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Despite the recent progress in hyperparameter optimization (HPO), available benchmarks that resemble real-world scenarios consist of a few and very large problem instances that are expensive to solve. This blocks researchers and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-26 Aaron Klein , Zhenwen Dai , Frank Hutter , Neil Lawrence , Javier Gonzalez

In this study, we develop a latent factor model for analysing high-dimensional binary data. Specifically, a standard probit model is used to describe the regression relationship between the observed binary data and the continuous latent…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-15 Jiaxin Shi , Yuan Gao , Rui Pan , Hansheng Wang

Time series data with missing values is common across many domains. Healthcare presents special challenges due to prolonged periods of sensor disconnection. In such cases, having a confidence measure for imputed values is critical. Most…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-15 Addison Weatherhead , Anna Goldenberg

Efficient surrogate modelling is a key requirement for uncertainty quantification in data-driven scenarios. In this work, a novel approach of using Sparse Random Features for surrogate modelling in combination with self-supervised…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-02 Maternus Herold , Anna Veselovska , Jonas Jehle , Felix Krahmer

Missing data are often dealt with multiple imputation. A crucial part of the multiple imputation process is selecting sensible models to generate plausible values for incomplete data. A method based on posterior predictive checking is…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-14 Mingyang Cai , Stef van Buuren , Gerko Vink

Trial-based economic evaluations are typically performed on cross-sectional variables, derived from the responses for only the completers in the study, using methods that ignore the complexities of utility and cost data (e.g. skewness and…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-21 Andrea Gabrio , Michael J. Daniels , Gianluca Baio

Referral workflow inefficiencies, including misaligned referrals and delays, contribute to suboptimal patient outcomes and higher healthcare costs. In this study, we investigated the possibility of predicting procedural needs based on…

Propensity score weighting is widely used to improve the representativeness and correct the selection bias in the voluntary sample. The propensity score is often developed using a model for the sampling probability, which can be subject to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-20 Hengfang Wang , Jae Kwang Kim

This paper considers the creation of parametric surrogate models for applications in science and engineering where the goal is to predict high-dimensional spatiotemporal output quantities of interest, such as pressure, temperature and…

Computational Physics · Physics 2022-03-24 Chi Hoang , Kenny Chowdhary , Kookjin Lee , Jaideep Ray

Item nonresponse is a common issue in surveys. Because unadjusted estimators may be biased in the presence of nonresponse, it is common practice to impute the missing values with the objective of reducing the nonresponse bias as much as…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-06 Sixia Chen , David Haziza , Victoire Michal

Existing deep learning-based surrogate models facilitate efficient data generation, but fall short in uncertainty quantification, efficient parameter space exploration, and reverse prediction. In our work, we introduce SurroFlow, a novel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-19 Jingyi Shen , Yuhan Duan , Han-Wei Shen

Complex engineering models are typically computationally demanding and defined by a high-dimensional parameter space challenging the comprehensive exploration of parameter effects and design optimization. To overcome this curse of…

Applications · Statistics 2024-03-01 Corey Arndt , Cody Crusenberry , Bozhi Heng , Rochelle Butler , Stephanie TerMaath

Surrogate model can replace the parametric full-order model (FOM) by an approximation model, which can significantly improve the efficiency of optimization design and reduce the complexity of engineering systems. However, due to limitations…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-03-18 Xu Wang , Ruiqi Huang , Jiaqing Kou , Hui Tang , Weiwei Zhang

Machine learning surrogates are increasingly employed to replace expensive computational models for physics-based reliability analysis. However, their use introduces epistemic uncertainty from model approximation errors, which couples with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Amirreza Tootchi , Xiaoping Du

Scientific applications typically generate large volumes of floating-point data, making lossy compression one of the most effective methods for data reduction, thereby lowering storage requirements and improving performance in large-scale…

Performance · Computer Science 2024-12-11 Youyuan Liu , Taolue Yang , Sian Jin

Inferring parameter distributions of complex industrial systems from noisy time series data requires methods to deal with the uncertainty of the underlying data and the used simulation model. Bayesian inference is well suited for these…

Applications · Statistics 2021-06-18 David N. John , Livia Stohrer , Claudia Schillings , Michael Schick , Vincent Heuveline

Metafeatures, or dataset characteristics, have been shown to improve the performance of hyperparameter optimization (HPO). Conventionally, metafeatures are precomputed and used to measure the similarity between datasets, leading to a better…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-09 Hadi S. Jomaa , Lars Schmidt-Thieme , Josif Grabocka

In this paper, we focus on developing efficient sensitivity analysis methods for a computationally expensive objective function $f(x)$ in the case that the minimization of it has just been performed. Here "computationally expensive" means…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-02-24 Yilun Wang , Christine A. Shoemaker

Estimating long-term causal effects based on short-term surrogates is a significant but challenging problem in many real-world applications, e.g., marketing and medicine. Despite its success in certain domains, most existing methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-22 Ruichu Cai , Weilin Chen , Zeqin Yang , Shu Wan , Chen Zheng , Xiaoqing Yang , Jiecheng Guo

Trial level surrogates are useful tools for improving the speed and cost effectiveness of trials, but surrogates that have not been properly evaluated can cause misleading results. The evaluation procedure is often contextual and depends on…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-23 Michael C Sachs , Erin E Gabriel , Alessio Crippa , Michael J Daniels