Assume that a grocery item is sold 1'234 times on a given day. What should an ideal forecast have predicted for such a well-selling item, on average? More generally, when considering a given outcome value, should the empirical average of…

Applications · Statistics 2023-12-22 Malte C. Tichy

A discriminative ensemble tracker employs multiple classifiers, each of which casts a vote on all of the obtained samples. The votes are then aggregated in an attempt to localize the target object. Such method relies on collective…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-05-01 Kourosh Meshgi , Maryam Sadat Mirzaei , Shigeyuki Oba , Shin Ishii

Prediction markets are powerful tools to elicit and aggregate beliefs from strategic agents. However, in current prediction markets, agents may exhaust the social welfare by competing to be the first to update the market. We initiate the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-03-09 Grant Schoenebeck , Chenkai Yu , Fang-Yi Yu

In order for an e-commerce platform to maximize its revenue, it must recommend customers items they are most likely to purchase. However, the company often has business constraints on these items, such as the number of each item in stock.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-11-19 Andrea Boskovic , Qinyi Chen , Dominik Kufel , Zijie Zhou

A principled approach to cyclicality and intransitivity in paired comparison data is developed. The proposed methodology enables more precise estimation of the underlying preference profile and facilitates the identification of all cyclic…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-08 Rahul Singh , Ori Davidov

In this study, we present a novel clustering-based collaborative filtering (CF) method for recommender systems. Clustering-based CF methods can effectively deal with data sparsity and scalability problems. However, most of them are applied…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2021-11-17 Munlika Rattaphun , Wen-Chieh Fang , Chih-Yi Chiu

We tackle online inventory problems where at each time period the manager makes a replenishment decision based on partial historical information in order to meet demands and minimize costs. To solve such problems, we build upon recent works…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-12-02 Massil Hihat , Adeline Fermanian

A prediction market is a useful means of aggregating information about a future event. To function, the market needs a trusted entity who will verify the true outcome in the end. Motivated by the recent introduction of decentralized…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-12-16 Rupert Freeman , Sebastien Lahaie , David M. Pennock

I introduce a novel approach to structural modelling and estimation of continuous demand systems, utilising consideration sets to analyse differentiated products markets with very large choice sets and purchases over multiple goods,…

General Economics · Economics 2026-05-06 Afonso Rodrigues

The field of retail analytics has been transformed by the availability of rich data which can be used to perform tasks such as demand forecasting and inventory management. However, one task which has proved more challenging is the…

Applications · Statistics 2018-05-16 James Pitkin , Ioanna Manolopoulou , Gordon Ross

The objective of an online Mart is to match buyers and sellers, to weigh animals and to oversee their sale. A reliable pricing method can be developed by ML models that can read through historical sales data. However, when AI models suggest…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-03-05 Devam Dave , Het Naik , Smiti Singhal , Rudresh Dwivedi , Pankesh Patel

Predictive Process Analytics is becoming an essential aid for organizations, providing online operational support of their processes. However, process stakeholders need to be provided with an explanation of the reasons why a given process…

Future Event Prediction (FEP) is an essential activity whose demand and application range across multiple domains. While traditional methods like simulations, predictive and time-series forecasting have demonstrated promising outcomes,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-13 Anisha Saha , Adam Jatowt

Off-policy evaluation can leverage logged data to estimate the effectiveness of new policies in e-commerce, search engines, media streaming services, or automatic diagnostic tools in healthcare. However, the performance of baseline…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-03 Daniel Guzman-Olivares , Philipp Schmidt , Jacek Golebiowski , Artur Bekasov

A widely used paradigm to improve the generalization performance of high-capacity neural models is through the addition of auxiliary unsupervised tasks during supervised training. Tasks such as similarity matching and input reconstruction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-19 Shivin Srivastava , Kenji Kawaguchi , Vaibhav Rajan

Machine Learning competitions such as the Netflix Prize have proven reasonably successful as a method of "crowdsourcing" prediction tasks. But these competitions have a number of weaknesses, particularly in the incentive structure they…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2011-11-14 Jacob Abernethy , Rafael M. Frongillo

Suppose we need a deep collective analysis of an open scientific problem: there is a complex scientific hypothesis and a large online group of mutually unrelated experts with relevant private information of a diverse and unpredictable…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-01-27 Alexey V. Osipov , Nikolay N. Osipov

We cast the problem of combinatorial auction design in a Bayesian framework in order to incorporate prior information into the auction process and minimize the number of rounds to convergence. We first develop a generative model of agent…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2018-11-19 Gianluca Brero , Sébastien Lahaie

We consider the revenue maximization problem for an online retailer who plans to display in order a set of products differing in their prices and qualities. Consumers have attention spans, i.e., the maximum number of products they are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Ningyuan Chen , Anran Li , Shuoguang Yang

Product bundling is a common selling mechanism used in online retailing. To set profitable bundle prices, the seller needs to learn consumer preferences from the transaction data. When customers purchase bundles or multiple products,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-13 Ningyuan Chen , Setareh Farajollahzadeh , Guan Wang